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P Welsh
UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · breakdown

UFC Lewis vs Teixeira Fight Night | 07/12/25 Picks, Predictions, & Full Card Breakdown |

PW P Welsh59% hit
12 months ago 5W–5L · +0.2u 10/11 graded
Picks, timestamped entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
MD Mike Davis v Mitch Ramirez PROP · KO/TKO WON
“Mike Davis by finish. Mike Davis inside the distance.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.13 close$1.11
Davis’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
VW Valter Walker v Kennedy Nzechukwu MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going Valter Walker with the upset here.”
Line since pick CLV +7%
◆ entry$3.00 close$2.80
EM Eduarda Moura v Lauren Murphy PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I like Eduarda Moura by KO here by finish.”
Moneyline since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.18
Moura’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
CC Chris Curtis v Max Griffin MONEYLINE WON
“I'm going to pick Chris Curtis here just to bounce off a rebound.”
Line since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.35 close$1.33
VP Vitor Petrino v Austen Lane PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“But we're picking Vitor Petrino KO.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.17 close$1.15
Petrino’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
SG Steve Garcia v Calvin Kattar MONEYLINE WON
“I'm picking Steve Steve Garcia here. I'm not even calling it close.”
Line since pick CLV −5%
◆ entry$1.73 close$1.83
entry: Betfair Sportsbook · best in any region at publish
ST Stephen Thompson v Gabriel Bonfim MONEYLINE LOST
“I'm going to pick Bomb Fem.”
Line since pick CLV −1%
◆ entry$4.46 close$4.52
FK Fatima Kline v Melissa Martinez MONEYLINE WON
“for the official picks right now, we got to get back on the train here. We're not gonna over complicate it.”
Line since pick CLV +3%
◆ entry$1.11 close$1.08
CN Chidi Njokuani v Jake Matthews MONEYLINE LOST
“I like Chidi Njokuani here in a pickum. I like him heavily in a pickum here at that price point.”
Line since pick CLV +6%
◆ entry$1.79 close$1.69
entry: Unibet (FR) · best in any region at publish
JT Junior Tafa v Tuco Tokkos PROP · KO/TKO LOST
“I like Junior Tafa here... I'm taking Taffa over here. And I um God I think he's an underdog too. So no, he's 166.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.63 close$1.63
Tafa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.66
MC Morgan Charriere v Nate Landwehr PROP · DECISION
“I think he gets it by decision. I don't think he really pushes the finish. ... Morgan Charriere the last pirate.”
Moneyline since pick CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.45 now$1.44
Charriere’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted