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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Pereira v Strickland
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Pereira 13-3
VS
30-7 Strickland
6'4"
height
6'1"
251 lb
weight
185 lb
79"
reach
76"
38
age
35
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
5.8
54%
striking accuracy
47%
3.8
strikes absorbed / min
4.1
61%
striking defence
58%
0.1
takedowns / 15 min
1.9
0%
takedown accuracy
40%
92%
takedown defence
78%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.5
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RU
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I'm taking Sean Strickland here again I I hope he doesn't I found out now listening to the Santo DeFranco podcast that um you know Fighters call other fighters who don't have a great sense of fight IQ Apes and I hope that Sean Strickland is not an ape here because he does he should use his wrestling you know he should not try and look look he he could have the ego and look that press conference was fire I mean it was absolute fire I loved it I think maybe the USC is like rethinking like him losing this fight now I think in the beginning they matched him up with Alex Pereira so Alex Pereira would win Alex Pereira fights Israel Adesanya you get that rematch um I I kind of think that now I the UFC is probably neutral on this there's obviously line value here at minus 135 in Sean Strickland um I'm not gonna bet it but I I you know I would have eaten the line value Brett Appley also like strictly here I've Brett Appley daily fan MMA good friend of mine uh real knowledgeable you know DraftKings player um you know been with the community for a lot of years you know he's he's behind uh Sean Strickland here I like Sean Strickland I'm gonna have shares of Alex Pereira but I really do want Sean Strickland to try to wrestle here because I really see that as the better path to Victory I I'm I haven't completely ruled out that he can't out strike him because you know MMA striking versus kickboxing and by the way for you for you guys that don't know about Sean Strickland Sean Strickland aside from the antics his training consists of 90 sparring which is very unusual for for a lot of like you know sparring you know is a necessity but like a lot of guys will tell you they don't want to spar too hard because uh it will it you get injured that way right you could get hurt right and you don't want to get hurt when you're looking for a Payday and these guys fight so infrequently the last thing you want to do is have to bail out of a fight because you got you got injured while you were training Sean Strickland is the complete opposite like he does more sparring than he does running you know or or or flexibility exercises right the guy just likes to get hit right that's the kind of that's the kind of um fighter he is now I heard he did some of this camp at extreme Couture in Vegas so he's been in Vegas for a while um look I just think he's a better MMA fighter than than Alex Pereira um which is why I like him here um I like them by decision but it would not Shock me if he just wore Alex Pereira out unfortunately he's not a high output guy and if he was the favorite on DraftKings going into this I would probably wouldn't like him as much but getting line value I like him a hell of a lot more um so you know give me Sean Strickland I'll take the line value um I like him to win by decision potentially a later finish but I do need him I need him to not be an ape do not be an ape Sean Strickland thank you”
RotoWire MMA / UFC picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I'm taking Sean Strickland here again I I hope he doesn't I found out now listening to the Santo DeFranco podcast that um you know Fighters call other fighters who don't have a great sense of fight IQ Apes and I hope that Sean Strickland is not an ape here because he does he should use his wrestling you know he should not try and look look he he could have the ego and look that press conference was fire I mean it was absolute fire I loved it I think maybe the USC is like rethinking like him losing this fight now I think in the beginning they matched him up with Alex Pereira so Alex Pereira would win Alex Pereira fights Israel Adesanya you get that rematch um I I kind of think that now I the UFC is probably neutral on this there's obviously line value here at minus 135 in Sean Strickland um I'm not gonna bet it but I I you know I would have eaten the line value Brett Appley also like strictly here I've Brett Appley daily fan MMA good friend of mine uh real knowledgeable you know DraftKings player um you know been with the community for a lot of years you know he's he's behind uh Sean Strickland here I like Sean Strickland I'm gonna have shares of Alex Pereira but I really do want Sean Strickland to try to wrestle here because I really see that as the better path to Victory I I'm I haven't completely ruled out that he can't out strike him because you know MMA striking versus kickboxing and by the way for you for you guys that don't know about Sean Strickland Sean Strickland aside from the antics his training consists of 90 sparring which is very unusual for for a lot of like you know sparring you know is a necessity but like a lot of guys will tell you they don't want to spar too hard because uh it will it you get injured that way right you could get hurt right and you don't want to get hurt when you're looking for a Payday and these guys fight so infrequently the last thing you want to do is have to bail out of a fight because you got you got injured while you were training Sean Strickland is the complete opposite like he does more sparring than he does running you know or or or flexibility exercises right the guy just likes to get hit right that's the kind of that's the kind of um fighter he is now I heard he did some of this camp at extreme Couture in Vegas so he's been in Vegas for a while um look I just think he's a better MMA fighter than than Alex Pereira um which is why I like him here um I like them by decision but it would not Shock me if he just wore Alex Pereira out unfortunately he's not a high output guy and if he was the favorite on DraftKings going into this I would probably wouldn't like him as much but getting line value I like him a hell of a lot more um so you know give me Sean Strickland I'll take the line value um I like him to win by decision potentially a later finish but I do need him I need him to not be an ape do not be an ape Sean Strickland thank you”
TH
ThaGamingDojo picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I'm going with Sean Strickland on this one”
ThaGamingDojo picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“I'm going with Sean Strickland on this one”
TH
ThaGamingDojo picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I think Alex Pereira yeah to come on too you know what's crazy”
ThaGamingDojo picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“I think Alex Pereira yeah to come on too you know what's crazy”
MJ
MMA JOEY picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“i'd probably take izzy”
MMA JOEY picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“i'd probably take izzy”
WP
We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“i think Alex Pereira wins those exchanges”
We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“i think Alex Pereira wins those exchanges”
HB
Half The Battle picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“eileen pereira i think he's gonna get off more damage”
$1.91
Half The Battle picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“eileen pereira i think he's gonna get off more damage”
$1.91
SH
Sherdog.com picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“i'm going for Sean Strickland and he is at plus one or three uh to be uh uh here Alex Pereira”
$2.03
Sherdog.com picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“i'm going for Sean Strickland and he is at plus one or three uh to be uh uh here Alex Pereira”
$2.03
AM
Artem MMA picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“i'm picking him as that slight underdog”
Artem MMA picks Sean Strickland VALUE
“i'm picking him as that slight underdog”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alex Pereira
“i'm taking Alex Pereira to win this fight”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Alex Pereira
“i'm taking Alex Pereira to win this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“i still like Alex Pereira to win because while Sean Strickland does have some deceiving power and insane volume i think the majority of this fight will be striking and i think Alex Pereira wins those exchanges”
We Want Picks picks Alex Pereira VALUE
“i still like Alex Pereira to win because while Sean Strickland does have some deceiving power and insane volume i think the majority of this fight will be striking and i think Alex Pereira wins those exchanges”
TF
The ICE Files picks Sean Strickland
“i'm gonna go with Sean Strickland on this one”
The ICE Files picks Sean Strickland
“i'm gonna go with Sean Strickland on this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Pereira13-3
L
Gane
Jun '26
W
Ankalaev
Oct '25
L
Ankalaev
Mar '25
W
Rountree Jr.
Oct '24
W
Procházka
Jun '24
Strickland30-7
W
Chimaev
May '26
W
Hernandez
Feb '26
L
Plessis
Feb '25
W
Costa
Jun '24
L
Plessis
Jan '24