Sara McMann vs Karol Rosa · Fight IQ

UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus

Choose a fight to analyse

Blaydes vs DaukausMain Card · Heavyweight AG

Grasso vs WoodMain Card · Women'S Flyweight BB

Barberena vs BrownMain Card · Welterweight KK

Kara-France vs AskarovMain Card · Flyweight NM

Magny vs GriffinMain Card · Welterweight MD

Diakiese vs BorshchevMain Card · Lightweight SM

McMann vs RosaPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight CG

Gutiérrez vs BatgerelPreliminary Card · Bantamweight AK

Khizriev vs TiuliulinPreliminary Card · Middleweight MF

Fiorot vs MaiaPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight MN

Nicolau vs DvořákPreliminary Card · Flyweight LS

Saldaña vs SouzaPreliminary Card · Featherweight

BEST PRICE Prophecy read McMann v Rosa Women'S Bantamweight Edge lockedfair line · EV · value side

The edge on this fight is Pro-onlyPro unlocks our fair line, the EV% and which side we back — plus AI deep research on every fight. Go Pro →

New here? Create a free account for the full leaderboard & bet tracker

Consensus10 picks · conf 30/99

McMann 0

10 Rosa

pick McMann

Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side

McMann 13-6 VS 19-7 Rosa

— height 5'5"

— weight 136 lb

— reach 67"

45 age 31

Orthodox stance Orthodox

2.3 strikes landed / min 6.5

46% striking accuracy 56%

1.9 strikes absorbed / min 4.9

47% striking defence 49%

4.4 takedowns / 15 min 1.2

65% takedown accuracy 46%

50% takedown defence 68%

0.5 submissions / 15 min 0.0

The model read

Deep research · camps & rumours

AI deep research is Pro-onlyLive X + news scouting and the model’s written lean.

What the numbers say

Model vs market is Pro-onlyOur win probability, the 7-day line move and the sharpest method angle.

Recommendation Locked our pick, the fair line & EV are Pro-only Go Pro →

Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight

MMA EXPERTS picks Karol Rosa VALUE “i think Karol Rosa gets it done pretty likely” $1.52

MMA Prophecy picks Karol Rosa VALUE “i'm gonna go with this is a risky pick but i'm gonna go with a little tiffy to get an EVENT_DETAILS knockout if not he's getting submitted but yeah my pixel tv to get a win”

MMA EXPERTS picks Karol Rosa VALUE “i like rosa in this one” $1.48

Half The Battle picks Karol Rosa “i think carl hosa is the hot prospect and i think she's gonna come out here and make Sara McMann quit down the stretch”

Half The Battle picks Sara McMann “i never trusted Sara McMann from day one let alone when she's about to turn 42”