UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MH
Maheshate Hayisaer
v Gabriel Benítez
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm taking Maheshate Hayisaer bonitz older how old is bonitz I think he's he's mid late 30s I'm pretty sure he's 35 yeah I think if anyone's going to be just not really caring about their career and just kind of there just for the paycheck it's going to be bonitz Marat is trying to improve he's a young guy he's got aspirations in the sport and so I think he's going to win this fight by TKO and I'll say maybe round two”
Analyst’s stated line
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no market data captured for this fight
JL
James Llontop
v Chris Padilla
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
James Llontop
v Chris Padilla
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going to be picking him to win he's slightly good at fighting he's younger too I think he's 24 and Padilla's lost to just bums on the regional scene so I'm not picking him to win he's being brought in on short notice there's not much to say I'll pick James Llontop by finish cuz he's won seven of his fights by TKO um he has slowed down in his career recently he went to a decision on the contender series but he usually gets finishes when he fights the lower level opposition and I think Chris Padilla is that so I'm taking Lop to get a finish”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.30
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Llontop’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.05
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close$2.05
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
MF
Michał Figlak
v Austin Hubbard
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Austin Hubbard versus Michał Figlak I'm going to be taking Michał Figlak to win I haven't really watched him fight too much he lost to fores Zam in Paris on the 2022 Paris card when the UF first went to France apart from that before that he just beat a bunch of guys on the regional scene he's been out of action for a while which I don't mind because Michał Figlak is 27 years old so he doesn't like he's not going to be like Rusty I don't think I think he's going to be improving during this time first loss of his career lost a decision got tuned up a bit by fesan and I think he's coming back and I think he's going to be way better compared to Austin Hubbard 15-7 tough reject who just got a contract regard cuz the UFC just decided to sign all the bums from tough this season he's lost by submission three times decision four times his wins aren't even by like finish that much he's not that dangerous of a guy he got finished by Kurt halar who's not that good um he beat two random Fox on the regional scene he lost to Vince Pachel when he was in the UFC beat Dakota Bush lost to joei Lost to Marnic Mann lost to dby hos so any of lost to Eric wisley the only notable win I see here is Charles radkey um and that was in 2018 on some random Regional promotion so pretty much every notable UFC guy that he's fought he's lost to I don't think he's that good he's only in the UFC because they signed him despite losing he's literally a 500 level fighter in the last like 10 fights of his career maau like young y I think is's going to be improving and yeah I'm picking him to win”
Line since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.67
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entry: SuperBook · best in any region at publish
VH
Victor Henry
v Rani Yahya
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Victor Henry
v Rani Yahya
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm picking Victor Henry I don't even need to look at their records I mean do it but I don't need to Victor Henry is just better he's not 39 years of age like Ana Rona is 39 years of age um he got koed by Montel Jackson his last fight he's basically just a jiujitsu guy in MMA he's got 21 wins by submissions no wins by TKO so he just does not finish you he has no danger on the feet his only Danger on the ground he beat Kongo Kang beat Ray Rodriguez he beat he drew with Baza he lost to Ricky Simone like he's not beat anyone good and he's lost to a few people who aren't amazing Victor Henry on the other side most recent fight I'm pretty sure was at no contest with basharat yeah it was before that he beat Tony gravley he lost to a sunia but he like beat barcelos um and yeah he's just overall a more consistent guy he has more danger in his Arsenal look at his wins six by TKO eight by submission nine by decision he's well-rounded he's never been finished and that's where I would see honey winning he would have to find a submission on the ground Victor Henry's never been finished six losses all by decision um so I'm not saying Victor Henry is a great guy but honey 39 years of age old [__] slow slow twitch can't do anything if it's not on the ground and I think Victor hen is going to chew him up on the feet maybe get a finish”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −4%
◆ entry$1.22
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Henry’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
UM
Uroš Medić
v Tim Means
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Uroš Medić
v Tim Means
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm taking Uroš Medić to win by finish Tim Means I don't think's that good um like he has moments where you go like oh look Tim means but let's just take a look at Tim mean's record real quick He's 33 and 15 um I don't think he's that good I think he's old as [__] he's 40 years of age 33 and 15 as I said he's been around for ages so fair play to him veteran of the game but apart from his last win he beat fio by TKO that's cuz fio is [__] and he fell off a cliff but he got finished by Alex morono lost to Max Griffin lost to ke Kevin H that's not that bad he beat Nicholas Delby he beat Mike Perry those are all right wins lost to drod Lost to Nico price I mean he lost to Bal lost to Alex Olivera he's like he's fought a lot of guys got um Subs by Matt Brown Lost to Neil Magny he's been around for a [__] while so fair play to him he's a veteran of the game and compared to he's had 49 fights this is going to be his 50th Pro fight compared to OS medic who's at 11 so I could see the experience being an issue but uros manage um two losses by submission Jaylen Turner and MC Ur m g is the goat and he's a caveman what do you expect but apart from that he's finished seberger finished Morales he finishes most of his fights too and yeah he only really lost when he fought an absolute Relentless Grappler and then when he fought Jaylen Turner at lightweight so yeah who cares um yeah he's more Dynamic he's got finishing potential Tim Means is just old he's a bit tough but apart from that don't think he's got much to offer in this fight so I'd say manage gets it done by finish maybe TKO KO using some kicks some body shots maybe maybe second round first second third round I don't know pick your [__] pick your round”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.33
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Medić’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
DO
David Onama
v Jonathan Pearce
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
David Onama
v Jonathan Pearce
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I'm going to be picking David enama as an underdog here”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.53
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close$2.53
Onama’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
JD
Jhonata Diniz
v Austen Lane
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Jhonata Diniz
v Austen Lane
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm taking Denise because Austen Lane is a former NFL player and I've made it a rule of thumb to never pick an NFL player who's transitioned to martial arts to ever win a fight cuz they're always [__] and they've just got athleticism and so they get away with athleticism on the regional scene and ko ko a bunch of old men and fat people but uh let me just look at Austen Lane's record he's 12-4 sorry he got chinned by um Justin taer who I don't think is good um obviously they had the no contest in the first fight he beat some cans by TKO absolute bums Richard jacobe let me just see this guy's [__] record seven- two this guy's Sher dog profile looks like he's at a beach [__] can't sorry um like who else is he like Hanan Adams beat by TKO in the fourth round the Kraken obese man 10 and six lost five of his fights out of his six losses by TKO not a good Fighter um but take a look at this going to I'm going to take you back to June 12th of 2018 on the contender series season 2 episode 1 he got TKO by Greg Hardy in the first round 57 seconds in and his next fight he then went on to lose to Frank Tate that sounds like a referee that's like that sounds like cutman Tate or something's brother um but yeah he's not good but hanata or Jhonata Diniz um or janata I don't know how to [__] say this guy's name Glory Kickboxing guy six to0 all by KO undefeated in MMA um one on the contender series by KO before that and moral FC Spartacus like not great promotions but even these guys aren't complete cans like these these guys are around the level like 11 okay this guy's not good but like I'm not saying he's beating good opponents but who did he fight on Contender series Eduardo NZ um seven and three guys so again not good opposition but Greg Hardy is awful and he koed uh Austen Lane Austen Lane is 6'6 he's athletic but he's not good at striking he doesn't know how to defend punches his chin faces the [__] sky whenever someone throws shots at him he's going to get koed in this fight”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.44
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close$1.42
Diniz’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KS
Karine Silva
v Ariane Lipski
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Karine Silva
v Ariane Lipski
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I'm taking Karine Silva to win by submission I think she's actually pretty good and if you're finishing all of your fights in women's MMA I'm going to back you to win”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.73
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close$1.69
Silva’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
BG
Bogdan Guskov
v Ryan Spann
MONEYLINE
WON
Bogdan Guskov
v Ryan Spann
MONEYLINE
WON
“so what I'm GNA do here is I'm picking Bogdan Guskov I'm get that out the way”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.75
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close$2.75
entry: PlayUp · best in any region at publish
AP
Alex Perez
v Matheus Nicolau
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Alex Perez
v Matheus Nicolau
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I'm taking Matos Nicol out to win I actually like him as a fighter if you saw my recent uh rankings video where I changed I fixed up the offc rankings and made my own and I also got you guys to submit your own rankings too in that video um I did say that I put mat Nicol above ker FS just based off I think recent work and more current and relevant wins cuz look at this guy's resume apart from he lost to royval by KO fair enough but beat Chell beat Dvorak beat Elliot beat cap he's got beat four top 15 guys um he lost to dust Don by head Ki KO in 2018 um but like this guy's beat good opponents and before that he lost back in 2012 but this guy was on win streaks he was on a six fight win streak going into the roual fight if he won that he would have got the title shot um and I think he could still get himself to a title shot cuz he hasn't fought Pantoja I think he's really good um he a lot of decisions so I am picking him by TKO here but that's more just like a fun pick cuz I realized that all my other picks on the card are all by on the main card at least are all by TKO so I'm going to continue that Trend and pick him by finish”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$2.67
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close$2.60
Perez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
