MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
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BM GB Muhammad vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight BA ES Allen vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight FZ TN Ziam vs NolanMain Card · Lightweight BM SL Mitchell vs LunaMain Card · Bantamweight IB JT Baraniewski vs TafaMain Card · Light Heavyweight MS AC Schnell vs CostaPreliminary Card · Catchweight MM JY McGhee vs YannisPreliminary Card · Bantamweight BS ÉC Silva vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight PC CC Cachoeira vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JL JB Leavitt vs BritoPreliminary Card · Featherweight JC YD Chaves vs DubenPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KS AC Souza vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Allen over Shahbazyan · Middleweight Our fair value$1.40 Bet Right pays above fair $1.60
Where to back Allen best price · region · EV vs fair $1.40
US BetOnline.ag $1.59 +13%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.56 +11%
EU Pinnacle $1.60 +14%
AU Bet Right $1.60 +14%
Consensus229 picks · conf 99/99
Allen 200
29 Shahbazyan
TPFSHC pick Allen
How it endsmethod calls · Allen · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $71.61
Submission 75 $1.91
Decision 25 $5.73
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Allen 26-7 VS 16-5 Shahbazyan
6'2" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 185 lb
75" reach 75"
30 age 28
Orthodox stance Orthodox
5.9 strikes landed / min 4.3
36% striking accuracy 44%
3.5 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
53% striking defence 66%
1.6 takedowns / 15 min 3.0
62% takedown accuracy 44%
53% takedown defence 72%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market71% vs 62%
Consensus200 of 229 analysts
Sharpest angleAllen by Submission — 75 of 102 method calls
Recommendation Back Allen @ $1.60 · fair $1.40 +14% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
MF Matt’Or Fact picks Brendan Allen “I gotta go along with Brendan Allen.”
MM MMAFightingonSBN picks Brendan Allen “Brendan Allen to beat him second round TKO.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Brendan Allen “I'm going to say Brendan Allen eventually finds a round three submission.”
TP The Franchise Player picks Brendan Allen “give me Brendan Allen, uh, on the money line. I got a minus 205.” $1.49
P® Pro Schmo BETS ® picks Brendan Allen “Brendan Allen's going to make this incredibly boring until it isn't until he captures his neck”
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Brendan Allen “I just went the Brendan Allen rounds two and rounds three uh plus 600 plus 800.”
GP Going Rounds Podcast picks Brendan Allen “I've got uh Brendan Allen beating Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan”
AM Acolyte MMA picks Brendan Allen “Brendan Allen's going to win by decision.”
OE OE picks Brendan Allen “The pick is Brendan Allen. I think Brendan Allen will be able to go in there, stick to his game plan.”
RA Ringside Report Network - Combat Sports Authority picks Brendan Allen “I think if anything happens it's going to be like a submission win for Brendan Brendan Allen.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Brendan Allen “I got to go Brendan Allen with the grappling.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Edmen Shahbazyan VALUE “I'm going to be going with Edmond Edmen Shahbazyan to win this fight by knockout. Got two units on his money line plus 152.” $2.52
Recent form last five, most recent first
Allen26-7
W Shahbazyan Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Ridder KO/TKO · R4 Oct '25
W Vettori Decision · R3 Jul '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Imavov Decision · R3 Sep '24
Shahbazyan16-5
L Allen Decision · R3 Jun '26
W Muniz KO/TKO · R1 Oct '25
W Petroski Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Budka KO/TKO · R1 Feb '25
L Meerschaert Submission · R2 Aug '24