UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SC
Shane Collins
v Otari Tanzilovi
MONEYLINE
WON
Shane Collins
v Otari Tanzilovi
MONEYLINE
WON
“I believe it's Shane Collins who is the far superior fighter. He is very good all around, has good wrestling, good striking, and I expect him to put a pace and pressure on Otari Tanzilovi and avoid the power of the Georgian fighter leading to Shane Collins grinding this fight out and winning it on the score cards.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.57
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
LC
Levan Chokheli
v Leon Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
Levan Chokheli
v Leon Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
“I really like the Levan Chokheli side here who is a former Bellator fighter as I believe he'll be able to bomb on Leon Shahbazyan, avoid the danger that Leon Shahbazyan throws in return allowing Levan Chokheli to eventually find a knockout.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.31
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
MJ
Michael Aswell Jr.
v Gastón Bolaños
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I like me some Asuelu Jr. here, maybe not so much to the minus 400 extent, but I believe he'll be able to land a little bit more effective damage against Gastón Bolaños and really shut down the flashy striking game of Gastón Bolaños. So, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
Jr.’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MJ
Michael Aswell Jr.
v Gastón Bolaños
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I like me some Asuelu Jr. here, maybe not so much to the minus 400 extent, but I believe he'll be able to land a little bit more effective damage against Gastón Bolaños and really shut down the flashy striking game of Gastón Bolaños. So, I'm going to go with NOT_IN_ROSTER_3 by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MR
Mitch Raposo
v Allan Nascimento
MONEYLINE
WON
Mitch Raposo
v Allan Nascimento
MONEYLINE
WON
“I believe Mitch Raposo will be able to take the momentum of his win over Asat Maxum into this fight against Allan Allan Nascimento. Look for Mitch Raposo to utilize his grappling defensively, stick and move well, implement his calf kicks, and end up landing more damage after 15 minutes, and winning this fight on the scorecards.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.75
→
close$2.75
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
MM
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
MONEYLINE
WON
Murtazali Magomedov
v Melsik Baghdasaryan
MONEYLINE
WON
“Unfortunately for Melsik Baghdasaryan, I think this is a bad match-up for him. I think Murtazali Magomedov will be able to remain competitive in the striking realm, and then eventually find moments to get this into the grappling, and I think that will lead to a submission victory for the UFC newcomer.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AL
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
André Lima
v Kevin Borjas
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I really like André Lima in this spot as I think he is the better striker and better grappler, and I think that could allow him to put together a good body of work leading to him eventually finding a finish in the second or third round.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.17
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
VO
Vinicius Oliveira
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
Vinicius Oliveira
v Andre Fili
MONEYLINE
WON
“I like Vinicius Oliveira here because Andre Fili doesn't react well to a guys that are just as aggressive as Vinicius Oliveira. Look for Vinicius Oliveira to create a lot of chaos and eventually find a finish here over Andre Fili within two rounds.”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.37
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
NS
Navajo Stirling
v Ion Cuțelaba
MONEYLINE
WON
Navajo Stirling
v Ion Cuțelaba
MONEYLINE
WON
“Unfortunately for Ion Cuțelaba, I think Navajo Stirling is just too disciplined and composed to get caught by anything big from Ion Cuțelaba. That should lead to Navajo Stirling touching Ion Cuțelaba up, staying safe in the grappling realm, and avoiding the big power punching of Ion Cuțelaba, leading to Navajo Stirling picking him apart and winning this fight on the scorecards.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.34
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
KH
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
MONEYLINE
LOST
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I believe Kyoji Horiguchi is still well-equipped enough to go out there and do what he did in their first fight. I think he'll be a little bit faster, thwart the big power punching style of Manel Kape, and mix in his grappling at opportune moments, which I think will eventually lead to a submission opportunity for Kyoji Horiguchi, allowing the Japanese fighter to get the tap.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.40
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KH
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Kyoji Horiguchi
v Manel Kape
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I believe Kyoji Horiguchi is still well-equipped enough to go out there and do what he did in their first fight. I think he'll be a little bit faster, thwart the big power punching style of Manel Kape, and mix in his grappling at opportune moments, which I think will eventually lead to a submission opportunity for Kyoji Horiguchi, allowing the Japanese fighter to get the tap.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.40
→
close$2.40
Horiguchi’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted