MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy
Choose a fight to analyse
LM JE Murphy vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight PS JB Sabatini vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight LC CR Chang-ho vs RomiousMain Card · Catchweight BT GM Tavares vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight OO LG Osbourne vs GuruleMain Card · Flyweight TF RV Finney vs ValentinMain Card · Middleweight DB DB Barbosa vs BelbiţăPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RM DF McKee vs FrunzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight LL IN Lookboonmee vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight VH PF Henry vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MB US Buday vs SatybaldievPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TA VD Alencar vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Meerschaert over Tavares · Middleweight Our fair value$2.53 Bovada pays above fair $3.10
Where to back Meerschaert best price · region · EV vs fair $2.53
US Bovada $3.10 +22%
UK Grosvenor $2.43 -4%
EU Coolbet $2.45 -3%
AU Unibet $2.43 -4%
Consensus51 picks · conf 70/99
Tavares 26
25 Meerschaert
TPONDT pick Tavares
How it endsmethod calls · Meerschaert · crowd line
Submission 22 $3.22
Decision 5 $14.18
None 1 $70.88
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Tavares 21-12 VS 37-21 Meerschaert
6'1" height 6'1"
186 lb weight 186 lb
74" reach 78"
38 age 38
Orthodox stance Southpaw
3.0 strikes landed / min 3.1
64% striking accuracy 45%
2.6 strikes absorbed / min 3.5
54% striking defence 53%
2.4 takedowns / 15 min 2.0
35% takedown accuracy 35%
55% takedown defence 42%
0.8 submissions / 15 min 1.5
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market40% vs 32%
Consensus25 of 51 analysts
Sharpest angleMeerschaert by Submission — 22 of 28 method calls
Recommendation Back Meerschaert @ $3.10 · fair $2.53 +22% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Gerald Meerschaert “I think that Gerald Meerschaert is going to win, man.”
GM GC MMA picks Gerald Meerschaert “I'm going Gerald Meerschaert, boys.”
GI GipperPicks picks Brad Tavares “Brad Tavares Tavares should win this by decision.”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Brad Tavares “I'm going to take Brad Tavares, I think.”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “Yo al final me voy con la decisión por Tabares” $1.50
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “First bet of the night. Gerald Meerschaert. We got him at a plus 210. That's what getting him early does. We got three units doing 6.3 at plus 210 on Gerald Meerschaert. Line is currently at plus 147. Still value at a plus 147. I have Gerald Meerschaert a 60% chance of winning.” $3.10
PP Parlay Princes picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “My pick is Gerald Meerschaert. Please get a takedown for the love of God.”
GM Green Bets MMA picks Brad Tavares “Going to trust Brad.”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Brad Tavares “I did have to pick Tvar here if he's any bit of the old version of himself”
AD All-Star DFS picks Gerald Meerschaert VALUE “He's just come through as a 7K punt underdog so many times.”
PN Picks Nation picks Brad Tavares “I'm going to pick Davey Grant”
PM Pyraxy MMA picks Gerald Meerschaert “I'm picking Gerald Meerschaert here.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Tavares21-12
L Anders Decision · R3 Mar '26
L Bryczek KO/TKO · R3 Sep '25
W Meerschaert Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Jun-yong Decision · R3 Oct '24
L Rodrigues KO/TKO · R3 Feb '24
Meerschaert37-21
L Malkoun Decision · R3 May '26
L Daukaus Submission · R1 Nov '25
L Oleksiejczuk KO/TKO · R1 Aug '25
L Tavares Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Ridder Submission · R3 Nov '24