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BEST PRICE We back Mesquita over Mullins · Women'S Bantamweight Our fair value$1.16 Betway pays above fair $1.18
Where to back Mesquita best price · region · EV vs fair $1.16
US Bovada $1.17 +1%
UK Betway $1.18 +2%
EU Pinnacle $1.17 +1%
AU Bet Right $1.16 -0%
Consensus75 picks · conf 77/99
Mesquita 68
7 Mullins
MG1MMM pick Mesquita
How it endsmethod calls · Mesquita · crowd line
KO/TKO 4 $7.56
Submission 22 $1.37
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mesquita 6-0 VS 7-2 Mullins
5'4" height 5'7"
136 lb weight 136 lb
67" reach 68"
35 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.9 strikes landed / min 3.4
56% striking accuracy 56%
4.4 strikes absorbed / min 3.3
55% striking defence 49%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
46% takedown accuracy 37%
80% takedown defence 85%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market86% vs 85%
Consensus68 of 75 analysts
Sharpest angleMesquita by Submission — 22 of 26 method calls
Recommendation Back Mesquita @ $1.18 · fair $1.16 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SS Silly Gilly Goose MMA Show picks Beatriz Mesquita “I like Beatriz Mesquita here in this fight. I can see her getting another finish. Um Melissa Mullins has been knocked out before, and I'm pretty sure it was Nora Coronal. Coral Cornal. Um but I don't know. I don't know if Beatriz Mesquita will knock her out. I think she's going to sub uh Melissa Mullins in this one and give her give her another eight. She's going to leave that goose egg in the lost column. Or give her eight. Not another eight. A new eight. Eight and0 for Beia Beatriz Mesquita by submission.”
YA YapMMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to go with Beatriz Mesquita to win this fight and I think she's going to win this fight by ground and pound TKO.”
MP MPSO picks Beatriz Mesquita “But I'm still going to be at Beatriz Mesquita.”
TM Tap That MMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to be rooting for Beatriz Mesquita in this fight.”
HB Half The Battle picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to go be a Mosquito to come out here and tap out Melissa Mullins.”
MK MMA Kay picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to pick Beatriz Mesquita in this particular one.” $1.17
TP Touch 'Em Up Podcast picks Beatriz Mesquita “Give me Beatriz Mesquita to win by a round two rear naked choke submission over Melissa Melissa Mullins.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Melissa Mullins “I think B Mosquito rolls and finds a submission in the first round.”
SQ SqimpMMA picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to go with the round two submission for Bia Mesquita.”
MR MMA on the Rocks (MMA on the Rocks) picks Beatriz Mesquita “I'm going to go Beatriz Mesquita by submission minus 115.” $1.87
RX RX picks Beatriz Mesquita “be Michael Aswell Jr. by submission in the first.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Beatriz Mesquita “via KO TKO DQ.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mesquita6-0
W Mullins Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Rendon Submission · R1 Mar '26
W Alekseeva Submission · R2 Oct '25
Mullins7-2
L Mesquita Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Zheleznyakova Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Syguła KO/TKO · R2 Nov '24
L Cornolle KO/TKO · R2 Apr '24
W Alekseeva Decision · R3 Oct '23