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Fili vs OliveiraMain Card · Featherweight
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Amil vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight
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Lima vs BorjasPreliminary Card · Catchweight
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Baghdasaryan vs MagomedovMain Card · Featherweight
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Nascimento vs RaposoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
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BEST PRICE
We back
Aswell Jr.
over Bolaños · Featherweight
Our fair value$1.19
pays above fair
$1.27
Best prices · Aswell Jr.
FanDuel · US
$1.27
Betway · UK
$1.25
Pinnacle · EU
$1.26
PointsBet (AU) · AU
$1.25
Where to back Aswell Jr.
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.19
US
FanDuel
$1.27
+7%
FanDuel
$1.27
+7%
UK
Betway
$1.25
+5%
Betway
$1.25
+5%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.26
+6%
Pinnacle
$1.26
+6%
AU
PointsBet (AU)
$1.25
+5%
PointsBet (AU)
$1.25
+5%
How it endsmethod calls · Aswell Jr. · crowd line
KO/TKO
16
$2.37
Submission
1
$37.96
Decision
15
$2.53
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Bolaños 8-5
VS
0-0 Aswell Jr.
5'7"
height
—
145 lb
weight
—
69"
reach
—
33
age
—
Orthodox
stance
—
3.7
strikes landed / min
—
50%
striking accuracy
—
2.6
strikes absorbed / min
—
52%
striking defence
—
0.8
takedowns / 15 min
—
100%
takedown accuracy
—
42%
takedown defence
—
0.0
submissions / 15 min
—
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market84% vs 79%
Consensus76 of 79 analysts
Sharpest angleAswell Jr. by KO/TKO — 16 of 32 method calls
Recommendation
Back Aswell Jr. @ $1.27 · fair $1.19
+7% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RS
Round 3: Prediction Show picks Michael Aswell Jr. VALUE
“the value I like in this fight is Michael Aswell Jr. by decision at a plus 115”
$2.15
Round 3: Prediction Show picks Michael Aswell Jr. VALUE
“the value I like in this fight is Michael Aswell Jr. by decision at a plus 115”
$2.15
SS
Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“give me Michael Aswell Jr. by either a round one or a round two uh knockout here.”
Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“give me Michael Aswell Jr. by either a round one or a round two uh knockout here.”
SS
Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Gastón Bolaños
“give me as by unanimous decision.”
Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Gastón Bolaños
“give me as by unanimous decision.”
YA
YapMMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm still going to pick Michael Aswell Jr. because I do think he's much more skilled.”
YapMMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm still going to pick Michael Aswell Jr. because I do think he's much more skilled.”
TM
Tap That MMA picks Gastón Bolaños
“I had to take Geston Banos um at that part.”
Tap That MMA picks Gastón Bolaños
“I had to take Geston Banos um at that part.”
TM
Tap That MMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“if you're going to go Michael Aswell Jr. specifically, I'd go by decision.”
Tap That MMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“if you're going to go Michael Aswell Jr. specifically, I'd go by decision.”
MT
MMA Tugg picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“Michael Aswell Jr., this is your moment. Stamp forward, get a knockout, and tell the UFC you belong. Show us you belong, Michael Aswell Jr. Avoid the spinning attacks, all the flashy nonsense from Gastón Bolaños. Get in his face, put him on the back foot, get him up against the cage, AND START TEEING IT OFF. Michael Aswell Jr. is not losing this fight. I'm not going to let it happen.”
MMA Tugg picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“Michael Aswell Jr., this is your moment. Stamp forward, get a knockout, and tell the UFC you belong. Show us you belong, Michael Aswell Jr. Avoid the spinning attacks, all the flashy nonsense from Gastón Bolaños. Get in his face, put him on the back foot, get him up against the cage, AND START TEEING IT OFF. Michael Aswell Jr. is not losing this fight. I'm not going to let it happen.”
TP
Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“Give me Michael Aswell Jr. to win. And Michael Aswell Jr. win by a second round knockout/TKO over Gastón Bolaños.”
Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“Give me Michael Aswell Jr. to win. And Michael Aswell Jr. win by a second round knockout/TKO over Gastón Bolaños.”
TP
The Franchise Player picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm going to go Michael Aswell Jr. here.”
The Franchise Player picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm going to go Michael Aswell Jr. here.”
WP
We Want Picks picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I do think Michael wins.”
We Want Picks picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I do think Michael wins.”
SQ
SqimpMMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm going to go with a 29-28 Michael Aswell Jr. decision.”
SqimpMMA picks Michael Aswell Jr.
“I'm going to go with a 29-28 Michael Aswell Jr. decision.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Bolaños8-5
W
Jr.
Jun '26
L
Le
May '25
W
Romious
Nov '24
L
McGhee
Jan '24
W
Phillips
Apr '23
Aswell Jr.0-0
L
Bolaños
Jun '26
L
Riley
Mar '26