MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
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BEST PRICE Prophecy read Gustavo da Silva v Cháirez Flyweight Our fair value $1.88 best price $1.87 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Gustavo da Silva best price · region · EV vs fair $1.88
US Caesars $1.87 -0%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.85 -1%
EU Pinnacle $1.85 -1%
AU Bet Right $1.85 -1%
Consensus191 picks · conf 99/99
Gustavo da Silva 106
85 Cháirez
TPMMSd pick Gustavo da Silva
How it endsmethod calls · Gustavo da Silva · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $47.81
Submission 5 $19.13
Decision 44 $2.17
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Gustavo da Silva 23-13 VS 13-6 Cháirez
6'0" height 5'7"
187 lb weight 125 lb
74" reach 71"
36 age 30
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.4 strikes landed / min 3.5
63% striking accuracy 45%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 5.2
60% striking defence 42%
2.2 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
51% takedown accuracy 0%
51% takedown defence 33%
1.2 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market53% vs 53%
Consensus106 of 191 analysts
Sharpest angleGustavo da Silva by Decision — 44 of 51 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
WT WagerTalk TV: Sports Picks and Betting Tips picks Édgar Cháirez VALUE “give me Édgar Cháirez to get the job done at plus 115” $2.15
MF Matt’Or Fact picks Édgar Cháirez “I got Édgar Cháirez.”
UG UFC GamblingAddicts picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva “So, I'm guess I'm leaning towards Bruno Gustavo da Silva in a very close match up. I think it's going to be very close, guys, but I do lean towards Bruno Silva on the judges' scorecards.”
GP Going Rounds Podcast picks Édgar Cháirez “I'm leaning towards uh Édgar Cháirez in this one”
AM Acolyte MMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva “I'm going to be going Bruto Bruno Gustavo da Silva, but I I'm got him by decision.”
OE OE picks Édgar Cháirez “I like Édgar Cháirez. If if this fight stays on the feet, Édgar Cháirez is one of those guys that he can put you away.”
JA JakeGerberMMA picks Édgar Cháirez “I'm going to side with Édgar Cháirez here.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva “a half unit flyer on his submission prop.”
WP We Want Picks picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva “I'm going to give a slight edge to Bruno Gustavo da Silva Bruno Gustavo da Silva”
TB The Barnhill Brothers picks Édgar Cháirez “I am taking Édgar Cháirez by uh by late finish late submission for Édgar Cháirez here.”
SC ScriptedMMA picks Bruno Gustavo da Silva “I'm looking at Bruno Gustavo da Silva. I think Bruno Gustavo da Silva gets the job done against Édgar Cháirez.”
RX RX picks Édgar Cháirez “give me Édgar Cháirez here to get the win by decision”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Gustavo da Silva23-13
L Cháirez Submission · R1 Jun '26
L Johnson Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Hyun-sung Submission · R3 Oct '25
L Van KO/TKO · R3 Jun '25
L Kape KO/TKO · R3 Dec '24
Cháirez13-6
W Silva Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Bunes Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Vergara Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Van Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Taira Decision · R3 Jul '23