UFC on ESPN: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · breakdown
Fight Predictions and Best Bets for UFC Fight Night: Tybur vs Spivac 2
MA
MMA Attic61% hit
23 months ago
7W–3L · +3.8u
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SL
Stephanie Luciano
v Talita Alencar
MONEYLINE
WON
Stephanie Luciano
v Talita Alencar
MONEYLINE
WON
“we placed a bet on Stephanie here and hope that she can keep the fight standing this time”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.65
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
JE
Jarno Errens
v Youssef Zalal
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jarno Errens
v Youssef Zalal
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model sees it differently giving aand a small Edge at minus 150 we wouldn't say that this is our most confident bet but if Jarno Errens can fight to a decision the model might just be right”
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$4.60
→
close$5.00
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
JD
Jhonata Diniz
v Karl Williams
MONEYLINE
WON
Jhonata Diniz
v Karl Williams
MONEYLINE
WON
“the model thinks that Jhonata Diniz has a betting chance of winning we expect that Carl's chin will be tested early and if it holds up he should win a decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.80
→
close$2.80
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
PK
Pannie Kianzad
v Karol Rosa
MONEYLINE
LOST
Pannie Kianzad
v Karol Rosa
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the model is giving Pannie Kianzad the small Edge at minus 128 we don't have any problem taking the underdog here”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.81
→
close$2.88
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
TK
Toshiomi Kazama
v Charalampos Grigoriou
MONEYLINE
WON
Toshiomi Kazama
v Charalampos Grigoriou
MONEYLINE
WON
“it's got Toshiomi Kazama as a small favorite forcing us to place a bet with any luck toshiomi has trained his chin over the last year”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.20
→
close$3.20
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
YS
Yana Santos
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
WON
Yana Santos
v Chelsea Chandler
MONEYLINE
WON
“The Bookies and our model both see her as a slight favorite we're going to put money on the line”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.73
→
close$1.73
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
QL
Quang Le
v Chris Gutiérrez
MONEYLINE
LOST
Quang Le
v Chris Gutiérrez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“our model seems to believe that he is up for the challenge and is giving him the slight Edge”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$5.40
→
close$5.50
entry: Ladbrokes AU · best in any region at publish
DB
Danny Barlow
v Nikolay Veretennikov
MONEYLINE
WON
Danny Barlow
v Nikolay Veretennikov
MONEYLINE
WON
“the book odds have Barlo as a heavy favorite here and the model isn't as convinced but still agrees”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
CM
Chepe Mariscal
v Damon Jackson
MONEYLINE
WON
Chepe Mariscal
v Damon Jackson
MONEYLINE
WON
“the bookmakers and the model both like chipe in this fight”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.45
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
SS
Serghei Spivac
v Marcin Tybura
MONEYLINE
WON
Serghei Spivac
v Marcin Tybura
MONEYLINE
WON
“the book odds and the model both favor Sergey here we believe that at 29 years old and with four more years of experience since their first fight minus 155 is a good line to bet on”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.70
→
close$1.67
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish