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UFC on ESPN: Moreno vs. Erceg
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BM SE Moreno vs ErcegMain Card · Flyweight MT DD Torres vs DoberMain Card · Lightweight ÉC CV Cháirez vs VergaraMain Card · Flyweight RJ VM Jr. vs MoralesMain Card · Bantamweight DM SO Martínez vs OliveiraMain Card · Bantamweight KB RR Borjas vs RodríguezMain Card · Catchweight AG JM Gautier vs MedinaPreliminary Card · Middleweight MC CR Costa vs RodriguezPreliminary Card · Featherweight LG JP Godinez vs PolastriPreliminary Card · Women'S Strawweight RG VP García vs PichelPreliminary Card · Lightweight JE GM Emmers vs MirandaPreliminary Card · Featherweight MM AH Mederos vs HubbardPreliminary Card · Lightweight
BEST PRICE We back Cháirez over Vergara · Flyweight Our fair value$1.36 Everygame pays above fair $1.38
Where to back Cháirez best price · region · EV vs fair $1.36
US BetAnything $1.38 +2%
UK Paddy Power $1.36 +0%
EU Everygame $1.38 +2%
AU SportsBet $1.36 +0%
Consensus49 picks · conf 69/99
Cháirez 39
10 Vergara
WBMDДO pick Cháirez
How it endsmethod calls · Cháirez · crowd line
KO/TKO 6 $6.34
Submission 13 $2.93
Decision 9 $4.23
Tale of the tape the matchup, side by side
Cháirez 13-6 VS 12-6-1 Vergara
5'7" height 5'6"
125 lb weight 126 lb
71" reach 68"
30 age 35
Orthodox stance Orthodox
3.5 strikes landed / min 5.1
45% striking accuracy 56%
5.2 strikes absorbed / min 4.7
42% striking defence 53%
0.0 takedowns / 15 min 0.0
0% takedown accuracy 0%
33% takedown defence 60%
1.5 submissions / 15 min 0.2
AI analysis
Deep research · camps & rumours
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What the numbers say
Model vs market74% vs 72%
Consensus39 of 49 analysts
Sharpest angleCháirez by Submission — 13 of 28 method calls
Recommendation Back Cháirez @ $1.38 · fair $1.36 +2% EDGE
Analyst tape every extracted call on this fight
GP Greedo Plays picks Édgar Cháirez “later today on greo plays MMA we'll have our UFC Fight Night Édgar Cháirez versus Murphy full card predictions”
CP Capper Comparison Picks picks Édgar Cháirez “I'm going with the favorite with the tapology pick the common pick I'm with Édgar Cháirez” $1.36
SL SUPER LUTAS picks Édgar Cháirez VALUE “Vitória do Édgar Cháirez contra o C.J. Vergara”
TS TJ Sports picks Édgar Cháirez “now in the Flyway division MOS we're going to call Édgar Cháirez 126 126 fored thank you everyone for assistance”
TS TJ Sports picks C.J. Vergara “we're going to call C.J. Vergara [Music] V 26 126 126 125 [Music] for in the featherweight division”
LE LAS 8 ESQUINAS picks Édgar Cháirez VALUE “Pienso que este duelo se le puede dar muy bien a Édgar Cháirez” $1.37
SG Savant of the Fight Game picks Édgar Cháirez “I'm going to go with Édgar Cháirez with the double over CJ Vgar.”
WO WorstTakeMMA picks Édgar Cháirez VALUE “Édgar Cháirez is Mexican. He is 1 and 0 in Mexico whenever he fights.”
WP We Want Picks picks Édgar Cháirez VALUE “I don't think he gets it done.”
E! Erok ! picks C.J. Vergara VALUE “we are definitely going TJ Vera I think Edgar charz... we're going CJ C.J. Vergara 100% money line”
ME MMA EXPERTS picks Édgar Cháirez VALUE “Édgar Cháirez versus C.J. Vergara C.J. Vergara I got to go with Édgar Cháirez to win” $1.38
PR Premium-Picks picks C.J. Vergara “ukz Édgar Cháirez and C.J. Vergara are both Mexican right”
Recent form last five, most recent first
Cháirez13-6
W Silva Submission · R1 Jun '26
W Bunes Decision · R3 Feb '26
W Vergara Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Van Decision · R3 Sep '24
L Taira Decision · R3 Jul '23
Vergara12-6-1
L Cháirez Submission · R1 Mar '25
L Temirov KO/TKO · R1 Oct '24
L Almabayev Decision · R3 Mar '24
W Salvador Decision · R3 Jul '23
W Silva KO/TKO · R2 Mar '23