UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
TP
Tecia Pennington
v Carla Esparza
MONEYLINE
WON
Tecia Pennington
v Carla Esparza
MONEYLINE
WON
“means is going to be the pick just because I think he is a little bit better maybe a little bit sharper but don't say that with a lot of confidence”
Line since pick
CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.61
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close$1.57
entry: BetMGM · best in any region at publish
MB
Mario Bautista
v José Aldo
MONEYLINE
WON
Mario Bautista
v José Aldo
MONEYLINE
WON
“I suppose I go with span just because I think he has the early upside”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.74
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close$1.74
entry: Caesars · best in any region at publish
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.26
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close$1.26
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
MR
Marina Rodriguez
v Iasmin Lucindo
MONEYLINE
LOST
Marina Rodriguez
v Iasmin Lucindo
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm leaning towards lendo here I'm probably not as confident as everyone else but you know I could see a hulking her way to her Victory”
Line since pick
CLV −5%
◆ entry$2.53
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close$2.66
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
JB
Joaquin Buckley
v Stephen Thompson
MONEYLINE
WON
Joaquin Buckley
v Stephen Thompson
MONEYLINE
WON
“the pick here is going to have to Joaquin Buckley in my opinion”
Line since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.53
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close$1.50
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
RD
Roman Dolidze
v Kevin Holland
MONEYLINE
WON
Roman Dolidze
v Kevin Holland
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to pick Roman Dolidze just cuz he's an underdog I don't entirely trust Kevin Holland”
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$2.50
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close$2.37
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
KH
Kayla Harrison
v Ketlen Vieira
MONEYLINE
WON
Kayla Harrison
v Ketlen Vieira
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'll go with Kayla Harrison now if it was a jump cut had a hydration break as mentioned drink water yeah got to stay hydrated keeping mind sharp on making these bets making these predictions anyways B to me best fight on the card without question we got the king or Leo José José Aldo versus Mario Mario Bautista now Jose Alo is 38 he did take a layoff he was taking out boxing fights but against Martinez lowy look career best and he's definitely definitely silenced the haters and the dels in that match up by put in together a vintage performance sorry need to cough there apologies now he is a Muti Striker that's his kind of background but he he Tecia Penningtonak a heavy boxing approach his low kick game is nasty he's explosive he's powerful he throws heavy great technique I also like how he digs to the body going to the body is underrated I'm just saying you know more Fighters need to start digging to the body Elite level take down defense and I love his head movement and way he's able to evade head strikes but even though his I do think his he does have Elite level takedown defense I think if you do get him down and he can look quite we get there and you can be vulnerable um Peter Yan landed a lot of heavy ground and pound but overall love him great fighter great boxing great striking great technique tons of experience Elite levels take down defense former Champion Etc Mario Bautista uses a good movement creative Striker throws a wide range of striking techniques flying knees looks to be explosive his grappling is decent as well his grappling is competent he can fight for hard for three rounds as well but um I think he was he did slow down a bit against black sh or remember exactly but everyone says bsta is a cardio King I do agree he does he can fight for three rounds but I don't see him last like a maybe B maybe this bad example like a ky Covent or anything like that so I do think he's been given softball matchups by the UFC overall I'm not saying this is a softball matchup I think he's been very very well managed and I think he's been quite fortunate with the matchmaking he's got and he's kind of been babied in my opinion so I'm going to open up typology if we go through Mario Bautista's record the guys he face so good gido ketti Bonito Lopez Brian kellerer Jay perin Tecia Penningtonrevin Jones he's been very very like well managed and when he did take up a step up in competition against Black Shear and Simone that Black Shear fight when I when I was watching it live and a lot of people including myself scored it for black she got un favorable Bo judging there in my opinion obviously that rookie Simone win he did look decent in there got dropped in round one but he did secure the victory I think everyone's pretty low on Ricky Simone after his performance against um the Brazilian his skip mine skipping my M my can't even speak properly Ola that's it Ola so I think if people loar some on that black Shi fight was too close of comfort in my opinion it's kind of being babied obviously the risk factor with José José Aldo is he's 38 he's taken a lot of damage long career older Fighters you know there's definitely a risk factor that comes with them right without question I think José Aldo is the more technical more refined fighter and I think btis is going to have to win winning a way where he's the one pushing a pace making uncomfortable fight winning that kind of manner but I'm actually going to pick the king of Rio here Jose José Aldo I just I think he is the more refined fighter I think he might just have enough in the tank to get this Victory here I think he is the more technically skilled fighter but all the fighters they kind of find a way to lose sometimes maybe bti is making development fight a fight kind of feel like btis is being baby too much little bit on overrated side if I'm being honest and yeah I'm leaning towards the king of Rio in José José Aldo sar's win and I agree with the line movement that came in that plus 140 Etc but yeah sick fight looking forward to it and cool now we go to the co- main event of the evening we got Raquel Raquel Pennington versus Juliana Julianna Peña so Raquel heavy boxing approach when it comes to her striking overall I think she is a solid level boxer for women's MMA standards I think she's a boxer who likes to throw a bit more Precision find the right shots she also loves using utilizing the clinch that's one of our go-to she's effective in there can frustrate opponent's right fighting in a clinch it might be boring for the fans def be frustrated for the opposer fighter as well and you know the clinch adds another dimension another layer to our overall game for high level competition as well cardio's good might for hard for five rounds Julianna Peña she's coming off a almost like a two-year layoff on her feet she's like more of like a looping throw of Striker and I don't think her teching is the best or striking is the best but she makes up for it by pushing the pace pressuring and if you can't handle the pressure she she can break you she also likes to use our wrestling style of grappling overall I think she's a good wrestler but I kind of feel like maybe I'm proving wrong on Sunday but I feel like a wrestling is a little bit overrated I was expecting something like really really good I do think she's solid wrestler I do like how she has wrestling skill set in her game but I feel like it's a little bit on the overrated side if I'm being honest she she does look kind of weak off her back against strong wrestlers she will fish with submissions and stuff though but ridiculous heart ridiculous durability ridiculous self-belief and the self-belief the chin the toughness that that can win you a lot of fights inside the UFC so I think Raquel Pennington's the more I think refined better more technical fighter overall I is the better boxer probably better in the clinch maybe even the better Grappler I think Julianna Peña is going to have to push a pace make an uncomfortable fight keep coming forward keep being aggressive being on Pen's face and winning that kind of manner well I think penon is going to want to keep it clean keep a technical Defender take Downs use our boxing and win a clean pretty fight you know what for a pick I'm leaning towards Raquel Pennington personally I lean towards the Raquel Pennington side but from a b perspective I think I'd want a slightly better line on Raquel Pennington if I was going to pull a trigger in this matchup 1.59 maybe I've seen a lot of pen love this with this week so maybe the line the odds can improve on Raquel Pennington but you know women's MMA fight is a championship level fight at the end of the day and this fight has potential to play out close and I do think pan does have a path by keep coming for as pushing a pace but I'm going to pick the Raquel Pennington side because I yeah I'm going to pick Raquel Pennington on okay cool we're going to go to the main event of the evening make sure to like share comment check out our patreon down below bonus content access to my official bets at the live and Service as well and yeah super duper appreciate everyone tuning in and just watching the video really means the world and without further Ado let's get into the main event of the evening we got Alex Pereira AKA poan h of Steel left hook of death versus Khalil Rountree Jr. the Muay Tecia Penningtonha star off Striker so this to me Alex Pereira one of my favorite Fighters but I'm not going to let that bias affect my judgment on the match up right one of the best kickboxers inside the UFC br extremely technical extremely dangerous powerful massive he's huge huge physical presence Inside the Cage left hook of death C kicks and nasty high level kickboxing and I think he's alive to knock out anyone inside the division ground game is a weakness he can definitely be exploited I feel by like a strong wrestler Grappler but he does a good job of surviving and working his way back up to the feet but you could tell he's not lifelong trade in wrestling and grappling right now Khalil Rountree Jr. powerful M Striker good Striker as well solid kickboxer definitely been developing over the years he is prone to making mistakes though you can sometimes you know suffer with the mental aspect of the game make mistakes you know not show up for performances but overall have to pick Alex Pereira I just think he's the better technical more dangerous sharper quicker Etc bitter Inside the Cage but from a besting perspective upsets do happen right especially in high level Championship level fights where the underdog is unexpected to win so I wouldn't be betting Alex Pereira at odds of 1.22 even though Alex Pereira is my guy bet him against jiri love him I think he's been underrated by the market even though it's a favorable match up for him and it seems It's obvious pick obvious bet Etc all that I can't bet him at 1.22 so from a betting perspective hate to say it I'm definitely rooting for Alex Pereira is a dog or pass situation but as a pure pick i' got to pick Alex Pereira right I ain't picking against him in what I see deem as a favorable match up for him so yeah those are the end of the breakdowns super duper appreciate everyone tuning in make sure to stay hydrated drink loads of sparkling water drink loads of coffee manage your risk correctly have good bankr management and yeah all that cliche YouTecia Penningtonube stuff like share comment sub and yeah see you next week hopefully”
Line since pick
CLV +5%
◆ entry$1.17
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close$1.11
entry: TAB · best in any region at publish
JA
José Aldo
v Mario Bautista
MONEYLINE
LOST
José Aldo
v Mario Bautista
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm actually going to pick the king of Rio here Jose José Aldo”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.26
→
close$2.28
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
RP
Raquel Pennington
v Julianna Peña
MONEYLINE
LOST
Raquel Pennington
v Julianna Peña
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I'm leaning towards Raquel Pennington personally I lean towards the Raquel Pennington side”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.62
→
close$1.65
entry: Paddy Power · best in any region at publish
AP
Alex Pereira
v Khalil Rountree Jr.
MONEYLINE
WON
Alex Pereira
v Khalil Rountree Jr.
MONEYLINE
WON
“have to pick Alex Pereira I just think he's the better technical more dangerous sharper quicker Etc”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.22
→
close$1.23
entry: BetAnything · best in any region at publish
