Choose a fight to analyse
IA
JC
Adesanya vs CannonierMain Card · Middleweight
AV
MH
Volkanovski vs HollowayMain Card · Featherweight
AP
SS
Pereira vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight
BB
RL
Barberena vs LawlerMain Card · Welterweight
PM
SO
Munhoz vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight
JT
BR
Turner vs RiddellPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JM
DC
Miller vs CerronePreliminary Card · Welterweight
IG
GG
Garry vs GreenPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DP
BT
Plessis vs TavaresPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AM
UH
Muniz vs HallEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
JE
Barber vs EyeEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JS
JC
Stoliarenko vs ClarkEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
JC
Adesanya vs CannonierMain Card · Middleweight
AV
MH
Volkanovski vs HollowayMain Card · Featherweight
AP
SS
Pereira vs StricklandMain Card · Middleweight
BB
RL
Barberena vs LawlerMain Card · Welterweight
PM
SO
Munhoz vs O'MalleyMain Card · Bantamweight
JT
BR
Turner vs RiddellPreliminary Card · Lightweight
JM
DC
Miller vs CerronePreliminary Card · Welterweight
IG
GG
Garry vs GreenPreliminary Card · Welterweight
DP
BT
Plessis vs TavaresPreliminary Card · Middleweight
AM
UH
Muniz vs HallEarly Preliminary Card · Middleweight
MB
JE
Barber vs EyeEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
JS
JC
Stoliarenko vs ClarkEarly Preliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Adesanya v Cannonier
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
Go Pro →
New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Adesanya 24-5
VS
17-8 Cannonier
6'4"
height
5'11"
185 lb
weight
186 lb
80"
reach
78"
36
age
42
Switch
stance
Switch
4.0
strikes landed / min
4.5
50%
striking accuracy
50%
3.4
strikes absorbed / min
4.4
57%
striking defence
56%
0.3
takedowns / 15 min
0.4
33%
takedown accuracy
46%
81%
takedown defence
62%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
Go Pro →
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I like how to tell you to win this fight and just kind of control the range um I don't know how well he scores so I might be again a little under the field for this main event and uh put my energies elsewhere but I like how to sign you for the win”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“I like how to tell you to win this fight and just kind of control the range um I don't know how well he scores so I might be again a little under the field for this main event and uh put my energies elsewhere but I like how to sign you for the win”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“would adesanya be more fun for the division yes so maybe a little bit there i lean that way”
MMA JOEY picks Jared Cannonier VALUE
“would adesanya be more fun for the division yes so maybe a little bit there i lean that way”
WP
We Want Picks picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“i think adasanja is going to win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“i think adasanja is going to win this fight”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“i think Israel Adesanya will win but i'm not sure how we'll win like will he win uh the decision and let's see the price on that one alexander wins so uh it was selling wins by decision plus 125 at a sandwich inside the distance plus one 45”
$1.25
Sherdog.com picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“i think Israel Adesanya will win but i'm not sure how we'll win like will he win uh the decision and let's see the price on that one alexander wins so uh it was selling wins by decision plus 125 at a sandwich inside the distance plus one 45”
$1.25
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Israel Adesanya
“we have israel otasanya going against Jared Cannonier”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Israel Adesanya
“we have israel otasanya going against Jared Cannonier”
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Israel Adesanya
“i do believe that Israel Adesanya is going to beat Jared Cannonier this weekend in the main events”
THE MMA GURU picks Israel Adesanya
“i do believe that Israel Adesanya is going to beat Jared Cannonier this weekend in the main events”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Cannonier
“my pJessica Eyeck on thJessica Eyes one Jessica Eyes goJessica Eyeng to be rose JessJessica Eyeca-Rose Clark Jessica Eye'm goJessica Eyeng to pJessica Eyeck her by a decJessica EyesJessica Eyeon”
MMA EXPERTS picks Jared Cannonier
“my pJessica Eyeck on thJessica Eyes one Jessica Eyes goJessica Eyeng to be rose JessJessica Eyeca-Rose Clark Jessica Eye'm goJessica Eyeng to pJessica Eyeck her by a decJessica EyesJessica Eyeon”
AM
Artem MMA picks Israel Adesanya
“who i believe wins the main event”
Artem MMA picks Israel Adesanya
“who i believe wins the main event”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Israel Adesanya
“Israel Adesanya adasanya wins the main event”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Israel Adesanya
“Israel Adesanya adasanya wins the main event”
WP
We Want Picks picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“i think adasanja is going to win this fight because of the accuracy because he's the more dynamic striker”
We Want Picks picks Israel Adesanya VALUE
“i think adasanja is going to win this fight because of the accuracy because he's the more dynamic striker”
TF
The ICE Files picks Israel Adesanya
“israel out of sanya so those are your picks”
The ICE Files picks Israel Adesanya
“israel out of sanya so those are your picks”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Adesanya24-5
L
Pyfer
Mar '26
L
Imavov
Feb '25
L
Plessis
Aug '24
L
Strickland
Sep '23
W
Pereira
Apr '23
Cannonier17-8
L
Page
Aug '25
W
Rodrigues
Feb '25
L
Borralho
Aug '24
L
Imavov
Jun '24
W
Vettori
Jun '23