MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
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BM SE Moreno vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight MT DD Torres vs DoberMain Card · Lightweight ÉC CV Cháirez vs VergaraMain Card · Flyweight RJ VM Jr. vs MoralesMain Card · Bantamweight DM SO Martínez vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight KB RR Borjas vs RodríguezMain Card · Catchweight AG JM Gautier vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC CR Costa vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Featherweight LG JP Godinez vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RG VP García vs PichelPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE GM Emmers vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM AH Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Hubbard over Mederos · Lightweight Our fair value$2.44 Everygame pays above fair $2.50
Where to back Hubbard best price · region · EV vs fair $2.44
US FanDuel $2.42 -1%
UK Paddy Power $2.38 -2%
EU Everygame $2.50 +2%
AU SportsBet $2.41 -1%
Consensus37 picks · conf 59/99
Mederos 21
16 Hubbard
WPDUAA pick Mederos
How it endsmethod calls · Hubbard · crowd line
Decision 5 $2.44
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Mederos 11-1-1 VS 17-10 Hubbard
5'10" height 5'10"
155 lb weight 155 lb
70" reach 71"
29 age 34
Orthodox stance Orthodox
4.7 strikes landed / min 4.1
41% striking accuracy 43%
4.8 strikes absorbed / min 3.9
45% striking defence 57%
1.9 takedowns / 15 min 1.5
32% takedown accuracy 34%
71% takedown defence 67%
0.6 submissions / 15 min 0.0
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market41% vs 40%
Consensus16 of 37 analysts
Sharpest angleHubbard by Decision — 5 of 5 method calls
Recommendation Back Hubbard @ $2.50 · fair $2.44 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GM GLO MMA picks Austin Hubbard VALUE “I'm picking Madero to win by decision”
TD The Rambling Dad picks Austin Hubbard VALUE
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks MarQuel Mederos “I'm gonna pick the upand comer especially in Mexico minus 160 favorite Curt and jerker to start the fraking event” $1.62
CT Combat Sports Today picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE
WO WorstTakeMMA picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE “I'll definitely be looking at that prospect. uh MarQuel Mederos.”
WP We Want Picks picks Austin Hubbard VALUE “the stars are aligned for Austin Hubbard to just be tough as [ __ ] and move forward. Austin Hubbard could squeak out a win here.”
E! Erok ! picks MarQuel Mederos “we're going to go MarQuel Mederos”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE “Marquel MarQuel Mederos by unanimous decision is the pick” $1.65
PS Plays & Fades Sports picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE “I do think he gets it done.”
WP We Want Picks picks MarQuel Mederos “I got to go with MarQuel Mederos in this fight I think he's going to be the more tactical guy can stay clean and withstand the takedowns of Austin Hubbard”
PN Picks Nation picks MarQuel Mederos VALUE “I think Marco Maderos wins, but I do not think MarQuel Mederos wins this fight by finish.”
AH Alonzo Hernandez picks MarQuel Mederos “I have uh MarQuel Mederos just because of that 75 win streak it's hard to win at anything seven times let alone in a cage fight”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Mederos11-1-1
W Choinski Decision · R3 Jun '25
W Hubbard Decision · R3 Mar '25
Hubbard17-10
L Zhu Decision · R3 Aug '25
L Mederos Decision · R3 Mar '25
L Hernandez Decision · R3 Oct '24
W Figlak Decision · R3 Apr '24
L Holobaugh Submission · R2 Aug '23