MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Hawes v Winn Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →
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Consensus5 picks · conf 15/99
Hawes 5
0 Winn
MSTWM pick Hawes
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Hawes 12-6 VS 7-3 Winn
6'0" height 5'6"
185 lb weight 186 lb
78" reach 70"
37 age 37
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.3 strikes landed / min 4.5
59% striking accuracy 44%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 6.2
55% striking defence 46%
2.1 takedowns / 15 min 4.3
34% takedown accuracy 52%
90% takedown defence 40%
0.2 submissions / 15 min 0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Phil Hawes VALUE “i think this is phil haase's fight” $91.00
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Phil Hawes VALUE “i'm gonna pick it Phil Hawes for the win phil has for the win”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Deron Winn VALUE “i see it i watch it in training every day uh Deron Winn man he's gonna get it done”
MP MMA Prophecy picks Phil Hawes VALUE “I'm going field horse to win possibly by knockout as well”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Phil Hawes VALUE “i think Phil Hawes haas gets this” $1.38
TF The ICE Files picks Phil Hawes “i'm gonna take phil haas on this one”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Hawes12-6
L Ferreira KO/TKO · R1 Jan '24
L Aliskerov KO/TKO · R1 May '23
L Dolidze KO/TKO · R1 Oct '22
W Winn KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
L Curtis KO/TKO · R1 Nov '21
Winn7-3
L Hawes KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
W Arroyo Decision · R3 Dec '20
L Meerschaert Submission · R3 Mar '20
L Stewart Decision · R3 Oct '19
W Spicely Decision · R3 Jun '19