MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Emmett v Kattar Featherweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus13 picks · conf 34/99
Emmett 2
11 Kattar
MS pick Emmett
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Emmett 19-6 VS 23-8 Kattar
5'6" height 5'11"
146 lb weight 146 lb
70" reach 72"
41 age 38
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.9 strikes landed / min 4.8
58% striking accuracy 39%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 6.8
49% striking defence 54%
2.5 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
63% takedown accuracy 29%
58% takedown defence 72%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.1
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CO Covers picks Calvin Kattar “so i like Calvin Kattar to win this one” $1.44
WP We Want Picks picks Calvin Kattar VALUE “i'm going with Calvin Kattar here” $75.00
KU Kunath picks Calvin Kattar “we have calvin kater at the top i expect him to win”
KU Kunath picks Josh Emmett VALUE “i wouldn't be surprised if we saw a knock down or two from josh emmett maybe even a late finish”
SH Sherdog.com picks Josh Emmett VALUE “I'm going for house mafio at plus 160 to Deron Winn here” $2.60
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Calvin Kattar “there's Josh Emmett who's uh you know he's a sacramento boy”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Josh Emmett VALUE “i think that little bit of explosion and power and aggressiveness from from josh is going to pay off”
HB Half The Battle picks Calvin Kattar “Eileen Cater” $1.43
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Calvin Kattar VALUE “i like Calvin Kattar a lot in this fight um the things i like are this is a five round fight i like that i like the volume from common caterer landing over five sniffing strikes per minute i like the power of communcator as well and i like the fact that he's never been knocked down he's never been knocked out” $89.00
MP MMA Prophecy picks Calvin Kattar “I like this one Calvin Kattar kato to get a win”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Calvin Kattar “Josh Emmett vs Calvin Kattar”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Josh Emmett VALUE “we have Adrian Yañez at minus 335 and Tony Kelley Tony Kelley at plus 225 all right we've got Kyle Daukaus at minus 240 Roman Dolidze plus uh 195. Phil Hawes minus 265 uh Deron Winn plus 212”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Emmett19-6
L Vallejos KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Zalal Submission · R1 Oct '25
L Murphy Decision · R5 Apr '25
W Mitchell KO/TKO · R1 Dec '23
L Topuria Decision · R5 Jun '23
Kattar23-8
L Garcia Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Zalal Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Sterling Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Allen KO/TKO · R2 Oct '22
L Emmett Decision · R5 Jun '22