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Murphy vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight
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Chang-ho vs RomiousMain Card · Catchweight
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Tavares vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight
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Barbosa vs BelbiţăPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
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McKee vs FrunzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
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Lookboonmee vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
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Henry vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
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Buday vs SatybaldievPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
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Alencar vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
JE
Murphy vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight
PS
JB
Sabatini vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight
LC
CR
Chang-ho vs RomiousMain Card · Catchweight
BT
GM
Tavares vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight
OO
LG
Osbourne vs GuruleMain Card · Flyweight
TF
RV
Finney vs ValentinMain Card · Middleweight
DB
DB
Barbosa vs BelbiţăPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight
RM
DF
McKee vs FrunzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight
LL
IN
Lookboonmee vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
VH
PF
Henry vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight
MB
US
Buday vs SatybaldievPreliminary Card · Heavyweight
TA
VD
Alencar vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE
We back
Emmett
over Murphy · Featherweight
Our fair value$3.25
pays above fair
$3.75
Best prices · Emmett
BetOnline.ag · US
$3.75
Betway · UK
$3.50
Pinnacle · EU
$3.69
SportsBet · AU
$3.62
Where to back Emmett
best price · region · EV vs fair $3.25
US
BetOnline.ag
$3.75
+15%
BetOnline.ag
$3.75
+15%
UK
Betway
$3.50
+8%
Betway
$3.50
+8%
EU
Pinnacle
$3.69
+13%
Pinnacle
$3.69
+13%
AU
SportsBet
$3.62
+11%
SportsBet
$3.62
+11%
How it endsmethod calls · Emmett · crowd line
KO/TKO
17
$3.45
Decision
1
$58.59
Tale of the tape
the matchup, side by side
Murphy 17-0-1
VS
19-6 Emmett
5'9"
height
5'6"
146 lb
weight
146 lb
73"
reach
70"
34
age
41
Orthodox
stance
Orthodox
4.8
strikes landed / min
5.9
54%
striking accuracy
58%
2.7
strikes absorbed / min
4.4
60%
striking defence
49%
1.8
takedowns / 15 min
2.5
54%
takedown accuracy
63%
48%
takedown defence
58%
0.6
submissions / 15 min
0.6
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market31% vs 27%
Consensus41 of 101 analysts
Sharpest angleEmmett by KO/TKO — 17 of 18 method calls
Recommendation
Back Emmett @ $3.75 · fair $3.25
+15% EDGE
Analyst tape
every extracted call on this fight
GP
Greedo Plays picks Josh Emmett
“Go make sure to check out our UFC fight Josh Emmett versus Lerone Murphy predictions.”
Greedo Plays picks Josh Emmett
“Go make sure to check out our UFC fight Josh Emmett versus Lerone Murphy predictions.”
TD
The Rambling Dad picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“One pop and your drop as well from Emma is also a factor.”
The Rambling Dad picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“One pop and your drop as well from Emma is also a factor.”
GM
GLO MMA picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I'm just going Lerone Murphy to go ahead and get a decision.”
GLO MMA picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I'm just going Lerone Murphy to go ahead and get a decision.”
TS
The Open Mat Show picks Josh Emmett
The Open Mat Show picks Josh Emmett
ES
etoft21 sports picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“If Lerone Murphy can just manage the range and avoid Emit's power shots, he should be able to outstrike him over three rounds.”
etoft21 sports picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“If Lerone Murphy can just manage the range and avoid Emit's power shots, he should be able to outstrike him over three rounds.”
GM
GC MMA picks Josh Emmett
“I'm going Josh Emmett.”
GC MMA picks Josh Emmett
“I'm going Josh Emmett.”
GI
GipperPicks picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I've got a huge lean on on Lerone Murphy winning.”
GipperPicks picks Lerone Murphy VALUE
“I've got a huge lean on on Lerone Murphy winning.”
FM
FATALITY MMA picks Lerone Murphy
“I'm taking Lerone Lerone Murphy.”
FATALITY MMA picks Lerone Murphy
“I'm taking Lerone Lerone Murphy.”
NM
Nocaut mma picks Lerone Murphy
“el main event Josh Emmett contra Lerone Lerone Murphy”
Nocaut mma picks Lerone Murphy
“el main event Josh Emmett contra Lerone Lerone Murphy”
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“Last bet of the night so far, Josh Emmett plus 259. Two units to win 5.18. This is one where I kind of go against my metrics a little even though the metrics still show slight value but two units I like it because I do think that the rest and time off is going to help Josh Emmett especially at this age and I do think he's going to come out and surprise some people and that is just way too high of a line for Josh Emmett.”
$3.59
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“Last bet of the night so far, Josh Emmett plus 259. Two units to win 5.18. This is one where I kind of go against my metrics a little even though the metrics still show slight value but two units I like it because I do think that the rest and time off is going to help Josh Emmett especially at this age and I do think he's going to come out and surprise some people and that is just way too high of a line for Josh Emmett.”
$3.59
WS
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“I like Josh Emmett here at plus 260.”
$3.60
We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Josh Emmett VALUE
“I like Josh Emmett here at plus 260.”
$3.60
Recent form
last five, most recent first
Murphy17-0-1
L
Evloev
Mar '26
W
Pico
Aug '25
W
Emmett
Apr '25
W
Ige
Oct '24
W
Barboza
May '24
Emmett19-6
L
Vallejos
Mar '26
L
Zalal
Oct '25
L
Murphy
Apr '25
W
Mitchell
Dec '23
L
Topuria
Jun '23