Choose a fight to analyse
MK
KH
Kape vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
IC
NS
Cuțelaba vs StirlingMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
VO
Fili vs OliveiraMain Card · Featherweight
HA
CR
Amil vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight
AL
KB
Lima vs BorjasPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MB
MM
Baghdasaryan vs MagomedovMain Card · Featherweight
BM
MM
Mesquita vs MullinsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AN
MR
Nascimento vs RaposoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
GB
MJ
Bolaños vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KR
LS
Rosa vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
LS
LC
Shahbazyan vs ChokheliPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SC
OT
Collins vs TanziloviPreliminary Card · Featherweight
KH
Kape vs HoriguchiMain Card · Flyweight
IC
NS
Cuțelaba vs StirlingMain Card · Light Heavyweight
AF
VO
Fili vs OliveiraMain Card · Featherweight
HA
CR
Amil vs RodriguezMain Card · Featherweight
AL
KB
Lima vs BorjasPreliminary Card · Catchweight
MB
MM
Baghdasaryan vs MagomedovMain Card · Featherweight
BM
MM
Mesquita vs MullinsPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
AN
MR
Nascimento vs RaposoPreliminary Card · Flyweight
GB
MJ
Bolaños vs Jr.Preliminary Card · Featherweight
KR
LS
Rosa vs SantosPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight
LS
LC
Shahbazyan vs ChokheliPreliminary Card · Welterweight
SC
OT
Collins vs TanziloviPreliminary Card · Featherweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Horiguchi
over Kape · Flyweight
Our fair value$2.36
Hard Rock Bet · US
$2.35
LiveScore Bet · UK
$2.35
Betsson · EU
$2.40
Where to back Horiguchi
best price · region · EV vs fair $2.36
US
Hard Rock Bet
$2.35
-1%
Hard Rock Bet
$2.35
-1%
UK
LiveScore Bet
$2.35
-1%
LiveScore Bet
$2.35
-1%
EU
BET
Betsson
$2.40
+2%
AU
TAB
$2.40
+2%
How it endsmethod calls · Horiguchi · crowd line
KO/TKO
1
$54.39
Submission
6
$9.06
Decision
16
$3.40
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Kape 22-7
VS
36-5 Horiguchi
5'5"
height
5'4"
126 lb
weight
126 lb
68"
reach
63"
32
age
35
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
4.4
strikes landed / min
3.6
53%
striking accuracy
45%
4.1
strikes absorbed / min
2.5
59%
striking defence
62%
0.5
takedowns / 15 min
2.0
33%
takedown accuracy
44%
73%
takedown defence
55%
0.4
submissions / 15 min
0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market42% vs 42%
Consensus49 of 109 analysts
Sharpest angleHoriguchi by Decision — 16 of 23 method calls
Recommendation
Back Horiguchi @ $2.40 · fair $2.36
+2% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
RS
Round 3: Prediction Show picks Manel Kape VALUE
“that's my value play in this fight is Manel Kape to win in the fourth round, fifth round or by decision at a plus 170”
$2.70
SS
Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Manel Kape
“I'm actually going to get give Manel Kape uh a round two KO”
YA
YapMMA picks Kyoji Horiguchi
“Give me Kyoji Kyoji Horiguchi by decision as the official prediction.”
VO
volksleftnut picks Kyoji Horiguchi
“I'm going Kyoji Horiguchi decision, close fight. Um but I think Horiguchi gets it done by decision.”
WT
WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Manel Kape
“I do think Manel Kape finds finds the success, outlands him, pushes that kind of pace where he's just going to overvol him and probably get a late knockout.”
JU
JuicyMMA picks Manel Kape
“I would lean towards a round three TKO finish for Manel Kape.”
TM
Tap That MMA picks Kyoji Horiguchi
“Koji Kyoji Horiguchi Moneyline is fine.”
TM
Tap That MMA picks Manel Kape
“Manel Kape Money Line by knockout or by decision.”
HB
Half The Battle picks Manel Kape
“I'm going to go Manel Kape to come out here, knock out Kyoji Horiguchi, and secure that title shot.”
KU
Kunath picks Kyoji Horiguchi
“I know people are going to want to play Kyoji Horiguchi this week. Obviously, you have to, right? He's a best fighter, if not second best fighter on the card.”
MK
MMA Kay picks Manel Kape
“I see a late finish here. I think Manel Kape is gonna KO Kyoji Horiguchi Origuchi like in the fourth or fifth round.”
MT
MMA Tugg picks Kyoji Horiguchi VALUE
“my dog of the week is Kyoji Horiguchi. The Gooch is loose.”
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Kape22-7
W
Horiguchi
Jun '26
W
Royval
Dec '25
W
Almabayev
Mar '25
W
Silva
Dec '24
L
Mokaev
Jul '24
Horiguchi36-5
L
Kape
Jun '26
W
Albazi
Feb '26
W
Ulanbekov
Nov '25
W
Bagautinov
Nov '16
W
Seery
May '16