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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
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BM GB Muhammad vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight BA ES Allen vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight FZ TN Ziam vs NolanMain Card · Lightweight BM SL Mitchell vs LunaMain Card · Bantamweight IB JT Baraniewski vs TafaMain Card · Light Heavyweight MS AC Schnell vs CostaPreliminary Card · Catchweight MM JY McGhee vs YannisPreliminary Card · Bantamweight BS ÉC Silva vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight PC CC Cachoeira vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JL JB Leavitt vs BritoPreliminary Card · Featherweight JC YD Chaves vs DubenPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KS AC Souza vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Leavitt over Brito · Featherweight Our fair value$2.50 Ladbrokes AU pays above fair $2.55
Where to back Leavitt best price · region · EV vs fair $2.50
US Bovada $2.50 +0%
UK Betway $2.50 +0%
EU NordicBet $2.50 +0%
AU Ladbrokes AU $2.55 +2%
Consensus186 picks · conf 99/99
Leavitt 80
106 Brito
MHHjSM pick Leavitt
How it endsmethod calls · Leavitt · crowd line
Submission 9 $9.43
Decision 25 $3.39
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Leavitt 13-4 VS 18-5-1 Brito
5'9" height 5'8"
145 lb weight 145 lb
71" reach 72"
31 age 31
Southpaw stance Orthodox
4.8 strikes landed / min 3.0
57% striking accuracy 50%
3.2 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
68% striking defence 44%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 3.1
61% takedown accuracy 68%
75% takedown defence 72%
0.7 submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market40% vs 39%
Consensus80 of 186 analysts
Sharpest angleLeavitt by Decision — 25 of 34 method calls
Recommendation Back Leavitt @ $2.55 · fair $2.50 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MF Matt’Or Fact picks Jordan Leavitt “I'm going to go along with Jordan Leavitt here.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Joanderson Brito “I'm actually going to side with NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 NOT_IN_ROSTER_14 to win the match up. I think he wins a 29-28 by causing enough damage to the point where all of Jordan's grappling control is kind of overlooked. I'm going to say NOT_IN_ROSTER_15 wins on my judges' scorecards.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Joanderson Brito “I'm going to take Joan Srito. I got him on the money line at - 180.” $1.56
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Joanderson Brito “I lean sub. I think it's possible that he could knock him out, but I lean that he's going to get choked out.”
AM Acolyte MMA picks Joanderson Brito “I'm going to go with Joanderson Brito here.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Joanderson Brito “in a grappling exchange, catch him in a second round submission.”
WP We Want Picks picks Joanderson Brito “I think Joe Anderson Bre2 wins this fight. I think he can win by finish”
TB The Barnhill Brothers picks Joanderson Brito “I am favoring Joanderson Brito to get this done.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Joanderson Brito VALUE “I like Joanderson Brito to knock him out at about 3 to one” $4.00
RX RX picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “I'm going to go with the underdog who I think might be the best underdog on the card. I'm going to go Jordan Leavitt it here.”
BM Bert MMA picks Jordan Leavitt VALUE “plus 170 is very is more than solid.” $2.70
CS Collins Christian Sports picks Joanderson Brito “I think Joanderson Brito gets it done. Joanderson Brito to get this one done.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Leavitt13-4
L Brito Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Valle Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Holobaugh Submission · R1 May '25
L Hooper Submission · R1 Nov '23
W Martinez KO/TKO · R1 Feb '23
Brito18-5-1
W Leavitt Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Thomson Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Sabatini Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Gomis Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Shore KO/TKO · R2 May '24