UFC 319: du Plessis vs. Chimaev · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
DP
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
Dricus du Plessis
v Khamzat Chimaev
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I am picking Dricus du Plessis just in the sheer fact that I think you have to hit him with a Mac truck to stop him cardio-wise and if Khamzat Chimaev does not get him out I think he is in trouble. Sneaky look is Dricus du Plessis by decision.”
Line since pick
CLV −13%
◆ entry$3.02
→
close$3.46
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KC
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
MONEYLINE
WON
Khamzat Chimaev
v Dricus du Plessis
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'll side with Khamzat Chimaev. I mean, you look at Duplaci. Here's one thing about his opponents like Sean Eric Nolan, NOT_IN_ROSTER_4 Eric Nolan again, like NOT_IN_ROSTER_2, like NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 when NOT_IN_ROSTER_5 was like done, NOT_IN_ROSTER_6, NOT_IN_ROSTER_7. Where's the good takedown guys? Where's the wrestlers? Where's the grapplers in there? Um, we've seen NOT_IN_ROSTER_3, you know, have success on the ground, but yeah, early on he's not gonna have success against Khamzat Chimaev on the ground. Um, I'm just gonna predict a huge Khamzat Chimaev explosion where he goes all all or nothing in the first two rounds.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.50
→
close$1.50
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
AP
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
Aaron Pico
v Lerone Murphy
MONEYLINE
LOST
“For purposes of the video, I'll side with Chimaya, but I just think there's better money-making opportunities uh elsewhere on this card.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$1.65
→
close$1.68
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
LM
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
MONEYLINE
WON
Lerone Murphy
v Aaron Pico
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'm going to go with Lor Murphy in this spot. That's where I landed on it. I believe they're going to make the proper adjustments to win a closely contested decision in this spot.”
Line since pick
CLV −3%
◆ entry$2.56
→
close$2.65
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
GN
Geoff Neal
v Carlos Prates
MONEYLINE
LOST
Geoff Neal
v Carlos Prates
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I just don't think that uh I don't think he's going to have what it takes. And again, we got a fighting nerds, you know, situation here, and I'm just not fading the fighting nerds.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.35
entry: LiveScore Bet · best in any region at publish
JA
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
Jéssica Andrade
v Loopy Godinez
MONEYLINE
“I lean Caner, but I don't know if I can get there pre-fight.”
Line since pick
CLV +34%
◆ entry$3.15
→
now$2.35
entry: Bally Bet · best in any region at publish
JC
Jared Cannonier
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
Jared Cannonier
v Michael Page
MONEYLINE
LOST
“My problem with Canineer is uh you know, if you didn't watch the fight, you'd be like, 'Oh, yeah. Lost to Baralo.' Bral probably took him down and dominated on the ground. No, Kyle Barrell won a full-blown striking match.”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$2.82
→
close$2.84
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
TE
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
MONEYLINE
WON
Tim Elliott
v Kai Asakura
MONEYLINE
WON
“I am fading Tim Elliott. To me, this is a gift from the MMA gambling gods that we are getting a Tim Elliott fight.”
Line since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$3.75
→
close$3.85
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
KA
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
Kai Asakura
v Tim Elliott
PROP · KO/TKO
LOST
“I think Kai Asakura finishes him. I'm expecting a knockout in rounds one and round two.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.37
→
close$1.35
Asakura’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted
KG
King Green
v Carlos Diego Ferreira
MONEYLINE
King Green
v Carlos Diego Ferreira
MONEYLINE
“I'm of the opinion that King Green is done.”
Line since pick
CLV +23%
◆ entry$2.47
→
now$2.00
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CF
Carlos Diego Ferreira
v King Green
MONEYLINE
VALUE
Carlos Diego Ferreira
v King Green
MONEYLINE
VALUE
“I got Ferrer and I wouldn't be surprised if Ferrer gets the KO win in in this one.”
Line since pick
CLV −13%
◆ entry$1.74
→
now$2.00
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
MO
Michał Oleksiejczuk
v Gerald Meerschaert
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“I think he can get the KO on Mir Short.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.48
→
close$1.48
Oleksiejczuk’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $1.42
GM
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
Gerald Meerschaert
v Michał Oleksiejczuk
MONEYLINE
LOST
“Gerald Mirart is slowing down at an accelerated rate.”
Line since pick
CLV −6%
◆ entry$3.08
→
close$3.28
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
KS
Karine Silva
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
WON
Karine Silva
v Dione Barbosa
MONEYLINE
WON
“I'll pick the female that has been preparing for a fight, coming off a loss, who's a good fighter.”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.55
→
close$1.55
entry: Polymarket · best in any region at publish
CP
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
Carlos Prates
v Geoff Neal
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
—
“I think Patez is going to get the job done and get the job done emphatically. I think we see the most violent, most aggressive Carlos Pratz that we've seen in a long time. From an X's and O standpoint, Geoff Neal stands very vertical in one spot and you cannot do that against Carlos Prades. That's my biggest problem with Geoff Neal. Prades is a sniper and he only needs one. He does not need to piece you up in combination. So if Neil is going to stand flatfooted in the middle of the cage, Prades is going to snipe him at some point. So, I like Pradesa. I like Pradesa by finish.”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.49
→
close$1.50
Prates’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted