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Neal vs LuqueMain Card · Welterweight
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Oleksiejczuk vs AlveyPreliminary Card · Middleweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Neal v Luque
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Neal 16-7
VS
0-0 Luque
5'11"
height
5'11"
171 lb
weight
170 lb
75"
reach
76"
35
age
34
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
5.0
strikes landed / min
6.0
51%
striking accuracy
57%
5.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.0
57%
striking defence
55%
0.6
takedowns / 15 min
1.4
50%
takedown accuracy
69%
87%
takedown defence
60%
0.1
submissions / 15 min
1.4
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
KU
Kunath picks Vicente Luque
“i think that Geoff Neal has the power to at least hurt luke”
Kunath picks Vicente Luque
“i think that Geoff Neal has the power to at least hurt luke”
WP
We Want Picks picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“Vicente Luque got him at -170 he's now minus 197 that may flex even higher he's fighting jeff neal i think vicente is literally better everywhere except raw power”
$1.59
We Want Picks picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“Vicente Luque got him at -170 he's now minus 197 that may flex even higher he's fighting jeff neal i think vicente is literally better everywhere except raw power”
$1.59
WP
We Want Picks picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“he's very very good and I'm telling you right now at 8 500 he is the best value on this card”
We Want Picks picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“he's very very good and I'm telling you right now at 8 500 he is the best value on this card”
WP
We Want Picks picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“if Ariana lipsky can just touch touch touch move around touch touch move around she will win”
We Want Picks picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“if Ariana lipsky can just touch touch touch move around touch touch move around she will win”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“Geoff Neal gets the upset”
THE MMA GURU picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“Geoff Neal gets the upset”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Vicente Luque
“i'm gonna side with luke”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Vicente Luque
“i'm gonna side with luke”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“i switch my pick then i'm gonna go quinlan too i got to go with quinlan on this one”
Santino DeFranco picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“i switch my pick then i'm gonna go quinlan too i got to go with quinlan on this one”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Geoff Neal
“i love it give me some plus money on this one i know everybody in the world is goin t be on quinlan and i understand why but i think jason wit is going to be my pick here”
Santino DeFranco picks Geoff Neal
“i love it give me some plus money on this one i know everybody in the world is goin t be on quinlan and i understand why but i think jason wit is going to be my pick here”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Geoff Neal
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Geoff Neal
TF
The ICE Files picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“I think Vicente Luke should easily get it done against Geoff Neal”
The ICE Files picks Vicente Luque VALUE
“I think Vicente Luke should easily get it done against Geoff Neal”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Geoff Neal”
THE MMA GURU picks Geoff Neal VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Geoff Neal”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Neal16-7
L
Medić
Feb '26
L
Prates
Aug '25
W
Anjos
Oct '24
L
Garry
Feb '24
L
Rakhmonov
Mar '23
Luque0-0
W
Gastelum
Apr '26
L
Álvarez
Oct '25
L
Holland
Jun '25
W
Gorimbo
Dec '24
L
Buckley
Mar '24