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Holland vs MeansMain Card · Welterweight
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Ismagulov vs KutateladzeMain Card · Lightweight
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Rodrigues vs MarquezMain Card · Middleweight
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Silva vs JasudaviciusPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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Wells vs McGeePreliminary Card · Welterweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Rodrigues v Marquez
Middleweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Rodrigues 18-6
VS
9-5 Marquez
6'3"
height
6'2"
186 lb
weight
186 lb
75"
reach
72"
34
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
5.5
strikes landed / min
4.8
56%
striking accuracy
45%
4.7
strikes absorbed / min
5.1
51%
striking defence
50%
2.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
41%
takedown accuracy
0%
100%
takedown defence
53%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
2.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“i think he wins this fight because of those things”
$86.00
We Want Picks picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“i think he wins this fight because of those things”
$86.00
KU
Kunath picks Gregory Rodrigues
“i like Gregory Rodrigues again more tools”
Kunath picks Gregory Rodrigues
“i like Gregory Rodrigues again more tools”
SH
Sherdog.com picks Julian Marquez
“Gregory Rodrigues minus 200 Julian Marquez plus 170. mark is the guy i just i can't trust in the fight”
$2.70
Sherdog.com picks Julian Marquez
“Gregory Rodrigues minus 200 Julian Marquez plus 170. mark is the guy i just i can't trust in the fight”
$2.70
SH
Sherdog.com picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going for alex martinez to Deron Winn in the main event uh against clay collard”
$2.65
Sherdog.com picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“I'm going for alex martinez to Deron Winn in the main event uh against clay collard”
$2.65
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Julian Marquez
MMA EXPERTS picks Julian Marquez
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Gregory Rodrigues
MMA EXPERTS picks Gregory Rodrigues
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Julian Marquez VALUE
“i like the durability of marcus this guy is extremely tough to finish great chin good submission game and i don't know if i can say the same thing about Gregory Rodrigues in terms of the durability we have seen Gregory Rodrigues hurt multiple times we've seen him knocked out a couple times as well and Julian Marquez does hit very hard and mark if Gregory Rodrigues wants to go to war with Julian Marquez instead of taking him down taking the path to least resistance Julian Marquez is very alive to catch him and in this fight so i don't mind some Julian Marquez at 7 700”
$78.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Julian Marquez VALUE
“i like the durability of marcus this guy is extremely tough to finish great chin good submission game and i don't know if i can say the same thing about Gregory Rodrigues in terms of the durability we have seen Gregory Rodrigues hurt multiple times we've seen him knocked out a couple times as well and Julian Marquez does hit very hard and mark if Gregory Rodrigues wants to go to war with Julian Marquez instead of taking him down taking the path to least resistance Julian Marquez is very alive to catch him and in this fight so i don't mind some Julian Marquez at 7 700”
$78.00
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“i think we talked about this a little bit earlier uh Julian Marquez and Gregory Rodrigues could be uh a parley buster”
$1.48
Santino DeFranco picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“i think we talked about this a little bit earlier uh Julian Marquez and Gregory Rodrigues could be uh a parley buster”
$1.48
AM
Artem MMA picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“i'm gonna go Gregory Rodrigues for like a round three finish after my keys gas gases out pretty bad or a decision i think that he should win this one”
Artem MMA picks Gregory Rodrigues VALUE
“i'm gonna go Gregory Rodrigues for like a round three finish after my keys gas gases out pretty bad or a decision i think that he should win this one”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Rodrigues18-6
W
Ferreira
Mar '26
W
Kopylov
Nov '25
W
Hermansson
Jun '25
L
Cannonier
Feb '25
W
Duncan
Jul '24
Marquez9-5
L
Brundage
Mar '25
L
Reese
Jun '24
L
Barriault
Mar '23
L
Rodrigues
Jun '22
W
Alvey
Apr '21