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Hill vs SantosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
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Hill vs SantosMain Card · Light Heavyweight
GN
VL
Neal vs LuqueMain Card · Welterweight
MU
ZP
Usman vs PaugaMain Card · Heavyweight
JM
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Miller vs WalkerMain Card · Women'S Flyweight
SS
AS
Spivac vs SakaiMain Card · Heavyweight
TM
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McKinney vs GonzalezMain Card · Lightweight
MO
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Oleksiejczuk vs AlveyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
BB
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Battle vs SatoPreliminary Card · Welterweight
CM
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McKenna vs GrangerPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
MS
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Silva vs EggerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Hill v Santos
Light Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Hill 12-2
VS
22-11 Santos
6'4"
height
—
206 lb
weight
—
79"
reach
—
35
age
42
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
7.2
strikes landed / min
3.7
54%
striking accuracy
48%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
2.6
46%
striking defence
53%
0.0
takedowns / 15 min
0.9
0%
takedown accuracy
33%
73%
takedown defence
65%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
TM
The MMA-Holes picks Thiago Santos VALUE
The MMA-Holes picks Thiago Santos VALUE
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Thiago Santos VALUE
“you give uh Thiago Santos plus 230 i'm gonna take that all day even if i lose you know for me Thiago Santos is one of the best guys in light heavyweight category honestly”
$3.30
101MMA Clinic picks Thiago Santos VALUE
“you give uh Thiago Santos plus 230 i'm gonna take that all day even if i lose you know for me Thiago Santos is one of the best guys in light heavyweight category honestly”
$3.30
1C
101MMA Clinic picks Thiago Santos VALUE
“i'll have to go again like plus 2 thiago Thiago Santos”
$3.30
101MMA Clinic picks Thiago Santos VALUE
“i'll have to go again like plus 2 thiago Thiago Santos”
$3.30
KU
Kunath picks Thiago Santos
“considering that jamal hill probably knocks out Thiago Santos before the third round”
Kunath picks Thiago Santos
“considering that jamal hill probably knocks out Thiago Santos before the third round”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i have Jamahal Hill in the main event so we stacked them all up plus 430”
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i have Jamahal Hill in the main event so we stacked them all up plus 430”
WP
We Want Picks picks Thiago Santos
“I think Jamahal Hill needs to be prepared to go five rounds because that's all Thiago Santos Santos has been doing”
We Want Picks picks Thiago Santos
“I think Jamahal Hill needs to be prepared to go five rounds because that's all Thiago Santos Santos has been doing”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill
“I think Jamahal Hill wins”
We Want Picks picks Jamahal Hill
“I think Jamahal Hill wins”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i'm a big Jamahal Hill fan okay so so i i just heard a hill pick i just heard a hill pick right there aj we got one from her that's that's a hill pick in my book man it is 100”
$1.12
MMA EXPERTS picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“i'm a big Jamahal Hill fan okay so so i i just heard a hill pick i just heard a hill pick right there aj we got one from her that's that's a hill pick in my book man it is 100”
$1.12
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Thiago Santos
“if he does I do favor Jamal Jamahal Hill to go out there and win but you know Thiago Santos does hit very hard”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Thiago Santos
“if he does I do favor Jamal Jamahal Hill to go out there and win but you know Thiago Santos does hit very hard”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“I think Jamahal Jamahal Hill does knock out Thiago Thiago Santos”
$1.31
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jamahal Hill VALUE
“I think Jamahal Jamahal Hill does knock out Thiago Thiago Santos”
$1.31
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jamahal Hill
“my prediction is gonna be if josh quinlan can keep this fight standing which i think he probably does considering he's training out of sanford mma i think at some point he can break the face of jason wick”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Jamahal Hill
“my prediction is gonna be if josh quinlan can keep this fight standing which i think he probably does considering he's training out of sanford mma i think at some point he can break the face of jason wick”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Hill12-2
L
Rountree Jr.
Jun '25
L
Procházka
Jan '25
L
Pereira
Apr '24
W
Teixeira
Jan '23
W
Santos
Aug '22
Santos22-11
L
Hill
Aug '22
L
Ankalaev
Mar '22
W
Walker
Oct '21
L
Rakić
Mar '21
L
Teixeira
Nov '20