MMA Prophecy
🌐BEST
UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
Choose a fight to analyse
BM SE Moreno vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight MT DD Torres vs DoberMain Card · Lightweight ÉC CV Cháirez vs VergaraMain Card · Flyweight RJ VM Jr. vs MoralesMain Card · Bantamweight DM SO Martínez vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight KB RR Borjas vs RodríguezMain Card · Catchweight AG JM Gautier vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC CR Costa vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Featherweight LG JP Godinez vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RG VP García vs PichelPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE GM Emmers vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM AH Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Rosas Jr. over Morales · Bantamweight Our fair value$1.21 Everygame pays above fair $1.25
Where to back Rosas Jr. best price · region · EV vs fair $1.21
US FanDuel $1.21 +0%
UK Grosvenor $1.21 +0%
EU Everygame $1.25 +4%
AU TABtouch $1.21 +0%
Consensus57 picks · conf 72/99
Rosas Jr. 49
8 Morales
SMWPFS pick Rosas Jr.
How it endsmethod calls · Rosas Jr. · crowd line
KO/TKO 2 $25.35
Submission 31 $1.64
Decision 9 $5.63
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Rosas Jr. 0-0 VS 16-10 Morales
5'9" height 5'7"
135 lb weight 136 lb
67" reach 70"
21 age 35
Switch stance Orthodox
1.6 strikes landed / min 4.0
43% striking accuracy 36%
1.4 strikes absorbed / min 4.5
51% striking defence 53%
4.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.4
39% takedown accuracy 30%
0% takedown defence 65%
1.3 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
Hit “Run deep research” to pull the latest from X and the news.
What the numbers say
Model vs market83% vs 80%
Consensus49 of 57 analysts
Sharpest angleRosas Jr. by Submission — 31 of 42 method calls
Recommendation Back Rosas Jr. @ $1.25 · fair $1.21 +4% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Raul Rosas Jr. VALUE “vejo a vitória do Raul Rosas Jr.”
UC UFC - CELEBRITIES AND CLASSICS picks Raul Rosas Jr. “then Raul Rosas Jr. Vince Moralesce Brandon Morenoales no distance or roses to be next Gone versus Joe Pier um still go with P I already have a B on him P to win three round fight”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Raul Rosas Jr. VALUE “pienso que el niño problema Chiwiwis va a cortar distancia y bueno, lo vamos a ver gritar ahí otra vez” $1.21
TT Takedown Titan picks Raul Rosas Jr. “Raul Rosas Jr. should be Vince Morales”
SG Savant of the Fight Game picks Vince Morales “I'm actually gonna go with Vince Morales.”
SO SOKRATES-MMA picks Raul Rosas Jr. “ich gehe mit Raul Rosas Jr.”
CT Combat Sports Today picks Raul Rosas Jr. “I think Raul Rosas Jr. by knockout at plus 600's High elevation for Raul Rosas Jr.”
WO WorstTakeMMA picks Raul Rosas Jr. VALUE “Rosus is coming in here with a 60% submission rate coming off a three-fight win streak.”
NM Nipple to Nipple MMA picks Vince Morales “if it's going to be a later rounds I'm taking Vince Morales”
NM Nipple to Nipple MMA picks Raul Rosas Jr. VALUE “if it's an early stoppage it's going to be Raul Rosas Raul Rosas Jr.”
WP We Want Picks picks Vince Morales VALUE “I think Vince Morales wins this fight.”
WP We Want Picks picks Raul Rosas Jr. VALUE “I'm very confident Raul if we get the forward aggression Vince and some wrestling from Raul Rosas then he's going to score a [ __ ] ton of points. I like Rosas.”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Rosas Jr.0-0
W Font Decision · R3 Mar '26
W Morales Decision · R3 Mar '25
W Qileng Decision · R3 Sep '24
W Turcios Submission · R2 Jun '24
W Mitchell KO/TKO · R1 Sep '23
Morales16-10
L Thicknesse Decision · R3 May '26
L Jr. Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Smith Decision · R3 Feb '25
L Lapilus Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Johns Decision · R3 Nov '22