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BEST PRICE
Prophecy read
Blaydes v Daukaus
Heavyweight
Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight.
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Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Blaydes 0-0
VS
12-7 Daukaus
6'4"
height
6'3"
256 lb
weight
205 lb
80"
reach
76"
35
age
36
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
3.5
strikes landed / min
6.0
50%
striking accuracy
50%
1.9
strikes absorbed / min
4.6
58%
striking defence
55%
5.7
takedowns / 15 min
0.0
53%
takedown accuracy
0%
31%
takedown defence
100%
0.0
submissions / 15 min
0.0
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
Recommendation
Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only
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Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MP
MMA Prophecy picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i'm gonna take the underdog you know i think he's he's only got around one punch five rounds they all start on the feet i reckon he'll just go crazy for that knockout if he knows he's going to get wrestled and smothered for the 25 minutes so yeah risky but that's my pick”
MMA Prophecy picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i'm gonna take the underdog you know i think he's he's only got around one punch five rounds they all start on the feet i reckon he'll just go crazy for that knockout if he knows he's going to get wrestled and smothered for the 25 minutes so yeah risky but that's my pick”
DN
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i think he can kind of do the same thing here tons of takedowns against Chris Daukaus and eventually probably get a finish”
$1.29
DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i think he can kind of do the same thing here tons of takedowns against Chris Daukaus and eventually probably get a finish”
$1.29
WP
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i like blades to dominate i like him to get a million takedowns and i like him to just put up solid points 9 200 bucks frankly i'm surprised he's not 94 96. so i like blades to win”
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i like blades to dominate i like him to get a million takedowns and i like him to just put up solid points 9 200 bucks frankly i'm surprised he's not 94 96. so i like blades to win”
ME
MMA EXPERTS picks Curtis Blaydes
“i'm personally picking latifi by decision”
MMA EXPERTS picks Curtis Blaydes
“i'm personally picking latifi by decision”
HB
Half The Battle picks Curtis Blaydes
“i have a feeling this fight's not going to go five rounds nick i am with you this is definitely a big test for dacas”
Half The Battle picks Curtis Blaydes
“i have a feeling this fight's not going to go five rounds nick i am with you this is definitely a big test for dacas”
HB
Half The Battle picks Chris Daukaus
“this is definitely a big test for dacas to see if he could belong in the upper tier of the heavyweights”
Half The Battle picks Chris Daukaus
“this is definitely a big test for dacas to see if he could belong in the upper tier of the heavyweights”
WP
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i like alexi olynyk to win”
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i like alexi olynyk to win”
WP
We Want Picks picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“i like blades to dominate”
We Want Picks picks Chris Daukaus VALUE
“i like blades to dominate”
WP
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i think Curtis Blaydes dominates this fight wrestle wrestle wrestler and i do not see Chris Daukaus landing that that one punch knockout”
$1.17
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i think Curtis Blaydes dominates this fight wrestle wrestle wrestler and i do not see Chris Daukaus landing that that one punch knockout”
$1.17
WP
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes
“i do like neil to win this fight but in my opinion he should be like a minus 120 favorite i think minus 230 is a bit too wide”
$1.43
We Want Picks picks Curtis Blaydes
“i do like neil to win this fight but in my opinion he should be like a minus 120 favorite i think minus 230 is a bit too wide”
$1.43
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Chris Daukaus
“No direct quote”
Santino DeFranco picks Chris Daukaus
“No direct quote”
SD
Santino DeFranco picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i think i like lou for the win here”
Santino DeFranco picks Curtis Blaydes VALUE
“i think i like lou for the win here”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Blaydes0-0
L
Hokit
Apr '26
W
Kuniev
Jun '25
L
Aspinall
Jul '24
W
Almeida
Mar '24
L
Pavlovich
Apr '23
Daukaus12-7
L
Rountree Jr.
Aug '23
L
Rozenstruik
Dec '22
L
Blaydes
Mar '22
L
Lewis
Dec '21
W
Abdurakhimov
Sep '21