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Liam Picks Fights
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 Β· breakdown

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad | Aspinall vs. Blaydes | Liam's First Look

LF Liam Picks Fights54% hit
23 months ago 12W–12L Β· +3.0u
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick Β· line tracked since Β· best price in any region Β· close = day before the event
BB Bruna Brasil v Molly McCann MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$3.90 β†’ close$3.90
entry: BetAnything Β· best in any region at publish
KC Kiefer Crosbie v Sam Patterson MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$4.40 β†’ close$4.50
entry: Bally Bet Β· best in any region at publish
KG King Green v Paddy Pimblett MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œKing King Green about as credentialed and as uh veteran as one could be in this lightweight division he is just two months away from turning 38.”
Line since pick β€”
no market data captured for this fight
CB Curtis Blaydes v Tom Aspinall MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œPeople are saying I can't Envision a world in which Curtis Blaydes blades wins.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$4.50 β†’ close$4.50
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish
MM Muhammad Mokaev v Manel Kape MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI'm looking at a plus 210 on Belal Muhammad Mokaev looking like the best available price on the comeback for the underdog.”
Line since pick CLV +9%
β—† entry$1.77 β†’ close$1.63
entry: Virgin Bet Β· best in any region at publish
BM Belal Muhammad v Leon Edwards MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI think that you look at Belal Muhammad and what he brings to the table that fight against Shawn Brady he goes out there he stops him in round two fair play to him.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
β—† entry$3.25 β†’ close$3.20
entry: Caesars Β· best in any region at publish
PP Preston Parsons v Oban Elliott MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.75 β†’ close$1.73
entry: Bovada Β· best in any region at publish
OE Oban Elliott v Preston Parsons MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$2.30 β†’ close$2.32
entry: Virgin Bet Β· best in any region at publish
GR Gregory Rodrigues v Christian Leroy Duncan MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œI think of a guy like Gregory Rodrigues as being fast as being pretty accurate with his strikes he can be a sharpshooter he can land big shots at times.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$2.25 β†’ close$2.23
entry: Bovada Β· best in any region at publish
MM Molly McCann v Bruna Brasil MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œEverybody's having asparagus and going to bed early and and uh you know everybody's playing by the rules right.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
β—† entry$1.33 β†’ close$1.31
entry: Virgin Bet Β· best in any region at publish
CD Christian Leroy Duncan v Gregory Rodrigues MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œI think of a guy like Christian Leroy Duncan as being fast as being pretty accurate with his strikes.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’5%
β—† entry$1.71 β†’ close$1.80
entry: BetAnything Β· best in any region at publish
AA Arnold Allen v Giga Chikadze MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$1.44 β†’ close$1.47
entry: LowVig.ag Β· best in any region at publish
CL CaolΓ‘n Loughran v Jake Hadley MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.51 β†’ close$1.50
entry: Caesars Β· best in any region at publish
MK Manel Kape v Muhammad Mokaev MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’7%
β—† entry$2.35 β†’ close$2.53
entry: Caesars Β· best in any region at publish
JH Jake Hadley v CaolΓ‘n Loughran MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’2%
β—† entry$2.82 β†’ close$2.89
entry: Coolbet Β· best in any region at publish
PP Paddy Pimblett v King Green MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œIf I can get confirmation that Paddy Pimblett resigns with the UFC sometime this week I'd be very happy about playing Paddy Pimblett at these close odds.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$2.00 β†’ close$2.00
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
TA Tom Aspinall v Curtis Blaydes PROP Β· KO/TKO WON β€”
β€œWhat I would recommend is maybe you look at an under one and a half right or a fight not to start round three something like that as a way to get off of a huge price on Tom Aspinall Aspinall and a way to get onto a Tom Aspinall Aspinall predicate.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.29 β†’ close$1.28
Aspinall’s moneyline β€” prop lines aren’t quoted Β· analyst stated $1.73
MP Marcin Prachnio v Modestas Bukauskas MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$2.37 β†’ close$2.35
entry: SportsBet Β· best in any region at publish
AA Alice Ardelean v Shauna Bannon MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’3%
β—† entry$2.54 β†’ close$2.63
entry: Pinnacle Β· best in any region at publish
SP Sam Patterson v Kiefer Crosbie MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.28 β†’ close$1.27
entry: Betsson Β· best in any region at publish
MB Modestas Bukauskas v Marcin Prachnio MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV βˆ’1%
β—† entry$1.67 β†’ close$1.69
entry: Bovada Β· best in any region at publish
GC Giga Chikadze v Arnold Allen MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
β—† entry$3.10 β†’ close$3.05
entry: Virgin Bet Β· best in any region at publish
LE Leon Edwards v Belal Muhammad MONEYLINE LOST β€”
β€œI think skill for skill he's a great fighter and he's a minus 250 favorite in a title fight.”
Line since pick CLV +1%
β—† entry$1.44 β†’ close$1.42
entry: Virgin Bet Β· best in any region at publish
SB Shauna Bannon v Alice Ardelean MONEYLINE WON β€”
β€œNo direct quote available in transcript.”
Line since pick CLV +0%
β—† entry$1.62 β†’ close$1.62
entry: BetOnline.ag Β· best in any region at publish