UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown
Larry’s Betting Guide For UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev
LM
Livid Larry MMA59% hit
10 months ago
3W–3L · +3.7u
6/8 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
MONEYLINE
WON
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
MONEYLINE
WON
“including Lerone Murphy in the co-main event in his fight against Aaron Pico. I'm very surprised to see him as an underdog against someone making their UFC debut.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.56
→
close$2.65
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
DB
Dione Barbosa
v Karine Silva
MONEYLINE
LOST
Dione Barbosa
v Karine Silva
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Dione Barbosa, even though she's taken this fight on short notice, I do just personally believe that she is the better fighter overall in this matchup.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.82
→
close$2.90
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CP
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
MONEYLINE
WON
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
MONEYLINE
WON
“I have ended up choosing Carlos Prates as my favorite lock of the card.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
AH
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
MONEYLINE
WON
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
MONEYLINE
WON
“And the fighter I've chosen for this week is actually Alexander Hernandez. And this is partly the reason why I have been favoring Carlos Prates and even MVP over Chase Hooper as a confident pick for the card.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.64
→
close$3.85
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CF
Carlos Diego Ferreira
v King Green
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
Carlos Diego Ferreira
v King Green
PROP · KO/TKO
VALUE
“Carlos Diego Ferreira by KO is another bet I do have. I do think King Green won't have been recovered enough after the brutal knockout he took.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −13%
◆ entry$1.74
→
now$2.00
Ferreira’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KC
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“And lastly, I do have a bet on Khamzat Chimaev to get the submission in the first two rounds.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
Chimaev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KA
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I've also got Kai Asakura by KO. And this is just something small on him. He's very dangerous and he's dangerous enough to KO an older guy in Tim Elliott in my opinion.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.35
Asakura’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NR
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
Nursulton Ruziboev
v Bryan Battle
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
“And I've personally chosen Dion Barbosa, Nursulton Ruziboev, Laurone Murphy, and Dricus du Plessis as my picks for solid underdogs on this card. Now, Nursulton Ruziboev feels to me like he should be the favorite in this matchup.”
Line since pick
CLV +27%
◆ entry$2.55
→
now$2.00
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish