UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · breakdown
FREE UFC FIGHT NIGHT Picks for Saturday, 7/12/25
TP
Tony's Picks54% hit
11 months ago
7W–4L · +3.0u
11/12 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
FK
Fatima Kline
v Melissa Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
Fatima Kline
v Melissa Martinez
MONEYLINE
WON
“it's clearly the side to uh choose here.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.06
→
close$1.08
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
MR
Mitch Ramirez
v Mike Davis
MONEYLINE
LOST
Mitch Ramirez
v Mike Davis
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to take a shot here with the fat dog and Mitch Ramirez and uh sit here and pray and hope for a KO.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$8.50
→
close$8.50
VW
Valter Walker
v Kennedy Nzechukwu
MONEYLINE
WON
Valter Walker
v Kennedy Nzechukwu
MONEYLINE
WON
“I lean Valter Valter Walker there. Plus 170.”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$2.70
→
close$2.80
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
LM
Lauren Murphy
v Eduarda Moura
MONEYLINE
LOST
Lauren Murphy
v Eduarda Moura
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to go dog or pass there with that and go Lauren Lauren Murphy plus 450.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$6.23
→
close$6.23
JM
Jake Matthews
v Chidi Njokuani
MONEYLINE
WON
Jake Matthews
v Chidi Njokuani
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm leaning the dog there again with Jake Matthews in that fight.”
Line since pick
CLV −20%
◆ entry$1.93
→
close$2.40
entry: Unibet (FR) · best in any region at publish
CC
Chris Curtis
v Max Griffin
PROP · DECISION
WON
Chris Curtis
v Max Griffin
PROP · DECISION
WON
“I would touch the decision by uh you know with Chris Chris Curtis”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.33
Curtis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.71
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.52
→
close$2.52
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.15
→
close$1.15
MC
Morgan Charriere
v Nate Landwehr
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
Morgan Charriere
v Nate Landwehr
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
“I lean Sheree with the knockout plus 200”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$1.40
→
now$1.44
Charriere’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.00
CK
Calvin Kattar
v Steve Garcia
MONEYLINE
LOST
Calvin Kattar
v Steve Garcia
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm going to go to the dog here. It's a theme. Calvin Kattar.”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$2.10
→
close$2.07
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
DL
Derrick Lewis
v Tallison Teixeira
MONEYLINE
WON
Derrick Lewis
v Tallison Teixeira
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think he catches him. Bottom line, I think he catches him.”
Line since pick
CLV −16%
◆ entry$2.97
→
close$3.52
entry: Betclic (FR) · best in any region at publish
ST
Stephen Thompson
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Stephen Thompson
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm going Stephen Stephen Thompson here at the plus 310 price.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.52
→
close$4.52