MMA Prophecy
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UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
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BM SE Moreno vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight MT DD Torres vs DoberMain Card · Lightweight ÉC CV Cháirez vs VergaraMain Card · Flyweight RJ VM Jr. vs MoralesMain Card · Bantamweight DM SO Martínez vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight KB RR Borjas vs RodríguezMain Card · Catchweight AG JM Gautier vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC CR Costa vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Featherweight LG JP Godinez vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RG VP García vs PichelPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE GM Emmers vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM AH Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Torres over Dober · Lightweight Our fair value$1.75 NordicBet pays above fair $2.00
Where to back Torres best price · region · EV vs fair $1.75
US BetRivers $1.82 +4%
UK Virgin Bet $1.82 +4%
EU NordicBet $2.00 +14%
AU Unibet $1.82 +4%
Consensus59 picks · conf 72/99
Torres 40
19 Dober
WPSYNД pick Torres
How it endsmethod calls · Torres · crowd line
KO/TKO 27 $2.59
Submission 6 $11.65
Decision 6 $11.65
None 1 $69.91
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Torres 17-3 VS 28-15 Dober
5'10" height 5'8"
156 lb weight 155 lb
73" reach 70"
31 age 37
Switch stance Southpaw
7.2 strikes landed / min 2.9
55% striking accuracy 52%
4.5 strikes absorbed / min 3.2
52% striking defence 47%
2.3 takedowns / 15 min 1.9
66% takedown accuracy 51%
88% takedown defence 66%
1.1 submissions / 15 min 1.8
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market57% vs 50%
Consensus40 of 59 analysts
Sharpest angleTorres by KO/TKO — 27 of 40 method calls
Recommendation Back Torres @ $2.00 · fair $1.75 +14% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
CM Cyclone MMA picks Drew Dober “I'm gonna go just Drew Dober money points”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Manuel Torres “I got Manuel Manuel Torres winning here he is the slight near even favorite but uh yeah I think he's gonna come out and capitalize here against Drew Dober's best days are well behind him” $1.80
TS The Open Mat Show picks Manuel Torres “I really do think he's going to win this”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Manuel Torres “siento que esta pelea se le puede dar al loco Manuel Torres” $1.83
SG Savant of the Fight Game picks Manuel Torres “I'm gonna go Emanuel Torres.”
SO SOKRATES-MMA picks Drew Dober “ich tippe auf Joe per”
WO WorstTakeMMA picks Manuel Torres VALUE “Mando Torres, though, is a dangerous fighter. He has a 93% finish rate and he's 1 and 0 Mexico.”
NM Nipple to Nipple MMA picks Manuel Torres “I'm going to go with um Manuel Manuel Torres”
NM Nipple to Nipple MMA picks Drew Dober “I'm going to go with Joe Pier”
BG Bettor in Green picks Manuel Torres VALUE “I guess I'm going to stay on Manuel Torres here I'll do Manuel Torres money line” $2.00
PN Picks Nation picks Manuel Torres VALUE “he'll be my pick if I to pick one of the two”
DR DRYWALL picks Drew Dober VALUE “I'm going to go ahead and pick it Drew Dober knocks him out Joba knocks out in the second I think Manuel Torres is going to I just don't think that that knockout I think that knockout was so brutal I don't think that that knockout is something that you can just recover from”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Torres17-3
L Fiziev KO/TKO · R2 Jun '26
W Dawson KO/TKO · R1 Dec '25
W Dober KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Bahamondes KO/TKO · R1 Sep '24
W Duncan Submission · R1 Feb '24
Dober28-15
W Johnson KO/TKO · R2 Mar '26
W Prepolec KO/TKO · R3 Oct '25
L Torres KO/TKO · R1 Mar '25
L Silva KO/TKO · R3 Jul '24
L Moicano Decision · R3 Feb '24