MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Emmett vs. Murphy
Choose a fight to analyse
LM JE Murphy vs EmmettMain Card · Featherweight PS JB Sabatini vs BritoMain Card · Featherweight LC CR Chang-ho vs RomiousMain Card · Catchweight BT GM Tavares vs MeerschaertMain Card · Middleweight OO LG Osbourne vs GuruleMain Card · Flyweight TF RV Finney vs ValentinMain Card · Middleweight DB DB Barbosa vs BelbiţăPreliminary Card · Women'S Flyweight RM DF McKee vs FrunzaPreliminary Card · Welterweight LL IN Lookboonmee vs NunesPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight VH PF Henry vs FalcãoPreliminary Card · Bantamweight MB US Buday vs SatybaldievPreliminary Card · Heavyweight TA VD Alencar vs DemopoulosPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight
BEST PRICE We back Sabatini over Brito · Featherweight Our fair value$2.72 TAB pays above fair $2.90
Where to back Sabatini best price · region · EV vs fair $2.72
US BetRivers $2.88 +6%
UK Grosvenor $2.88 +6%
EU Betsson $2.90 +7%
AU TAB $2.90 +7%
Consensus51 picks · conf 70/99
Sabatini 21
30 Brito
9YOFAC pick Sabatini
How it endsmethod calls · Sabatini · crowd line
KO/TKO 3 $9.07
Submission 4 $6.80
Decision 2 $13.60
None 1 $27.21
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Sabatini 21-5 VS 18-5-1 Brito
5'8" height 5'8"
146 lb weight 145 lb
70" reach 72"
35 age 31
Orthodox stance Orthodox
1.9 strikes landed / min 3.0
59% striking accuracy 50%
1.5 strikes absorbed / min 2.7
48% striking defence 44%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 3.1
44% takedown accuracy 68%
50% takedown defence 72%
2.0 submissions / 15 min 0.9
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market37% vs 34%
Consensus21 of 51 analysts
Sharpest angleSabatini by Submission — 4 of 10 method calls
Recommendation Back Sabatini @ $2.90 · fair $2.72 +7% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
TD The Rambling Dad picks Pat Sabatini VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Joanderson Brito “I'm gonna go with Joanderson Brito.”
WS We'll Do It Live! MMA Betting & Scoring picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “Metrics show Pat Sabatini has value, but Joanderson Brito's a beast.”
PP Parlay Princes picks Joanderson Brito “My pick is Joanderson Joanderson Brito. My pick is violence.” $1.43
GM Green Bets MMA picks Joanderson Brito VALUE “I'm going to go with Santos. Younger guy. Just going to go with the prospect there.”
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks Joanderson Brito “I'm on Breurto here and I do like him”
AD All-Star DFS picks Pat Sabatini “Pat Sabatini who seemingly can't take a punch.”
PN Picks Nation picks Joanderson Brito “I am going to pick Joe Anderson because okay, he's got the better hands. He's got good wrestling. He's dangerous as [ __ ] It is Las Vegas. So, I got to go Joanderson Brito.”
PN Picks Nation picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “I'm going Pat Sabatini. I'm back on the Pat Sabatini train, baby.”
CM Canal OSS - UFC, MMA, Lutas e mais... picks Pat Sabatini “Na minha opinião ele vence”
VM Verbal Sparring MMA picks Pat Sabatini VALUE “The 34year-old Sabatini is looking to make it back-to-back victories”
PM Pyraxy MMA picks Joanderson Brito VALUE “If he's anything below a 700 minus 700 favorite, I mean, pick him”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Sabatini21-5
W Gomis Decision · R3 May '26
W Mariscal Decision · R3 Nov '25
W Brito Decision · R3 Apr '25
W Pearce Submission · R1 Oct '24
L Lopes KO/TKO · R1 Nov '23
Brito18-5-1
W Leavitt Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Thomson Decision · R3 Dec '25
L Sabatini Decision · R3 Apr '25
L Gomis Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Shore KO/TKO · R2 May '24