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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Buckley v Duraev Middleweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus7 picks · conf 21/99
Buckley 3
4 Duraev
TMT pick Buckley
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Buckley 21-7 VS 16-5 Duraev
5'10" height 5'11"
171 lb weight 186 lb
76" reach 75"
32 age 37
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.1 strikes landed / min 3.0
36% striking accuracy 40%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 3.0
57% striking defence 59%
2.0 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
46% takedown accuracy 29%
69% takedown defence 66%
0.0 submissions / 15 min 0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Albert Duraev VALUE “i think Albert Duraev wins this fight”
KU Kunath picks Albert Duraev VALUE “i expect ... albert toriev also win”
KU Kunath picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “if joakim buckley wins by knockout that wouldn't surprise me one bit”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Albert Duraev
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Joaquin Buckley
HB Half The Battle picks Joaquin Buckley “I kind of leaned derived here” $1.42
HB Half The Battle picks Albert Duraev VALUE “my pick is albert derive” $3.00
SD Santino DeFranco picks Albert Duraev VALUE “Albert Duraev minus 220 and Joaquin Buckley 175” $1.45
TF The ICE Files picks Joaquin Buckley “i'm gonna go with uh albert derive i think uh he's gonna dominate Joaquin Buckley”
TF The ICE Files picks Albert Duraev VALUE “i'm gonna go with uh albert derive”
TG THE MMA GURU picks Joaquin Buckley VALUE “i'm picking the underdog of joaquin buckley”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Buckley21-7
L Brady Decision · R3 May '26
L Usman Decision · R5 Jun '25
W Covington KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
W Thompson KO/TKO · R3 Oct '24
W Ruziboev Decision · R3 May '24
Duraev16-5
L Jun-yong Submission · R2 Jul '23
W Njokuani Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Buckley KO/TKO · R2 Jun '22
W Kopylov Decision · R3 Oct '21