MMA Prophecy
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UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
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BM GB Muhammad vs BonfimMain Card · Welterweight BA ES Allen vs ShahbazyanMain Card · Middleweight FZ TN Ziam vs NolanMain Card · Lightweight BM SL Mitchell vs LunaMain Card · Bantamweight IB JT Baraniewski vs TafaMain Card · Light Heavyweight MS AC Schnell vs CostaPreliminary Card · Catchweight MM JY McGhee vs YannisPreliminary Card · Bantamweight BS ÉC Silva vs CháirezPreliminary Card · Flyweight PC CC Cachoeira vs ChandlerPreliminary Card · Women'S Bantamweight JL JB Leavitt vs BritoPreliminary Card · Featherweight JC YD Chaves vs DubenPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight KS AC Souza vs CarnelossiPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Chaves over Duben · Women'S Flyweight Our fair value$1.34 BetOnline.ag pays above fair $1.40
Where to back Chaves best price · region · EV vs fair $1.34
US BetOnline.ag $1.40 +5%
UK Unibet (UK) $1.38 +3%
EU Pinnacle $1.39 +4%
AU Bet Right $1.38 +3%
Consensus142 picks · conf 99/99
Chaves 119
23 Duben
PMMdCH pick Chaves
How it endsmethod calls · Chaves · crowd line
KO/TKO 14 $2.58
Decision 13 $2.78
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Chaves 7-0 VS 6-1 Duben
5'4" height 5'4"
124 lb weight 125 lb
68" reach 65"
29 age 29
Orthodox stance Orthodox
strikes landed / min 5.3
striking accuracy 54%
strikes absorbed / min 3.0
striking defence 55%
takedowns / 15 min 2.7
takedown accuracy 41%
takedown defence 72%
submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market75% vs 71%
Consensus119 of 142 analysts
Sharpest angleChaves by KO/TKO — 14 of 27 method calls
Recommendation Back Chaves @ $1.40 · fair $1.34 +5% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TP The Franchise Player picks Jeisla Chaves “Uh her to win by knockout or decision is minus 190. Uh I'm going to play that.” $1.53
NA NarcoCopMMA picks Yuneisy Duben “I'm going with Yuneisy Duben KO Tim 850.”
OE OE picks Yuneisy Duben “Second pick is is going to be Yuneisy Duben. I think Yuneisy Duben is going to be able I think she's she's the underdog. I like her.”
MT MMA Tugg picks Jeisla Chaves “Jeisla Chaves is not losing this fight.”
TC The Finz Chats picks Yuneisy Duben VALUE “We got a half unit on the KO prop plus 850.” $9.50
WP We Want Picks picks Jeisla Chaves VALUE “I think Jeisla Chaves beats Yuneisy Duben here”
TB The Barnhill Brothers picks Jeisla Chaves “I like Jeisla Chaves in this one by ground and pound finish victory.”
TT The Action Network: Sports Betting Picks & Tips picks Jeisla Chaves VALUE “I'm taking the plus money on her to get a finish” $2.15
RX RX picks Jeisla Chaves “I'm picking Jeisla Chaves here to get the win”
BM Bert MMA picks Jeisla Chaves VALUE “I am thinking her to win by a decision at plus 185.” $2.85
BM Bert MMA picks Yuneisy Duben “the money's coming in on Yuneisy Duben and submit Yuneisy Duben in this fight, but underdog Yuneisy Duben”
RM Redemption mma picks Jeisla Chaves “we're going to see her put on a dominant unanimous decision against Yuneisy Duben. Uh, not impressed with Yuneisy Duben. Maybe she impresses me when this fight happens, but I'm going to say Jeisla Chaves is going to be 8 and0 by the end of this and she's going to stay undefeated.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Chaves7-0
W Duben Decision · R3 Jun '26
Duben6-1
L Chaves Decision · R3 Jun '26
L Judice KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25