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LM JE Murphy vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight PS JB Sabatini vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight LC CR Chang-ho vs RomiousMain Card · Catchweight BT GM Tavares vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight OO LG Osbourne vs GuruleMain Card · Flyweight TF RV Finney vs ValentinMain Card · Middleweight DB DB Barbosa vs BelbiţăPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RM DF McKee vs FrunzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight LL IN Lookboonmee vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight VH PF Henry vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MB US Buday vs SatybaldievPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TA VD Alencar vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Finney over Valentin · Middleweight Our fair value$1.35 Bovada pays above fair $1.44
Where to back Finney best price · region · EV vs fair $1.35
US Bovada $1.44 +6%
UK Paddy Power $1.33 -2%
EU Coolbet $1.34 -1%
AU Ladbrokes AU $1.32 -3%
Consensus53 picks · conf 70/99
Finney 40
13 Valentin
TPTBDT pick Finney
How it endsmethod calls · Finney · crowd line
KO/TKO 30 $1.81
Submission 2 $27.10
Decision 7 $7.74
None 1 $54.19
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Finney 11-0 VS 11-6 Valentin
5'8" height 6'2"
186 lb weight 186 lb
75" reach 77"
27 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
2.6 strikes landed / min 0.1
70% striking accuracy 50%
1.9 strikes absorbed / min 6.2
50% striking defence 19%
10.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
69% takedown accuracy 0%
0% takedown defence 66%
1.7 submissions / 15 min 4.4
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market74% vs 69%
Consensus40 of 53 analysts
Sharpest angleFinney by KO/TKO — 30 of 40 method calls
Recommendation Back Finney @ $1.44 · fair $1.35 +6% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Torrez Finney “Real fight picks Torrez Finney to lay the black hammer down on Torrez Finney”
ES etoft21 sports picks Torrez Finney VALUE “I think he'll be able to get him on the ground and keep him there for at least over three rounds... I can see Torrez Finney finishing this fight as well.”
GM GC MMA picks Robert Valentin VALUE “give me Robert Valentin.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Torrez Finney VALUE “Then we got Robert Valentin that's going to keep going up too. Torrez Finney is going to get put in parlays. He's currently at a plus 245, but I think we could get plus 285, even a plus 300 potentially. So, we're going to wait on those two, but they both show value.” $3.45
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Robert Valentin VALUE “Then we got Robert Valentin that's going to keep going up too. Torrez Finney is going to get put in parlays. He's currently at a plus 245, but I think we could get plus 285, even a plus 300 potentially. So, we're going to wait on those two, but they both show value.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Robert Valentin VALUE “Robert Valentin here shows value. Give him a 45% chance of winning.” $3.45
PP Parlay Princes picks Robert Valentin VALUE “My pick is Robert Valentin. Now, Valentina plus money plus 245.” $3.45
GM Green Bets MMA picks Torrez Finney “Finnish should get it done.”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Torrez Finney “I'm picking Taurus Finny because he's such a clear path”
AD All-Star DFS picks Torrez Finney VALUE “Taurus Finny is extremely strong here.”
AD All-Star DFS picks Robert Valentin VALUE “Robert Valentin who has just as much finishing.”
PN Picks Nation picks Torrez Finney “I am going to pick Torrez Finney to win here”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Finney11-0
L Malkoun Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Valentin Decision · R3 Apr '25
Valentin11-6
W Leblanc Submission · R1 Apr '26
L Gautier KO/TKO · R1 Jul '25
L Finney Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Loder KO/TKO · R2 Aug '24