UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · breakdown
UFC London: Evloev vs Murphy Betting Preview
TP
The Early Weigh In Podcast58% hit
3 months ago
5W–7L · +0.8u
12/14 graded
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
LR
Luke Riley
v Michael Aswell
PROP · DECISION
VALUE
Luke Riley
v Michael Aswell
PROP · DECISION
VALUE
“I just feel like, you know, maybe even round three is close to 5050. Maybe it starts to swing Aswell's way, but the first 10 minutes of this fight, I just see Luke Riley landing the bigger shots here and um probably another decision, you know. So, I'm gonna take Luke Riley by decision.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.53
→
now$1.56
Riley’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
LR
Luke Riley
v Michael Aswell
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Luke Riley
v Michael Aswell
MONEYLINE
VALUE
“I just feel like, you know, maybe even round three is close to 5050. Maybe it starts to swing Aswell's way, but the first 10 minutes of this fight, I just see Luke Riley landing the bigger shots here and um probably another decision, you know. So, I'm gonna take Luke Riley by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.53
→
now$1.56
entry: Betway · best in any region at publish
MP
Mário Pinto
v Felipe Franco
MONEYLINE
WON
Mário Pinto
v Felipe Franco
MONEYLINE
WON
“I like Mário Pinto and honestly seeing a little bit of his grappling chops. I'm thinking that he has a uh pretty good chance of making it into like the top 10 of the division. Give me Mário Pinto here.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.13
→
close$1.13
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
CD
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Roman Dolidze
MONEYLINE
WON
Christian Leroy Duncan
v Roman Dolidze
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think the sky's is the limit for Christian Leroy Duncan. It's just about he puts it together on fight night. Dude's got all the tools to to be a top middleweight in the world. I think he gets the job done.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.25
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KC
Kurtis Campbell
v Danny Silva
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Kurtis Campbell
v Danny Silva
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I like Kurtis Campbell here. He's a clear value side for me... I'm gonna go against the public, dude. I like Danny Silva here. He's a clear value side for me.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.49
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish
MJ
Mason Jones
v Axel Sola
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Mason Jones
v Axel Sola
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I just think that Axel Solola looked good at 170 last time out. Now he's at his weight class of 155. It still looks huge on the scale... Yeah, plus 125. Give me Axel Sola.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.77
→
close$1.77
entry: LeoVegas (SE) · best in any region at publish
DS
Danny Silva
v Kurtis Campbell
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Danny Silva
v Kurtis Campbell
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I like Kurtis Campbell here. He's a clear value side for me... I'm gonna go against the public, dude. I like Danny Silva here. He's a clear value side for me.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.30
→
close$3.30
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
AS
Axel Sola
v Mason Jones
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Axel Sola
v Mason Jones
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm on the Sol Axel Sola side... I think that we're both seeing it the same way... So Axel Sola by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.28
→
close$2.28
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I've got some bias on Evoyv... I think he's going to stick to his grappling all five rounds... My picks mobs are uh mobs are by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
entry: 1xBet · best in any region at publish
AS
Axel Sola
v Mason Jones
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
Axel Sola
v Mason Jones
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
“I'm on the Sol Axel Sola side... I think that we're both seeing it the same way... So Axel Sola by decision.”
Analyst’s stated line
$2.28
price at publish — tracking starts with the next snapshot
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
Lerone Murphy
v Movsar Evloev
PROP · DECISION
LOST
—
“I've got some bias on Evoyv... I think he's going to stick to his grappling all five rounds... My picks mobs are uh mobs are by decision.”
Analyst’s stated line
$3.15
price at publish — tracking starts with the next snapshot
LK
Losene Keita
v Nathaniel Wood
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Losene Keita
v Nathaniel Wood
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I'm on the Ka side... I feel like I may, maybe you as well have been hitting the unders in the wood fights. He just keeps on slipping through the cracks and I think that this is finally the guy who's going to catch him. So, I'm on the under here. I'm on the Ka side.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.44
entry: William Hill (UK) · best in any region at publish
NW
Nathaniel Wood
v Losene Keita
MONEYLINE
WON
—
Nathaniel Wood
v Losene Keita
MONEYLINE
WON
—
“I'm on the Nathaniel Wood side at plus 225... He's just such a good complete fighter and Lucen Ka just to me is drawing dead to a KO. So, give me Wood.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.31
→
close$3.31
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
FF
Felipe Franco
v Mário Pinto
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Felipe Franco
v Mário Pinto
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“Yeah, I I think Mário Pinto hopefully gets him out of there round one... I think this is maybe shouldn't have been booked. Dude, this is a legit heavyweight versus a light heavyweight.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$8.00
→
close$8.00
entry: Betsson · best in any region at publish