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CB CD Blaydes vs DaukausMain Card · Heavyweight AG JW Grasso vs WoodMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BB MB Barberena vs BrownMain Card · Welterweight KK AA Kara-France vs AskarovMain Card · Flyweight NM MG Magny vs GriffinMain Card · Welterweight MD VB Diakiese vs BorshchevMain Card · Lightweight SM KR McMann vs RosaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CG DB Gutiérrez vs BatgerelPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AK DT Khizriev vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight MF JM Fiorot vs MaiaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MN DD Nicolau vs DvořákPreliminary Card · Flyweight LS BS Saldaña vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Grasso v Wood Women'S Flyweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side
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Consensus11 picks · conf 31/99
Grasso 8
3 Wood
MGAWWM pick Grasso
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Grasso 16-5-1 VS 17-8 Wood
5'5" height 5'6"
126 lb weight 125 lb
66" reach 65"
32 age 40
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.2 strikes landed / min 7.1
41% striking accuracy 51%
3.7 strikes absorbed / min 4.9
58% striking defence 51%
0.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
40% takedown accuracy 55%
54% takedown defence 58%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.3
The model read
Deep research · camps & rumours
AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.
What the numbers say
Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.
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Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “i gotta go towards Alexa Grasso to win a decision” $1.43
MP MMA Prophecy picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “i'm taking Alexa Grasso all day her boxing skills like one of the best in the women's flower division in my opinion so yeah... to get a win”
DN DFS BY THE NUMBERS picks Joanne Wood VALUE “i do like me some wood especially in cash but for tournaments as well i don't hate her”
WP We Want Picks picks Joanne Wood VALUE “i do think she wins this fight alexa grosso is very good but she does not have the knockout power or submission game of tyler santos she's not as physically imposing as lauren murphy so what's she gonna do how's she gonna win she gonna out volume joanne wood very possible very possible but at 36 years old the amount of fights i mean look at this resume the amount of fights that she's had at the level that she's fought i think she veteran savvy's her way to win here 7 200 i would probably do it”
HB Half The Battle picks Joanne Wood “Alexa Grasso vs Joanne Wood”
HB Half The Battle picks Alexa Grasso “we got a matchup between Alexa Grasso vs Joanne Wood”
WP We Want Picks picks Joanne Wood VALUE “i do think she wins this fight”
WP We Want Picks picks Joanne Wood VALUE “i like Joanne Wood in this fight she's a pretty big underdog here i'm liking her i might throw a money line bet on her”
WP We Want Picks picks Alexa Grasso “i think Alexa Grasso grosser all the way she has really good clinch control and i've seen Joanne Wood and her fights get controlled in the clinch before against the cage i could see Joanne Wood taking you know lazy shots getting the clinch you know Alexa Grasso is able to withstand the the shots and get her against the cage and win those clinch controls and i think she absolutely dominates this fight”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Joanne Wood “No direct quote”
SD Santino DeFranco picks Alexa Grasso “No direct quote”
DR Dan Hardy | Full Reptile picks Alexa Grasso VALUE “None”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Grasso16-5-1
W Barber KO/TKO · R1 Mar '26
L Silva Decision · R3 May '25
L Shevchenko Decision · R5 Sep '24
W Shevchenko Submission · R4 Mar '23
W Araújo Decision · R5 Oct '22
Wood17-8
W Moroz Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Carolina Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Grasso Submission · R1 Mar '22
L Santos Submission · R1 Nov '21