MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Vera
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Vera v Font Catchweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus14 picks · conf 35/99
Vera 7
7 Font
MUSATD pick Vera
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Vera 23-11-1 VS 0-0 Font
5'8" height 5'8"
136 lb weight 135 lb
70" reach 72"
33 age 39
Switch stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 2.5
46% striking accuracy 50%
3.3 strikes absorbed / min 4.0
52% striking defence 53%
3.0 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
69% takedown accuracy 32%
66% takedown defence 82%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 1.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WP We Want Picks picks Rob Font “except rob fonte's going to win”
WP We Want Picks picks Rob Font VALUE “i'm on the Rob Font side”
CO Covers picks Rob Font VALUE “i'm backing Rob Font to win” $1.73
SH Sherdog.com picks Rob Font VALUE “i'm going for here is Rob Font straight up the winner minus 135” $1.74
TM The MMA-Holes picks Rob Font VALUE
WP We Want Picks picks Marlon Vera VALUE “we're going with carlos he's one of the biggest underdogs on the card”
WP We Want Picks picks Rob Font VALUE “i do like font to win i think he's a little too composed a little too well-rounded to get caught up in a fire fight i like font to mirror some of the success he had against jose aldo like his accuracy and his volume but this time i think he gets the win so cheetah vera has an incredible chin and a ton of power so rob is gonna need to stay on point for the full 25 minutes but i do like raw font to get to win and i got him at minus 140 money line bet” $1.71
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Rob Font VALUE “if Rob Font wins this fight it's going to be my decision”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Marlon Vera VALUE “i think Marlon Vera is very very live there” $80.00
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Marlon Vera “I'm excited to see what Marlon Vera does with those additional two rounds... I think he's still going to be just as aggressive... I wonder whether Marlon Vera actually is going to get better into the fourth and fifth round because what I will say with Marlon Vera is you know he starts off at a fast pace and then he maintains that fast pace all the way through it's a constant pressure style and that's really what got to NOT_IN_ROSTER_7 in the end.”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Marlon Vera VALUE “Tetsura should win he absolutely should win he's a favorite he should win this”
WP We Want Picks picks Marlon Vera VALUE “tyra's the pick”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Vera23-11-1
L Martínez Decision · R3 Feb '26
L Zahabi Decision · R3 Oct '25
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Aug '24
L O'Malley Decision · R5 Mar '24
W Munhoz Decision · R3 Aug '23
Font0-0
L Rosas Jr. Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Martínez Decision · R3 Sep '25
W Matsumoto Decision · R3 Feb '25
W Phillips Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Figueiredo Decision · R3 Dec '23