UFC 313 FINAL PICKS | DRAFTKINGS UFC PICKS

“I'm sure people are going to begin to Jalin Turner but I really like the other side of that matchup Chris Gutierrez is somebody who is probably going to win but he doesn't score very well so not somebody I'm looking to play either despite thinking that he's going to win and picking him to win”

“I think he's going to win and I talked about in the predictions video as to why I also wrote on the official betting article why I think Justin Gaethje wins and what you notice in that first fight because I had some people in the comments telling me like ah the first fight it was pretty close go back rewatch it and I typically do when I'm on the fence about fights like this I thought I remembered it differently based on the way the people were talking in the comments but it was exactly what I thought it was Justin Justin Gaethje won that fight because he really took it too Rafael Fiziev in the second and third round even when he was rocked in those rounds was able to recover very well the damage happened early so he was able to get his wits about him and then he took over later in the rounds and I don't think he did that because fiz got tired I don't think he fought him at a pace where fys was going to fatigue at that striking Pace no it was more Justin Justin Gaethje figuring out his opponent because after the first round that jab from Justin Gaethje was absolutely money he also did a very good job of when he crashed the pocket in Clos distance to land strikes on the break and you look in that third round against Rafael Fiziev he was able to secure takedown really easily it was late Rafael Fiziev probably didn't care that he got taken down wasn't really thinking about it but it just shows that if gatei wants to do that he can do that really whenever he wants but I bring him up because I picked him to win but I'm not playing him on DraftKings because he probably doesn't score that much three rounds they're primarily going to strike last time they fought he won he scored 77 points I'm not interested”

“Amanda Lemos definitely somebody who's got to be in value play consideration I think she has early finishing upside here despite not scoring a whole lot of points recently I do think at 7700 she goes a little under the radar”

“Ozzy Ozzy Diaz is super interesting this week I think people will get here just because of the finishing upside I think the sharper the contest meaning like the higher the the entry fee the more you're going to see people play aie Ozzy Diaz just because if he does win it's probably going to be a knockout it's probably going to be in the first round 7500 I think he probably comes comes in around like 22 to 25% owned in most contests but I think aie Ozzy Diaz is a solid play this week”

“I get that there's a path for Turner Gutierrez has a good matchup Brunno Ferreira can knock anybody out really if I had to plug one more in I guess it would be Justin Gaethje but I think you're going to live in that mid-range this week I'm not going to plug in these people at 8,000 and Below just to have value plays for the sake of having value plays like we're not going to be able to build as many lineups this week because I think that the favorites but now we'll get into building some lineups”

“let's go with Francis Marshall at 7,000 reason being Alex Morono is a tough guy he's been hard to put away doesn't get knocked out all that often but I do think that Carlos Leal probably knocks him out sometime in the first two rounds this week just with the way that leol approaches the game the aggression the power the forward movement Alex Morono gives up a lot of real estate slows down as the fight goes on so I can see a round three finish for Leal as well and then for Bobby green I know that people were saying well look at the fight with James Lop poofy didn't knock out lop and when you look at that fight that listen that kid is Young and Peruvian peruvians got some of the best durability in the world King Green's been knocked out and knocked down multiple times in the UFC we've seen it though I think the most likely outcome in this fight is that Hy ends up knocking him out in the first or second round so I'm not really interested in those two Francis Marshall is going to be the cheapest most viable play because I think he does go the full three rounds even in a loss and I think he might get a takedown or two here so if he's our punt play this week it leaves us with 8600 left over per fighter”

“I do think that Carlos Leal probably knocks him out sometime in the first two rounds this week just with the way that leol approaches the game the aggression the power the forward movement Alex Morono gives up a lot of real estate slows down as the fight goes on so I can see a round three finish for Leal as well”

“I think the most likely outcome in this fight is that Hy ends up knocking him out in the first or second round so I'm not really interested in those two Francis Marshall is going to be the cheapest most viable play because I think he does go the full three rounds even in a loss and I think he might get a takedown or two here”

“I'm going to go with Alex Pereira 8300 and we'll start building around that”

“swap Jalin Turner for ignasio baham mandez because Jalin Turner round one is basically his only win condition I don't think he would win outside of the first round meaning if he does win he's going to score you a whole lot of points”

“Magomed Ankalaev definitely has to be in value play consideration this week because he's in the main event because he has five rounds to work because he's probably going to need to wrestle here to have success and during the predictions video I think I phrased something poorly I said that he's going to struggle on the feet or at least I was trying to say that he's probably going to struggle on the feet if he can't get takedowns not that he struggled in the past on the feet he's one of the better Strikers in the division but he's going against the best striker in the division and it's it's very clear now after he's beaten khil rry Jamal Hill Yuri prasa the only other guy that is at 205 right now that might give him a run for his money on the feet would be like Carlos Leal so I don't want you to think that I think this guy's got nothing on the feet because he obviously does but if he wants to win I think he's going to need to Grapple I think he's going to need to secure at least three takedowns this week a lot of control time as well and down at his price at 7900 with the five rounds to work definitely have to be in the value play consideration you're running single entry I wouldn't recommend it but hey if you like the maged ankle ey of side then you're going to play it anyway and picking him to win”