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P Welsh
UFC 327: ProchΓ‘zka vs. Ulberg Β· breakdown

UFC 327 Prochazka vs Ulberg | 04/11/26 Picks, Predictions, & Full Card Breakdown

PW P Welsh59% hit
2 months ago 3W–5L Β· +0.0u 8/11 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
JH Josh Hokit v Curtis Blaydes MONEYLINE WON β€”
I like Hoit in the first round here, KO. I think we'll have a pretty exciting card. I can't imagine him trying to stay in there too long with a g somebody somebody with the wrestling experience and gas tank like Curtis Blaydes. If you go in there, you got to try and get him out in the first round and surprise him. Um, that's usually the way to get Curtis out of there. So, I'm going Ho Kit first round finish. Let's go. Maybe even something sneaky like a like I don't know, guillotine or something.
Line since pick CLV +3%
β—† entry$2.22 β†’ close$2.15
entry: Coolbet Β· best in any region at publish
CB Curtis Blaydes v Josh Hokit MONEYLINE LOST β€”
I don't trust Curtis Blaydes like that. I thought he even got blessed to get that last win. So, I think he can get finished here. I think Hoit's going to have a real deal moment here. Um could be like a 30 second finish even something where you're like, 'Oh, maybe he just caught Curtis.' I like Hoit in the first round here, KO.
Line since pick CLV βˆ’4%
β—† entry$1.77 β†’ close$1.85
entry: Caesars Β· best in any region at publish
LG Loopy GodΓ­nez v Tatiana Suarez MONEYLINE LOST β€”
I can't really um believe in it at all, especially losses to those great fighters. Um she can be outgrappled, which you can see, which I think will be Suarez's game plan. If you look at that fight against NOT_IN_ROSTER_24, I think you'll see something cookie cutter. I think we're getting a great price on Suarez. Uh Lubigans is a fan favorite, but she definitely drops the ball in some big performances and uh I don't think is really that good. Doesn't put an exceptional amount of volume in there. doesn't, you know, even like, you know, I compare some striking like Carly Judis, you know, she's not putting it in there at like super volumetric numbers. Um, I like Suarez here. I think she'll dominate. I think she has a chance to submit. Um, I think she can I think she could get I can't even call it because it could be arm bar, it could be rear naked choke, it could be Kamura, just depends on the situation and how the fight progresses. Um, yeah, I really like Tayiana Suarez here. I just think she's a beast comparatively to Lubie Goudines and you just can't trust her in in a fight like this and I said I love the odds.
Line since pick CLV +2%
β—† entry$2.40 β†’ close$2.35
entry: BetMGM Β· best in any region at publish
MM MarQuel Mederos v Chris Padilla MONEYLINE VALUE β€”
I'm a big Chris Padilla fan. GIVE ME TACO. LET'S GO, BABY.
Line since pick CLV +3%
β—† entry$2.53 β†’ now$2.45
entry: Coolbet Β· best in any region at publish
FP Francisco Prado v Charles Radtke MONEYLINE LOST β€”
I like Radkkey here. I really think he's gonna be a problem. And maybe Pra is going to be way better not having to cut that extra weight. But um I I like Radkkey here. I really think he's gonna be a problem. I really think he's gonna be a problem. I really think he's gonna be a problem.
Line since pick CLV +4%
β—† entry$2.65 β†’ close$2.55
entry: Hard Rock Bet Β· best in any region at publish
CS Cub Swanson v Nate Landwehr MONEYLINE WON β€”
I'm not even too I'm not even sweating it too much. I think Cub will just come in here and look really good. Um like he's got they both got the upside to knock each other out, but uh I actually thought Cub Swanson beat Andre Phy too. Actually, I thought he did. I don't know what I was looking at. Maybe I was remember the Dawoo Dawu fight. I don't know, man. But uh yeah, it's I don't know, man. This fight's 1800 gambler. Just call the gambling hotline if you want to bet on this. Official pick is Cub Swanson.
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$2.01 β†’ close$2.00
entry: SportsBet Β· best in any region at publish
KG Kelvin Gastelum v Vicente Luque MONEYLINE LOST β€”
I really do think that that this is just a uh just gas by decision. You know, I don't think he'll tap out um you know, I don't think he'll tap out Lu K like that, but I don't see him I just don't see him pushing the pace like that. I don't see him really connecting. I see him kind of taking his time. He'll probably gas out, you know, be a sloppy three round decision. I think Gassam's a little bit better of a fighter at this day and age.
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.40 β†’ close$1.42
entry: Betfair Sportsbook Β· best in any region at publish
CP Chris Padilla v MarQuel Mederos MONEYLINE VALUE β€”
I don't really like this spot for Maderos. I think it's like his third UFC fight. He really hasn't fought too many uh anybody substantial and he only got them all to decisions. Uh I think Palia is an absolute monster in there. I think he's got finishing capability against some highly touted prospects.
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.65 β†’ now$1.66
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish
PC Paulo Costa v Azamat Murzakanov MONEYLINE WON β€”
I just feel like he's he could run around Merzakonov for 15 minutes and it's like is he really going to get hit like that? Oh man, it's so tough to actually think that Pyoccasta is going to get finished by Merc. One thing that I will say is when Azmat just walks forward, he's got this freaking Robocop like approach to just the the person. And if Costa can't get around that, I can definitely see Merakanov getting the finish.
Line since pick CLV βˆ’4%
β—† entry$2.77 β†’ close$2.90
entry: 1xBet Β· best in any region at publish
PC Paulo Costa v Azamat Murzakanov PROP Β· DECISION LOST β€”
I'll pick Mirzakhan off just because I think he'll just that's the official pick. He'll just beat Costa for, you know, even clinch him maybe hold him down a little bit. Yeah, Mercoff. I'm not going to try and dance with Poccasta and see which one's going to show up and like look at all his past performances over so many years in the activity the rescheduling. So, um yeah, I just got to trust Makonov and if Paloccasta wins like maybe I'll put a unit or two on him in some way or form to try and capitalize. I do think he wins by decision.
Moneyline since pick CLV βˆ’4%
β—† entry$2.77 β†’ close$2.90
Costa’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted
TS Tatiana Suarez v Loopy Godinez MONEYLINE VALUE β€”
I got Tatiana Suarez submission.
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.67 β†’ now$1.69
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish