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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Miller v Cerrone
Welterweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Miller 38-19
VS
36-17 Cerrone
5'8"
height
6'1"
156 lb
weight
170 lb
71"
reach
73"
42
age
43
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
3.0
strikes landed / min
4.4
42%
striking accuracy
46%
3.5
strikes absorbed / min
4.5
56%
striking defence
53%
1.5
takedowns / 15 min
1.2
44%
takedown accuracy
33%
49%
takedown defence
73%
1.7
submissions / 15 min
1.2
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jim Miller VALUE
“the pick here has got to be Jim Miller because I can't pick ceroni to do anything these days um I just you you know he's always been a slow starter and now um that's that's uh you know 10 15 fold with uh with the the slow decline you gotta you figure if he loses here he's probably out the door one way or the other either he retires or they give him his walking paper so the pick is Miller I'll have shares of both but um I might try to pull a swerve here and then maybe be uh below the field uh”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Jim Miller VALUE
“the pick here has got to be Jim Miller because I can't pick ceroni to do anything these days um I just you you know he's always been a slow starter and now um that's that's uh you know 10 15 fold with uh with the the slow decline you gotta you figure if he loses here he's probably out the door one way or the other either he retires or they give him his walking paper so the pick is Miller I'll have shares of both but um I might try to pull a swerve here and then maybe be uh below the field uh”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jim Miller
“i'll ride Jim Miller for the win”
MMA EXPERTS picks Jim Miller
“i'll ride Jim Miller for the win”
HB
Half The Battle picks Donald Cerrone VALUE
“i'm gonna lean with Donald Cerrone because of the price”
$2.65
Half The Battle picks Donald Cerrone VALUE
“i'm gonna lean with Donald Cerrone because of the price”
$2.65
SH
Sherdog.com picks Jim Miller VALUE
“minus 210 for Jim Miller um i probably yeah he probably fancy miller on that one”
$1.48
Sherdog.com picks Jim Miller VALUE
“minus 210 for Jim Miller um i probably yeah he probably fancy miller on that one”
$1.48
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jim Miller VALUE
“i think Jim Miller has the opportunity to go in here and finish donald Donald Cerrone very early”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jim Miller VALUE
“i think Jim Miller has the opportunity to go in here and finish donald Donald Cerrone very early”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jim Miller VALUE
“the over on Jim Miller”
We Want Picks picks Jim Miller VALUE
“the over on Jim Miller”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Donald Cerrone
“Jessica Eye'm pJessica EyeckJessica Eyeng JJessica Eyem MJessica Eyeller but Jessica Eye don't feel good about Jessica Eyet”
MMA EXPERTS picks Donald Cerrone
“Jessica Eye'm pJessica EyeckJessica Eyeng JJessica Eyem MJessica Eyeller but Jessica Eye don't feel good about Jessica Eyet”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Jim Miller
“Inferred from overall predictions”
MMA EXPERTS picks Jim Miller
“Inferred from overall predictions”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Donald Cerrone VALUE
“i'm taking him against Jim Miller at 170 all day”
$2.80
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Donald Cerrone VALUE
“i'm taking him against Jim Miller at 170 all day”
$2.80
WP
We Want Picks picks Jim Miller VALUE
“i think Jim Miller wins but 8 700 is a lot of money to spend”
$88.00
We Want Picks picks Jim Miller VALUE
“i think Jim Miller wins but 8 700 is a lot of money to spend”
$88.00
TG
THE MMA GURU picks Donald Cerrone VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Donald Cerrone 29-28 as an underdog”
THE MMA GURU picks Donald Cerrone VALUE
“i'm gonna go with Donald Cerrone 29-28 as an underdog”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Miller38-19
W
Gordon
May '26
L
Hooper
Apr '25
W
Jackson
Nov '24
L
Green
Apr '24
W
Benítez
Jan '24
Cerrone36-17
L
Miller
Jul '22
L
Morono
May '21
L
Pettis
May '20
L
McGregor
Jan '20
L
Gaethje
Sep '19