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Prophecy read
Oleksiejczuk v Alvey
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Oleksiejczuk 22-9
VS
33-18-1 Alvey
6'0"
height
—
186 lb
weight
—
74"
reach
—
31
age
40
Southpaw
stance
Southpaw
5.1
strikes landed / min
3.3
50%
striking accuracy
44%
4.6
strikes absorbed / min
3.6
58%
striking defence
52%
1.1
takedowns / 15 min
0.1
43%
takedown accuracy
14%
48%
takedown defence
82%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
KU
Kunath picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“over a round and a half in the Sam Alvey Michał Oleksiejczuk fight”
Kunath picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“over a round and a half in the Sam Alvey Michał Oleksiejczuk fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sam Alvey
“sam alvi i think is absolutely live i had to put a unit on him at plus 450 and he is plus 525 now so if you want to play some action i don't blame you i think he's pretty live in this fight anne's already talked about vicente we both got him early for the premium member it says now at minus 200 minus 197 changes per book but uh a great great value i still think at minus 200 that's still very very good value for vicente luca in this matchup like angela said should be better pretty much everywhere in this matchup prop bets this is one that i thought that i had pretty good value on i didn't realize it was gonna be that good of value so we placed this i think i placed this either sunday or monday offered it to the premium members if you haven't signed up already minus 280 for the main event to not go the distance that is now minus 400 i don't think minus 400 is very good value anymore so that's why you need to get on this these odds earlier in the week because you know Thiago Santos is very tough he's one of the toughest dudes in that division so there's a decent chance that he can survive that's why i only put 2.8 units on it at minus 280 to get a unit back i think that's pretty good value that's why i placed it that's why we we showed that for our premium members but minus 400 i think it's a little bit too late now to chase that money so you got to sign up guys uh the next one is Erick Gonzalez Terrance McKinney this is plus 185 i think it's plus 195 now this is just simply terence Terrance McKinney both these guys got finished in their last fights terence Terrance McKinney blue is low in the first round lost in the first round uh Erick Gonzalez looked good in the first rounds last fight but got absolutely flatlined bad bad knocked down in the last fight both these guys are finishers last fight i think they come out really try to pace themselves especially Terrance McKinney this is all going to be dictating on whether Terrance McKinney comes out like a fireball like he has in his first whatever fights i think he really tries to pace himself i even saw that he uh predicted like a second round submission win or something um in his own right so i think these guys go a little bit over one and a half a little bit a little bit of a flyer here only one unit to get 1.8 units back uh plus 185 and the next one is a parlay i went up and down trying to find props for this card i hated pretty much everything you guys know my bets are usually boom boom boom boom boom i was trying to find bets i could not find very good value so i said you know what let me pick the five fighters that i am most confident in stack them up we did this with ufc london with nine fighters and we got all the way to aspen all right and now we lost about we're able to hedge it a little bit so uh here's my five uh most common fighters i have i have key lane spivak uh lukay and you see uh four of those angelo has money line bets on so he's pretty confident as well and then i have Jamahal Hill in the main event so we stacked them all up plus 430. i put three units on it because i won a lot of money on the contender series tuesday i took that contender series money put it in this fun parlay and now we're gonna rock EVENT_DETAILS another successful week for me and angelo coming up let's hope so i mean uh yeah listen we're not gonna win forever but i'll win for as long as i can and but i i 100 well we will win for as long as we can we have been winning for a while become a premium member we're still going to do these videos on fridays giving you all the bets that we placed the premium membership gets you the exclusive parlay but it gets you the bets early and looks like jacob and i were in front of all of these lines except uh the one sam alvey line but frankly that's a flyer anyway we on pix.com scroll to the top click become a member and if you want that 50 free bucks wewontpix.com bets sign up make a deposit i will send you 50 bucks as a thank you thanks for the watch like subscribe join the discord link in the description do all the things”
$6.25
We Want Picks picks Sam Alvey
“sam alvi i think is absolutely live i had to put a unit on him at plus 450 and he is plus 525 now so if you want to play some action i don't blame you i think he's pretty live in this fight anne's already talked about vicente we both got him early for the premium member it says now at minus 200 minus 197 changes per book but uh a great great value i still think at minus 200 that's still very very good value for vicente luca in this matchup like angela said should be better pretty much everywhere in this matchup prop bets this is one that i thought that i had pretty good value on i didn't realize it was gonna be that good of value so we placed this i think i placed this either sunday or monday offered it to the premium members if you haven't signed up already minus 280 for the main event to not go the distance that is now minus 400 i don't think minus 400 is very good value anymore so that's why you need to get on this these odds earlier in the week because you know Thiago Santos is very tough he's one of the toughest dudes in that division so there's a decent chance that he can survive that's why i only put 2.8 units on it at minus 280 to get a unit back i think that's pretty good value that's why i placed it that's why we we showed that for our premium members but minus 400 i think it's a little bit too late now to chase that money so you got to sign up guys uh the next one is Erick Gonzalez Terrance McKinney this is plus 185 i think it's plus 195 now this is just simply terence Terrance McKinney both these guys got finished in their last fights terence Terrance McKinney blue is low in the first round lost in the first round uh Erick Gonzalez looked good in the first rounds last fight but got absolutely flatlined bad bad knocked down in the last fight both these guys are finishers last fight i think they come out really try to pace themselves especially Terrance McKinney this is all going to be dictating on whether Terrance McKinney comes out like a fireball like he has in his first whatever fights i think he really tries to pace himself i even saw that he uh predicted like a second round submission win or something um in his own right so i think these guys go a little bit over one and a half a little bit a little bit of a flyer here only one unit to get 1.8 units back uh plus 185 and the next one is a parlay i went up and down trying to find props for this card i hated pretty much everything you guys know my bets are usually boom boom boom boom boom i was trying to find bets i could not find very good value so i said you know what let me pick the five fighters that i am most confident in stack them up we did this with ufc london with nine fighters and we got all the way to aspen all right and now we lost about we're able to hedge it a little bit so uh here's my five uh most common fighters i have i have key lane spivak uh lukay and you see uh four of those angelo has money line bets on so he's pretty confident as well and then i have Jamahal Hill in the main event so we stacked them all up plus 430. i put three units on it because i won a lot of money on the contender series tuesday i took that contender series money put it in this fun parlay and now we're gonna rock EVENT_DETAILS another successful week for me and angelo coming up let's hope so i mean uh yeah listen we're not gonna win forever but i'll win for as long as i can and but i i 100 well we will win for as long as we can we have been winning for a while become a premium member we're still going to do these videos on fridays giving you all the bets that we placed the premium membership gets you the exclusive parlay but it gets you the bets early and looks like jacob and i were in front of all of these lines except uh the one sam alvey line but frankly that's a flyer anyway we on pix.com scroll to the top click become a member and if you want that 50 free bucks wewontpix.com bets sign up make a deposit i will send you 50 bucks as a thank you thanks for the watch like subscribe join the discord link in the description do all the things”
$6.25
WP
We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“I think McCall wins or Michał Oleksiejczuk wins this fight”
We Want Picks picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“I think McCall wins or Michał Oleksiejczuk wins this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Sam Alvey
“i actually do think that Sam Alvey is going to win the fight”
We Want Picks picks Sam Alvey
“i actually do think that Sam Alvey is going to win the fight”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“i'm gonna side with michael alex says shook please do not lose to Sam Alvey”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Michał Oleksiejczuk VALUE
“i'm gonna side with michael alex says shook please do not lose to Sam Alvey”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Sam Alvey
“smiling Sam Alvey is thirty three and seventeen and has lost one two three not including the draw four five six seven in a row”
Santino DeFranco picks Sam Alvey
“smiling Sam Alvey is thirty three and seventeen and has lost one two three not including the draw four five six seven in a row”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“we have Michał Oleksiejczuk smiling Sam Alvey”
Santino DeFranco picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“we have Michał Oleksiejczuk smiling Sam Alvey”
AM
Artem MMA picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“mccarthy taking on Sam Alvey um picking Michał Oleksiejczuk”
Artem MMA picks Michał Oleksiejczuk
“mccarthy taking on Sam Alvey um picking Michał Oleksiejczuk”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Oleksiejczuk22-9
L
Magomedov
Jun '26
W
Barriault
Feb '26
W
Meerschaert
Aug '25
W
Dumas
Apr '25
L
Magomedov
Aug '24
Alvey33-18-1
L
Oleksiejczuk
Aug '22
L
Allen
Feb '22
L
Turman
Aug '21
L
Marquez
Apr '21
L
Spann
May '20