UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg · breakdown
Picks, timestamped
entry price locked at moment of pick · line tracked since · best price in any region · close = day before the event
GM
Gabriel Miranda
v Jamall Emmers
MONEYLINE
LOST
Gabriel Miranda
v Jamall Emmers
MONEYLINE
LOST
“you got Jamall Emmers at minus 400 it feels like that's too late”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.80
→
close$4.80
entry: Pinnacle · best in any region at publish
LG
Loopy Godinez
v Julia Polastri
MONEYLINE
WON
Loopy Godinez
v Julia Polastri
MONEYLINE
WON
“you got Loopy Godinez minus 250 she was minus 170 I still think there is some value there”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.40
→
close$1.40
entry = analyst’s stated line (no snapshot at publish)
CR
Christian Rodriguez
v Melquizael Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST
Christian Rodriguez
v Melquizael Costa
MONEYLINE
LOST
“the Christian Rodriguez at minus 160 still looks pretty good if you think he's going to win”
Line since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.63
→
close$1.64
entry: FanDuel · best in any region at publish
KB
Kevin Borjas
v Ronaldo Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
WON
Kevin Borjas
v Ronaldo Rodríguez
MONEYLINE
WON
“I think Kevin Kevin Borjasjas has some value on him because he is a pretty good Striker”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.43
→
close$2.43
entry: BetOnline.ag · best in any region at publish
SE
Steve Erceg
v Brandon Moreno
MONEYLINE
LOST
Steve Erceg
v Brandon Moreno
MONEYLINE
LOST
“I actually think Steve Erceg has a better chance now for whatever reason”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.15
→
close$3.15
entry: ESPN BET · best in any region at publish
JP
Julia Polastri
v Loopy Godinez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Julia Polastri
v Loopy Godinez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“I do not like him getting choked by [ __ ] Julia Polastri”
Analyst’s stated line
—
no market data captured for this fight
MC
Melquizael Costa
v Christian Rodriguez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Melquizael Costa
v Christian Rodriguez
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“FIghTER_F if he is to win it's going to be by submission Julia Polastri tapped C so Melquizael Costa's path to Victory is a submission plus 600”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$2.50
→
close$2.50
Costa’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $7.00
ÉC
Édgar Cháirez
v C.J. Vergara
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
Édgar Cháirez
v C.J. Vergara
PROP · SUBMISSION
WON
“I like the Édgar Cháirez submission as well plus 275”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.38
→
close$1.39
Cháirez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.75
JE
Jamall Emmers
v Gabriel Miranda
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Jamall Emmers
v Gabriel Miranda
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“the Jamall Emmers KO at plus 120 like I feel like he should knock out Gabriel Miranda”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +1%
◆ entry$1.30
→
close$1.29
Emmers’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.20
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.96
→
close$1.96
Dober’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.50
MT
Manuel Torres
v Drew Dober
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
Manuel Torres
v Drew Dober
PROP · KO/TKO
WON
“the Manuel Torres one if you just take Tes by KO not just round round just by KO by itself it's plus 200”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −2%
◆ entry$2.00
→
close$2.05
Torres’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.00
BM
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
PROP · DECISION
WON
Brandon Moreno
v Steve Erceg
PROP · DECISION
WON
“Brandon Brandon Moreno plus 125 decision is his way of winning”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$1.44
→
close$1.44
Moreno’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $2.25
RJ
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Vince Morales
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
Raul Rosas Jr.
v Vince Morales
PROP · SUBMISSION
LOST
“the Raul Rosas Jr. sub is still hanging around plus 250”
Moneyline since pick
CLV +2%
◆ entry$1.25
→
close$1.22
Jr.’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.50
VM
Vince Morales
v Raul Rosas Jr.
MONEYLINE
LOST
Vince Morales
v Raul Rosas Jr.
MONEYLINE
LOST
“if it's going to stay on the ground that long I don't know man”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$4.90
→
close$4.90
entry: DraftKings · best in any region at publish
CV
C.J. Vergara
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
C.J. Vergara
v Édgar Cháirez
MONEYLINE
LOST
“ukz Édgar Cháirez and C.J. Vergara are both Mexican right”
Line since pick
CLV +0%
◆ entry$3.30
→
close$3.30
entry: Coolbet · best in any region at publish
RR
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
METHOD
LOST
—
Ronaldo Rodríguez
v Kevin Borjas
METHOD
LOST
—
“Rodriguez inside the distance plus 210”
Moneyline since pick
CLV −1%
◆ entry$1.70
→
close$1.71
Rodríguez’s moneyline — prop lines aren’t quoted · analyst stated $3.10