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Arlovski vs CollierMain Card · Heavyweight
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Vera vs FontMain Card · Catchweight
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Arlovski vs CollierMain Card · Heavyweight
JB
AF
Brito vs FiliMain Card · Featherweight
GD
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Dawson vs GordonMain Card · Lightweight
DE
TC
Elkins vs ConnellyMain Card · Featherweight
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Jotko vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight
AR
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Romanov vs ShermanPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
FF
DL
Figueiredo vs LacerdaPreliminary Card · Flyweight
GG
YL
Green vs LainessePreliminary Card · Welterweight
NL
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Levy vs BreedenPreliminary Card · Lightweight
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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Arlovski v Collier
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Arlovski 34-24
VS
13-10 Collier
6'3"
height
—
245 lb
weight
—
77"
reach
—
47
age
37
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.8
strikes landed / min
5.8
45%
striking accuracy
44%
3.2
strikes absorbed / min
5.1
57%
striking defence
50%
0.4
takedowns / 15 min
0.7
35%
takedown accuracy
33%
76%
takedown defence
67%
0.2
submissions / 15 min
0.6
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i'm positive this guy's gonna win this fight”
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i'm positive this guy's gonna win this fight”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jake Collier VALUE
“i'm going with jay collier i think he's gonna have the speed advantage he is a heavyweight but he still fights like a middleweight he still fights like like a smaller guy he's got the speed he doesn't he kind of has that middleweight power and heavyweight that's why he doesn't get a lot of finishes but i could see these guys throwing down in that Chase Sherman fight there were some exchanges where they were they were landing shots Jake Collier collier was eating those shots fine uh you mentioned the grappling it wasn't a takedown he caught a kick and chase sherman just fell down so he just fallen to the ground and that's where chase sherman basically just kind of gave up um in that choke so it wasn't like a true like he's trying to grapple it's just an opportunistic thing but he he took advantage of it he got he was on the ground and he submitted the guy so um you know this is a this is a tough fight to pick uh both of these guys are you know neither ones you guys are knockout guys both have been knocked out before um it is really kind of a toss up so i'll play the underdog side i gotta stick with my boy Jake Collier Jake Collier Jake Collier Jake Collier you know we got to do that so i'm going Jake Collier on the underdog roll i think he knocks him out”
We Want Picks picks Jake Collier VALUE
“i'm going with jay collier i think he's gonna have the speed advantage he is a heavyweight but he still fights like a middleweight he still fights like like a smaller guy he's got the speed he doesn't he kind of has that middleweight power and heavyweight that's why he doesn't get a lot of finishes but i could see these guys throwing down in that Chase Sherman fight there were some exchanges where they were they were landing shots Jake Collier collier was eating those shots fine uh you mentioned the grappling it wasn't a takedown he caught a kick and chase sherman just fell down so he just fallen to the ground and that's where chase sherman basically just kind of gave up um in that choke so it wasn't like a true like he's trying to grapple it's just an opportunistic thing but he he took advantage of it he got he was on the ground and he submitted the guy so um you know this is a this is a tough fight to pick uh both of these guys are you know neither ones you guys are knockout guys both have been knocked out before um it is really kind of a toss up so i'll play the underdog side i gotta stick with my boy Jake Collier Jake Collier Jake Collier Jake Collier you know we got to do that so i'm going Jake Collier on the underdog roll i think he knocks him out”
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i like Andrei Arlovski to win here veteran savvy solid striking another decision win in a row and i have a money line a bet on Andrei Arlovski i got a little bit better than this i think it was minus 130”
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i like Andrei Arlovski to win here veteran savvy solid striking another decision win in a row and i have a money line a bet on Andrei Arlovski i got a little bit better than this i think it was minus 130”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jake Collier VALUE
“i do think he's going to outland Andrei Arlovski”
$79.00
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jake Collier VALUE
“i do think he's going to outland Andrei Arlovski”
$79.00
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Andrei Arlovski
“i'm taking the og i didn't take clay guido but i'm taking arlovsky let's go”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Andrei Arlovski
“i'm taking the og i didn't take clay guido but i'm taking arlovsky let's go”
GP
Greedo Plays picks Andrei Arlovski
“we've got Andrei Arlovski again fighting another younger heavyweight will he probably win by decision most likely”
Greedo Plays picks Andrei Arlovski
“we've got Andrei Arlovski again fighting another younger heavyweight will he probably win by decision most likely”
WP
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i like andre olaski to just literally cruise to another striking decision win”
We Want Picks picks Andrei Arlovski VALUE
“i like andre olaski to just literally cruise to another striking decision win”
KU
Kunath picks Jake Collier VALUE
“he fought Jake Collier who was able to take him down and submit him”
Kunath picks Jake Collier VALUE
“he fought Jake Collier who was able to take him down and submit him”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jake Collier
“you know Jake Collier's taking you down and submitting you imagine what Alexander Romanov's gonna do this guy so i like Alexander Romanov a lot”
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Jake Collier
“you know Jake Collier's taking you down and submitting you imagine what Alexander Romanov's gonna do this guy so i like Alexander Romanov a lot”
WP
We Want Picks picks Jake Collier VALUE
“I'm going with sue medeirji here”
We Want Picks picks Jake Collier VALUE
“I'm going with sue medeirji here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Arlovski34-24
L
Buday
Jun '24
L
Cortes-Acosta
Jan '24
L
Mayes
Jun '23
L
Lima
Oct '22
W
Collier
Apr '22
Collier13-10
L
Usman
Sep '23
L
Buday
Apr '23
L
Barnett
Sep '22
L
Arlovski
Apr '22
W
Sherman
Jan '22