UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
SL
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
Santiago Luna
v Bryce Mitchell
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the lock of the night play for EVENT_DETAILS is Santiago Luna, who I was able to get at +150 and +130. So, I'll meet in the middle and I'll just put it for tracking purposes at +140.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.20
→
close$2.20
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“my official prediction is Ketlen Souza. I think she'll win the crucial moments, but it would not at all surprise me if this goes to a split decision or if Ariane Carnelossi is even able to pull off the upset here.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.34
Souza’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KS
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
Ketlen Souza
v Ariane Carnelossi
MONEYLINE
WON
“my official prediction is Ketlen Souza. I think she'll win the crucial moments, but it would not at all surprise me if this goes to a split decision or if Ariane Carnelossi is even able to pull off the upset here.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33
→
close$1.34
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AC
Ariane Carnelossi
v Ketlen Souza
MONEYLINE
LOST
Ariane Carnelossi
v Ketlen Souza
MONEYLINE
LOST
“So, that's why I'm going to book Ariane Carnelossi as the first live dog.”
Line since pick
CLV −8%
◆ entry$3.55
→
close$3.85
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish
JY
John Yannis
v Marcus McGhee
MONEYLINE
LOST
John Yannis
v Marcus McGhee
MONEYLINE
LOST
“The final dog I'm going to go with here, uh maybe a little bit unpopular and again, I am picking against him, but John Yannis at plus [clears throat] 350 against Marcos Marcus McGhee.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.98
→
close$4.98
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
MM
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
PROP · DECISION
WON
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
PROP · DECISION
WON
“my official prediction was Marcus McGhee by decision. I think he'll land a little bit bigger shots. I think he'll win on a slim margin.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.24
→
close$1.24
McGhee’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CC
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
MONEYLINE
WON
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
MONEYLINE
WON
“Throw him in with Chelsea Chandler, who I expect to have tremendous success against Priscilla Priscila Cachoeira. Look for Chelsea Chandler's grappling approach to be too much for Priscila Cachoeira, and that should lead to a submission or a TKO for Chelsea Chandler.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.87
→
close$1.87
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish
CC
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
Chelsea Chandler
v Priscila Cachoeira
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
“I alternately believe it's going to be Chelsea Chandler who takes this fight to the ground, utilizes her superior BJJ game and finds a finish inside the distance which you can get at plus 260. I think specifically it's going to come by submission which you can get at plus 550.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.87
→
close$1.87
Chandler’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.50
MM
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
Marcus McGhee
v John Yannis
MONEYLINE
WON
“I expect this fight to go the distance. I think it's going to be Marcus McGhee who ends up landing a little bit more effective damage. I think that gets him the win, which you can get at plus 210.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.24
→
close$1.24
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I believe it's going to be Alessandro Costa by submission. I think he gets this fight to the ground or finds a club and sub, and I think he forces Matt Schnell to tap, and you can get Alessandro Costa by submission at plus 460.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.22
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $5.60
AC
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
Alessandro Costa
v Matt Schnell
MONEYLINE
WON
“I believe it's going to be Alessandro Costa by submission. I think he gets this fight to the ground or finds a club and sub, and I think he forces Matt Schnell to tap, and you can get Alessandro Costa by submission at plus 460.”
Line since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.22
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
MONEYLINE
WON
“I believe Brendan Allen wins by submission, which is plus 220, but I think it's going to come in round two or round three.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.59
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
BA
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Brendan Allen
v Edmen Shahbazyan
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I believe Brendan Allen wins by submission, which is plus 220, but I think it's going to come in round two or round three.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.57
→
close$1.59
Allen’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I believe Belal Muhammad eventually masters up a TKO here after Gabriel Bonfim gases out. So, even if you just play Belal Muhammad by KO, which is plus 650, not a bad spot.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.95
Muhammad’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $7.50
BM
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Belal Muhammad
v Gabriel Bonfim
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I like me some Belal Muhammad here, but I do like the fight doesn't go to decision the most, which you can currently get at minus 115. I believe Belal Muhammad eventually masters up a TKO here after Gabriel Bonfim gases out.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.95
→
close$1.95
entry: BetUS · best in any region at publish