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UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · breakdown

UFC 310: Pantoja vs Asakura Pick Prediction, Saturday 12/7/24

TP Tony's Picks54% hit
19 months ago 6W–8L · -0.4u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
KA Kai Asakura v Alexandre Pantoja MONEYLINE LOST
“I do think Kai Asakuraen and chck is the side as well and I do like the over one and a half in well in here”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.25 close$3.25
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
CH Chase Hooper v Clay Guida PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“I'm going with Chase Hooper to win um inside the distance um but I do think that that over one and a half is something that I could play to get there and that's something I might you know uh part the first two fights those first two overs and you know try to get paid get in and get out”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.10 close$1.10
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
MG Max Griffin v Michael Chiesa PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I think Max Griffin can catch Michael Chiesa with the straight left hand cross and put his lights out you know what I mean um yeah Max Griffin definitely um it yeah I man I'm going to take the plus money I'm going with the fight not going the distance in that one”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.10 close$2.10
Griffin’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
EA Eryk Anders v Chris Weidman PROP · DECISION LOST
“I think the over two and a half is a good way to go cuz thinking these guys can both stand there and just clench cut each other up against the cage I think this one's going to go to the scorecards I'm playing fight to go the distance in that one”
Moneyline since pick CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.01 close$2.05
Anders’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BB Bryan Battle v Randy Brown PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I don't think this one's going the distance that's my that's my pick in that one”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.57
Battle’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AS Aljamain Sterling v Movsar Evloev MONEYLINE LOST
“I think I would remain Sterling's live in here man um and there's no way uh I could pass up a plus money price tag like this um on alary Sterling you got to show me a little bit AV off before you know we can keep going to war with you against somebody like this but yeah over and unders that's what we here for over 2 and A2 isus 420 you know this fight is going to distance two wrestlers that stand out there and just want to get each other you know in grappling positions so this one's going to distance in my eyes”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.42 close$3.42
entry: Marathon Bet · best in any region at publish
VL Vicente Luque v Themba Gorimbo MONEYLINE WON
“I think this one is going not the distance yeah yeah I don't think it's going to distance at all um yeah we just move on from that one uh the price tag came down uh themma gria opened up a minus 200 now he's down to a minus 160 the Marcus moving in favor of Vicente Luque”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.45 close$2.45
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
DR Dominick Reyes v Anthony Smith METHOD WON
“I like the over one and a half cool I found something I like uh Anthony Smith is real durable and um he's not Anthony Smith is not going to go out there and just try to put Dominick Reyes out too much in the first round either so I do like the over one and a half at a minus 175 in that one I think Dominic Ray still gets the job done”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.30 close$1.30
Reyes’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
NL Nate Landwehr v Choi Doo-ho METHOD LOST
“fight Ain't Going the Distance in this one folks we like the under in this one okay um yeah we we taking the under in that fight”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight
BM Bryce Mitchell v Kron Gracie MONEYLINE WON
“the over two and A2 being so chalky means that you guys should be playing Bryce Mitchell to win by decision because that's probably going to be the way that he's going to win I'm taking a shot on kown Gracie in here”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.14 close$1.14
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
CG Ciryl Gane v Alexander Volkov PROP · DECISION WON
“I think um the over two and a half is the way to go in here and um yeah I can see this one going to the distance in the scorecards”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.31 close$1.31
Gane’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
AP Alexandre Pantoja v Kai Asakura METHOD WON
“I think panoi gets the job done and I don't think this fight goes to dist all right it's Mills young here part of MMA uh locker room with EVENT_DETAILS if you guys want to see exactly what I'm betting on go ahead check out my UFC picks and packages right here on Tony pick we're going over all the fights that finished and some of the fights that went the distance”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.42 close$1.42
Pantoja’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CD Cody Durden v Joshua Van METHOD LOST
“I like Cody deran a little bit in this one I like Joshua Van the way that he fights but I just like Cody Durden cuz he's a guy that when anything's not going his way I know what he's going to do and that's we on the wrestling and I'm going go with fight not going the distance in this one”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.45 close$2.45
Durden’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
IG Ian Machado Garry v Shavkat Rakhmonov METHOD LOST
“I like Ian Machado Garry in this spot man um but it's it's a thing to where sh rakman off he usually finishes all his opponents inside the distance it's it's a value spot too as well I I bet on both these fighters and I don't think it's going to distance um you know I do think um shaat rachmanov should be able to finish Ian Mach Gary”
Analyst’s stated line
no market data captured for this fight