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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Barberena v Lawler Welterweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Barberena 6
5 Lawler
HTMAWR pick Barberena
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Barberena 18-12 VS 30-16 Lawler
6'0" height 5'11"
186 lb weight 170 lb
72" reach 74"
37 age 44
Southpaw stance Southpaw
5.3 strikes landed / min 3.9
48% striking accuracy 47%
4.6 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
44% striking defence 59%
0.1 takedowns / 15 min 0.7
22% takedown accuracy 64%
50% takedown defence 65%
0.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
RU RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Bryan Barberena VALUE “I have to take Bryan Barberena here I just can't trust Robbie Lawler to fight like the Robbie Lawler that we saw and even if I could I think that um you know he's going to get hit a lot and um taking a punch from Bryan Barberena is a little different from taking a punch from uh the NOT_IN_ROSTER_21 that that we saw so I'm taking Bryan Barberena here I think this this could this is going to be you know high volume high output Affair um I think both sides here are you know ready to go um I think they're going to bring the fight out of each other um but I'm taking Bryan Barberena here”
WP We Want Picks picks Bryan Barberena VALUE “i think it's brian barbarena in his time i think he's going to get it done i think Bryan Barberena at 7 700 i think there's a real shot he gets this done” $78.00
WP We Want Picks picks Bryan Barberena VALUE “sean o'malley's getting 13. that answer is emphatic yes Bryan Barberena's volumes are insane he put up 195 strikes against vincente lucay and that fight didn't even go to a decision so he'll definitely blow past Sean O'Malley”
HB Half The Battle picks Bryan Barberena VALUE “i'm gonna slightly lean with Bryan Barberena” $2.05
SH Sherdog.com picks Robbie Lawler “i'm going for Robbie Lawler and and funny i go you know you're already mcdonald a second ago and uh now with robbie laller” $1.83
MJ MMA JOEY picks Robbie Lawler VALUE “Robbie Lawler's probably my favorite fighter”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Bryan Barberena VALUE “i think barbarian if he wins this fight i don't know if he finishes Robbie Lawler but i think he puts up a ton of EVENT_DETAILS” $78.00
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Robbie Lawler “give me the youth of barbarina seven years younger i like the volume of barbarina um and i think he's less washed i guess but my goodness like this is tough i was give me the give me the youth of barbarina” $1.83
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Bryan Barberena VALUE “Jessica Eye'm gonna go wJessica Eyeth uh jalen JalJessica Eyen Turner for the w”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Robbie Lawler “Ian Garry by decJessica EyesJessica Eyeon”
AM Artem MMA picks Bryan Barberena VALUE “i am picking Bryan Barberena here”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Robbie Lawler “i'm taking the og Robbie Lawler purely because i think he's gonna put two together”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Barberena18-12
L Meerschaert Submission · R2 Mar '24
L Muradov Decision · R3 Jul '23
L Nelson Submission · R1 Mar '23
L Anjos Submission · R2 Dec '22
W Lawler KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
Lawler30-16
W Price KO/TKO · R1 Jul '23
L Barberena KO/TKO · R2 Jul '22
W Diaz KO/TKO · R3 Sep '21
L Magny Decision · R3 Aug '20
L Covington Decision · R5 Aug '19