MMA Prophecy
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MMA Lock of the Night
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown

UFC Vegas 118 Best Bets | Lock of the Night, Live Dogs, Parlays, & Props

MN MMA Lock of the Night63% hit
4 weeks ago 7W–8L · +1.7u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SL Santiago Luna v Bryce Mitchell MONEYLINE LOST
“the lock of the night play for EVENT_DETAILS is Santiago Luna, who I was able to get at +150 and +130. So, I'll meet in the middle and I'll just put it for tracking purposes at +140.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.20 close$2.20
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
KS Ketlen Souza v Ariane Carnelossi PROP · DECISION LOST
“my official prediction is Ketlen Souza. I think she'll win the crucial moments, but it would not at all surprise me if this goes to a split decision or if Ariane Carnelossi is even able to pull off the upset here.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.34
Souza’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KS Ketlen Souza v Ariane Carnelossi MONEYLINE WON
“my official prediction is Ketlen Souza. I think she'll win the crucial moments, but it would not at all surprise me if this goes to a split decision or if Ariane Carnelossi is even able to pull off the upset here.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33 close$1.34
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AC Ariane Carnelossi v Ketlen Souza MONEYLINE LOST
“So, that's why I'm going to book Ariane Carnelossi as the first live dog.”
Line since pick CLV −8%
◆ entry$3.55 close$3.85
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
JY John Yannis v Marcus McGhee MONEYLINE LOST
“The final dog I'm going to go with here, uh maybe a little bit unpopular and again, I am picking against him, but John Yannis at plus [clears throat] 350 against Marcos Marcus McGhee.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.98 close$4.98
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
MM Marcus McGhee v John Yannis PROP · DECISION WON
“my official prediction was Marcus McGhee by decision. I think he'll land a little bit bigger shots. I think he'll win on a slim margin.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.24 close$1.24
McGhee’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CC Chelsea Chandler v Priscila Cachoeira MONEYLINE WON
“Throw him in with Chelsea Chandler, who I expect to have tremendous success against Priscilla Priscila Cachoeira. Look for Chelsea Chandler's grappling approach to be too much for Priscila Cachoeira, and that should lead to a submission or a TKO for Chelsea Chandler.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.87 close$1.87
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
CC Chelsea Chandler v Priscila Cachoeira PROP · SUBMISSION WON
“I alternately believe it's going to be Chelsea Chandler who takes this fight to the ground, utilizes her superior BJJ game and finds a finish inside the distance which you can get at plus 260. I think specifically it's going to come by submission which you can get at plus 550.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.87 close$1.87
Chandler’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.50
MM Marcus McGhee v John Yannis MONEYLINE WON
“I expect this fight to go the distance. I think it's going to be Marcus McGhee who ends up landing a little bit more effective damage. I think that gets him the win, which you can get at plus 210.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.24 close$1.24
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I believe it's going to be Alessandro Costa by submission. I think he gets this fight to the ground or finds a club and sub, and I think he forces Matt Schnell to tap, and you can get Alessandro Costa by submission at plus 460.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.22
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.60
AC Alessandro Costa v Matt Schnell MONEYLINE WON
“I believe it's going to be Alessandro Costa by submission. I think he gets this fight to the ground or finds a club and sub, and I think he forces Matt Schnell to tap, and you can get Alessandro Costa by submission at plus 460.”
Line since pick CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.22
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
BA Brendan Allen v Edmen Shahbazyan MONEYLINE WON
“I believe Brendan Allen wins by submission, which is plus 220, but I think it's going to come in round two or round three.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BA Brendan Allen v Edmen Shahbazyan PROP · SUBMISSION LOST
“I believe Brendan Allen wins by submission, which is plus 220, but I think it's going to come in round two or round three.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57 close$1.59
Allen’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM Belal Muhammad v Gabriel Bonfim PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I believe Belal Muhammad eventually masters up a TKO here after Gabriel Bonfim gases out. So, even if you just play Belal Muhammad by KO, which is plus 650, not a bad spot.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95 close$1.95
Muhammad’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $7.50
BM Belal Muhammad v Gabriel Bonfim MONEYLINE LOST
“I like me some Belal Muhammad here, but I do like the fight doesn't go to decision the most, which you can currently get at minus 115. I believe Belal Muhammad eventually masters up a TKO here after Gabriel Bonfim gases out.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95 close$1.95
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish