MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy
Choose a fight to analyse
LM JE Murphy vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight PS JB Sabatini vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight LC CR Chang-ho vs RomiousMain Card · Catchweight BT GM Tavares vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight OO LG Osbourne vs GuruleMain Card · Flyweight TF RV Finney vs ValentinMain Card · Middleweight DB DB Barbosa vs BelbiţăPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RM DF McKee vs FrunzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight LL IN Lookboonmee vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight VH PF Henry vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MB US Buday vs SatybaldievPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TA VD Alencar vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE Prophecy read Henry v Falcão Bantamweight Our fair value $1.52 best price $1.50 PASS · MARKET AGREES
Where to back Henry best price · region · EV vs fair $1.52
US BetAnything $1.50 -1%
UK Paddy Power $1.50 -1%
EU Coolbet $1.49 -2%
AU TABtouch $1.47 -3%
Consensus59 picks · conf 72/99
Henry 40
19 Falcão
APSOFA pick Henry
How it endsmethod calls · Henry · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $15.92
Submission 2 $15.92
Decision 17 $1.87
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Henry 24-7 VS 16-4 Falcão
5'7" height 5'6"
135 lb weight 136 lb
68" reach 66"
39 age 33
Switch stance Orthodox
7.7 strikes landed / min 2.9
53% striking accuracy 48%
5.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.6
47% striking defence 48%
0.8 takedowns / 15 min 2.1
36% takedown accuracy 22%
84% takedown defence 83%
0.4 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market66% vs 67%
Consensus40 of 59 analysts
Sharpest angleHenry by Decision — 17 of 21 method calls
Recommendation Pass — no edge model agrees with the market PASS
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Victor Henry VALUE “I can see a submission victory for Barbosza in this one.”
GM GLO MMA picks Pedro Falcão VALUE “Pedro Falcão didn't look yep, he Victor Henry's the better grappler to a decision.”
GM GLO MMA picks Victor Henry VALUE “Victor Henry decision.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Victor Henry VALUE “Victor Henry also doesn't shy away from grappling either... this is going to create more opportunity to get this to the mat where Pedro is more comfortable.”
ES etoft21 sports picks Pedro Falcão VALUE “Strong grappling brace, high level grappler... He's going to initiate grappling exchanges naturally and aggressively.”
GM GC MMA picks Victor Henry “I'm picking Victor Henry”
FM FATALITY MMA picks Victor Henry VALUE “I'm going to take Victor Victor Henry, I guess.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Victor Henry VALUE “I do think Henry gets the win and my metrics show 60%.”
PP Parlay Princes picks Victor Henry “My pick is Victor Victor Henry.”
GM Green Bets MMA picks Victor Henry “So, Victor Henry, sure, I'll go with him, but not too confident.”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Victor Henry “I did end up picking Victor Victor Henry”
AD All-Star DFS picks Victor Henry “Victor Henry, I don't know if I'm willing to play this 8,800 striker.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Henry24-7
W Falcão Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Jourdain Submission · R2 Nov '24
W Yahya KO/TKO · R3 Apr '24
W Gravely Decision · R3 Mar '23
L Assunção Decision · R3 Oct '22
Falcão16-4
L Henry Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Hugo Decision · R3 Apr '24