UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown
UFC 319 Predictions and Betting Breakdown Du Plessis vs Chimaev
BG
Bradley Gleason
10 months ago
4W–6L · +2.4u
10/14 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DP
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm gonna go ahead and take Dricus du Plessis plus 200 to knock off Hamzachov and shake up the [ __ ] world.”
Line since pick
CLV −11%
◆ entry$3.08
→
close$3.46
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
MONEYLINE
WON
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
MONEYLINE
WON
“I got same pick Lerone Murphy. If you're giving me plus money on a guy that's 16 and 0 in the UFC...”
Line since pick
CLV −7%
◆ entry$2.47
→
close$2.65
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CP
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
MONEYLINE
WON
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
MONEYLINE
WON
“in my parlay, I have Carlos Protes straight up.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KA
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“I'm going to take Tai by decision just because Tim is notoriously hard to put out.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.35
→
close$1.35
Asakura’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
LG
Loopy Godinez
v Jéssica Andrade
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Loopy Godinez
v Jéssica Andrade
MONEYLINE
VALUE
“I actually like Loopy Godinez in that one.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.74
→
now$1.77
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
JA
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
“I actually like Loopy Godinez in that one.”
Line since pick
CLV +34%
◆ entry$3.15
→
now$2.35
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
KC
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
—
“I'm taking Khamzat Chimaev. And I didn't write down the number. I think it's plus 350. I'm taking him by KO TKO.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.50
Chimaev’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.50
AP
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think Aaron Pico has a huge flaw in his game. A significant flaw that I think uh that I think Murphy takes advantage of...”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.68
→
close$1.68
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
GN
Geoff Neal
v Carlos Prates
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Geoff Neal
v Carlos Prates
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think it's going to be Carlos Protes, but I'm actually going to ride the over.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
BB
Bryan Battle
v Nursulton Ruziboev
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
Bryan Battle
v Nursulton Ruziboev
MONEYLINE
VALUE
—
“give me Nur whatever. Nurse within rows of B or whatever it is. Sure. Plus 142.”
Line since pick
CLV −15%
◆ entry$1.71
→
now$2.00
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CH
Chase Hooper
v Alexander Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
Chase Hooper
v Alexander Hernandez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
—
“I like Chase Hooper by submission plus 150.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.38
Hooper’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.50
AH
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Alexander Hernandez
v Chase Hooper
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I hope he beats the absolute [ __ ] out of Gerald Meerschaert... I like Chase Hooper by submission.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.64
→
close$3.85
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +27%
◆ entry$2.55
→
now$2.00
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
TE
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“give me the under... I think Kai gets it done potentially by submission.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.85
→
close$3.85
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish