UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.40
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
PF
Pedro Falcão
v Victor Henry
MONEYLINE
LOST
Pedro Falcão
v Victor Henry
MONEYLINE
LOST
“for underdog money lines, I mean, I think uh Pedro Falcão has some value at plus 187”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.85
→
close$2.85
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
JE
Josh Emmett
v Lerone Murphy
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Josh Emmett
v Lerone Murphy
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I like Josh Emmett, too, but like I wouldn't take him as a dog. I take him as a knockout”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$3.70
→
close$3.65
Emmett’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.00
RM
Rhys McKee
v Daniel Frunza
MONEYLINE
WON
Rhys McKee
v Daniel Frunza
MONEYLINE
WON
“I kind of like Rhys McKee because I don't I just I think he's durable enough to not get finished”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.42
→
close$2.35
entry: Bovada · best in any region at publish
DB
Dione Barbosa
v Diana Belbiţă
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
Dione Barbosa
v Diana Belbiţă
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
“I think the Dione Barbosa sub stands out like super obvious. Um plus 100”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.19
→
close$1.15
Barbosa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.00
PS
Pat Sabatini
v Joanderson Brito
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Pat Sabatini
v Joanderson Brito
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“Pat Sabatini submission, if you're on the other side, plus 500”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.00
→
close$3.00
Sabatini’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $6.00
TA
Talita Alencar
v Vanessa Demopoulos
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Talita Alencar
v Vanessa Demopoulos
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“even the uh Talita Alencar submission at plus 700”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.92
→
close$1.93
Alencar’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $8.00
BT
Brad Tavares
v Gerald Meerschaert
PROP · DECISION
WON
Brad Tavares
v Gerald Meerschaert
PROP · DECISION
WON
“Brad Tavares decision plus 100 uh not enough juice, but that's probably what he does”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$1.52
→
close$1.62
Tavares’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.00
LL
Loma Lookboonmee
v Istela Nunes
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Loma Lookboonmee
v Istela Nunes
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“a sneaky one. Uh, Loma Lookboonmee sub plus 333”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.17
→
close$1.16
Lookboonmee’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $4.33
OO
Ode' Osbourne
v Luis Gurule
PROP · DECISION
LOST
Ode' Osbourne
v Luis Gurule
PROP · DECISION
LOST
“the Ode' Osbourne to go to decision is minus 110”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.25
Osbourne’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.91
DF
Daniel Frunza
v Rhys McKee
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Daniel Frunza
v Rhys McKee
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think Daniel Frunza at minus 160 is pretty good. I do think Daniel Frunza should win that fight”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.69
→
close$1.71
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
VD
Vanessa Demopoulos
v Talita Alencar
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
Vanessa Demopoulos
v Talita Alencar
MONEYLINE
LOST
—
“I think there's some value on Vanessa Demopoulos at even pick'em odds. I mean, if she can avoid getting choked out, I think she wins the decision”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.96
→
close$1.96
entry: SportsBet · best in any region at publish