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BEST PRICE
We back
Mitchell
over Luna · Bantamweight
Our fair value$1.76
pays above fair
$1.85
Best prices · Mitchell
Caesars · US
$1.83
Betway · UK
$1.80
Pinnacle · EU
$1.85
Bet Right · AU
$1.83
Where to back Mitchell
best price · region · EV vs fair $1.76
US
Caesars
$1.83
+4%
Caesars
$1.83
+4%
UK
Betway
$1.80
+2%
Betway
$1.80
+2%
EU
Pinnacle
$1.85
+5%
Pinnacle
$1.85
+5%
AU
Bet Right
$1.83
+4%
Bet Right
$1.83
+4%
How it endsmethod calls · Mitchell · crowd line
KO/TKO
3
$39.20
Submission
15
$7.84
Decision
49
$2.40
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Mitchell 18-4
VS
8-0 Luna
5'10"
height
5'9"
136 lb
weight
136 lb
70"
reach
74"
31
age
21
Southpaw
stance
Orthodox
2.3
strikes landed / min
—
58%
striking accuracy
—
1.6
strikes absorbed / min
—
58%
striking defence
—
3.5
takedowns / 15 min
—
41%
takedown accuracy
—
33%
takedown defence
—
1.6
submissions / 15 min
—
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 54%
Consensus139 of 215 analysts
Sharpest angleMitchell by Decision — 49 of 67 method calls
Recommendation
Back Mitchell @ $1.85 · fair $1.76
+5% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
MF
Matt’Or Fact picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think Bryce Mitchell runs away with this one.”
Matt’Or Fact picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think Bryce Mitchell runs away with this one.”
UG
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“For me, guys, I have to be honest and say Santiago Luna this weekend is sticking out as a live underdog. And I think Santiago Luna gets it done this weekend.”
UFC GamblingAddicts picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“For me, guys, I have to be honest and say Santiago Luna this weekend is sticking out as a live underdog. And I think Santiago Luna gets it done this weekend.”
P®
Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Bryce Mitchell
“Santiago Santiago Luna giving his um win streak off to Bryce Mitchell”
Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Bryce Mitchell
“Santiago Santiago Luna giving his um win streak off to Bryce Mitchell”
NA
NarcoCopMMA picks Santiago Luna
“I'm leaning Santiago Luna uh you know at at small plus money now.”
NarcoCopMMA picks Santiago Luna
“I'm leaning Santiago Luna uh you know at at small plus money now.”
GP
Going Rounds Podcast picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell beating Santiago Santiago Luna”
Going Rounds Podcast picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell beating Santiago Santiago Luna”
AM
Acolyte MMA picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell by decision here.”
Acolyte MMA picks Bryce Mitchell
“I got Bryce Mitchell by decision here.”
OE
OE picks Santiago Luna
“There's no way I'm going to pick against the Harasa, guys. ... Santiago Luna is the pick, guys.”
OE picks Santiago Luna
“There's no way I'm going to pick against the Harasa, guys. ... Santiago Luna is the pick, guys.”
TC
The Finz Chats picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm gonna be going with Santiago Luna to actually win this fight by submission. I got three units on Santiago Luna moneyline and the subprop plus 1,200 is literally outrageous.”
$13.00
The Finz Chats picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm gonna be going with Santiago Luna to actually win this fight by submission. I got three units on Santiago Luna moneyline and the subprop plus 1,200 is literally outrageous.”
$13.00
BG
Bettor in Green picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think I have to go Bryce Bryce Mitchell still though, man.”
$1.77
Bettor in Green picks Bryce Mitchell
“I think I have to go Bryce Bryce Mitchell still though, man.”
$1.77
WP
We Want Picks picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm going to pick Santiago Luna”
We Want Picks picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I'm going to pick Santiago Luna”
TB
The Barnhill Brothers picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I am going with the underdog here, Santiago Santiago Luna.”
The Barnhill Brothers picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I am going with the underdog here, Santiago Santiago Luna.”
TT
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I like him to knock knock Bryce out at about plus 460”
$5.60
The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Santiago Luna VALUE
“I like him to knock knock Bryce out at about plus 460”
$5.60
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Mitchell18-4
W
Luna
Jun '26
W
Nurmagomedov
Jul '25
L
Silva
Apr '25
W
Gracie
Dec '24
L
Emmett
Dec '23
Luna8-0
L
Mitchell
Jun '26
W
Pacheco
Feb '26
W
Le
Sep '25